... short time scales... preclude determination of a statistically significant trend at the 95 % confidence level, although lack of
statistical signficance does not negate the existence of [warming] as defined here.
Note that the short time scales considered here preclude determination of a statistically significant trend at the 95 % confidence level, although lack of
statistical signficance does not negate the existence of a pause as defined here.
«Lack of
statistical signficance does not negate the existence of a pause as defined here» — Who is claiming that there's definitive evidence that global warming has not paused?
The assumption about no autocorrelation is key to the statements of
statistical signficance.
Not exact matches
A more sophisticated
statistical analysis that took autocorrelation into account would almost certainly indicate non
signficance for all of the short term trends.