Or lavishly remunerated covert operative «Hans von Storch» of the Potemkin - peer - reviewed Potemkin journal «Annals of Geophysics» and winner of the Potemkin prize «the IMSC Achievement Award» awarded by the Potemkin judges of the totally bogus «International Meetings on
Statistical Climatology», who described Mann's hockey stick as «rubbish».
I agree, and I think the inaugural issue of Journal of
Statistical Climatology (online, free) should be devoted to this foundational question.
Other research interests include
statistical climatology and air pollution meteorology.
The March 2016 edition of PCIC's Update includes stories on: The 13th International Meeting on
Statistical Climatology, 2015: A Year in Review, the COP21 Paris Agreement, Faron Anslow's TV interview on CBC, PCIC at the AGU Annual Fall Meeting, an announcement for a talk by Francis Zwiers, discussion of earlier talks from the Pacific Climate Seminar Series and in UVic's Idea Fest, an announcement for new Science Briefs and a welcome to Christian Seiler, PCIC's new Research Climatologist.
See the official website for more information on the 13th International Meeting on
Statistical Climatology, including sessions, registration and submission information, location and accommodations.
Located in the scenic Bow Valley in the Canadian Rockies, the town of Canmore, Alberta will be the setting for the 13th International Meeting on
Statistical Climatology.
The International Meetings on
Statistical Climatology began in 1979, with the goal of bringing together scientists and statisticians in order to promote good statistical practice in climate and atmospheric science.
To believe that Mann is right, you have to believe that the developer of the first satellite global temperature record, and the winner of the International Meetings on
Statistical Climatology achievement award, and the co-editor of The Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, and the co-editor of Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, and the co-founder of the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project, and a member of the UN Secretary - General's High Level Group on Sustainable Energy, and the Professor of Meteorology at the Meteorological Institute of Berlin Free University, and the Professor of Climate and Culture at King's College, London, and the Professor of the Economics of Climate Change at the Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and the former president of the Royal Statistical Society, and the former director of research at the Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute, and the director of the Center for Climatic Research at the University of Delaware, and three professors at the Department of Geology and Geophysics at the University of Utah, and the scientist at Columbia's Lamont - Doherty Earth Observatory who coined the term «global warming», and dozens more are all wrong, every single one of them.
«Monitoring» a gas in the atmosphere seemed just dull plodding around a beaten track, calling to mind the discredited
statistical climatology of an earlier generation.
The truth is no different when blogged or published, but the medicine tastes better swallowed from a GRL or Journal of
Statistical Climatology spoon.
Koutsoyiannis, D. (2010b) Memory in climate and things not to be forgotten (Invited talk), 11th International Meeting on
Statistical Climatology, Edinburgh, doi: 10.13140 / RG.2.2.17890.53445, Presentation; http://bit.ly/2mpRnSQ
[Response: Sure, there are multiple programs to do just that — the recent meeting on
statistical climatology in edinburgh was full of people involved in that.
In the parlance of
statistical climatology, the «zonal wave 3 pattern» has increased (see Raphael, GRL 2004).
Not exact matches
A related, common confusion is the meaning of
statistical significance in all fields, not just
climatology.
Cross field collaboration is a very big thing these days and clearly there are issues here that are deeply
statistical in nature rather than having to do with expertise in
climatology.
That said,
climatology shows that Moore sits at the center of a
statistical bullseye for tornado strikes for May 20th.
It still contains
statistical sleight of hand, basic errors in economics, and shaky
climatology, but it's better than State of Fear.
Maybe it means they're doing a good job following the guidelines set out by Wigley for
statistical analysis in
climatology.
I have a hard time understanding how students in
climatology could not wonder about the physical and
statistical basis underlying these claims.
I believe
statistical determinations such as 100 - year flood plain elevations are driven more by politics than
climatology.
If I want to become an expert on
climatology, I go ask people to tell me how to guess which numbers will be useful to feed into the
statistical analysis specs.
«A previously developed simple
statistical tool — the El Niño — Southern Oscillation
Climatology and Persistence (ENSO — CLIPER) model — is utilized as a baseline for determination of skill in forecasting this event.»
Wang, 2011: Detecting the ITCZ in instantaneous satellite data using spatial - temporal
statistical modeling: ITCZ
climatology in the east Pacific.
Climatology can not exist without the inclusion of other disciplines like geology, physics,
statistical science, meteorology, etc etc... along with every other science that branches from those like heliophysics, various paleo branches, oceanographics, etc etc..
In a field as wide - ranging as
climatology, non-climatologists can and do have useful input — for example, much as you seem to detest McIntyre and Wegman, they are certainly qualified to comment on
statistical methodology and dismissing their concerns on any basis but statistics is poor science.]
Going forward, if we stick with
climatology and its 30 year averaging period then in order to provide policy makers with information about the outcomes from their policy decisions we need to come up with independent variable and dependent variable time series that are of much greater duration than the HADCRUT3, for 150 observed events is about the bare minimum for a statistically validated model that predicts with
statistical significance.
So by analogy with Kolmogorov what is the problem of the
statistical approach to
climatology which is the only one possible as I have developped it above with the T = Ta + u model?
Basic
statistical forecasting models with no
climatology or physics in them typically got scores slightly better than a random walk.
And a large part of the problem with a statistician attempting to do
statistical analysis in
climatology without the benefit of a climatologist will stem from his lack of knowledge of physics, chemistry and possibly even biology.
It is the International Journal of Modern Physics, B, not a journal of geophysics,
climatology or meteorology but a journal that publishes articles about condensed matter, high temperature superconductors, and
statistical and applied physics.
As a layman, with just a smattering of
climatology education, the one thing that sticks out above all else is that the subject is immensely complicated, and involves expert knowledge of dozens of entirely different disciplines from
statistical analysis through thermodynamics to ice core study.
Nor have Christy et al. corrected the serious
statistical error in their 2007 International Journal of
Climatology paper, «A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions,» a post-Wegman paper, but it speaks to their credibility.
We focus on assessing reliability against present - day
climatology with rank histograms, but also investigate the effective degrees of freedom (EDoF) of the fields of variables which makes the
statistical test of reliability more rigorous, and consider the distances between the observation and ensemble members.