Sentences with phrase «stick shaped pc1s»

In a not too distant future, we may have stick shaped mobile devices.

(Though if you can show a peer - reviewed analysis showing why said proxy should be a proxometer as opposed to other proxies which aren't hockey - stick shaped, that will do.)

He reported the acceptance of Mann and Jones 2003 and outlined the plan discussed the previous day with Mann to substitute the more hockey - stick shaped Yang series for the long Briffa series:

Jones suggested to Mann that they replace the long Briffa series with Yang's more hockey - stick shaped series (which they had used in Mann and Jones 2003):

The reason is that the temperature trend itself is hockey stick shaped.

Hockey stick shaped reconstructions «proved» something odd was happening in recent times, variable reconstructions indicated a high sensitivity — either way was «not inconsistent with» the narrative.

The graph relies heavily on... a particular method of principal component analysis, called short centering, that heavily weights any hockey - stick shaped sample at the expense of any other sample.

We re-submitted in late March, adding a new paragraph showing that these 14 highly weighted sites in the PC1 were all from a group of specialized and controversial high - altitude bristlecone pine series, studied by Graybill and Idso (1993), exhibiting an anomalous 20th century growth spurt, which yields hockey - stick shaped growth series.

Karly... Regardless of the actual flaws in Mr Steel's argument, and his failure to show that his CSI considerations can produce anything like a hockey - stick shaped temperature profile, this statement alone makes it impossible for me to take Mr Steel seriously.

McIntyre and McKitrick claimed that the «short - centred» method, when applied to so - called «persistent red noise», nearly always produces a hockey stick shaped first principal component (PC1).

Yes, they are now lost with a hockey stick shaped hole in their hearts and minds, and they can't find anything to fill it.

First, like Wegman, they specifically and categorically agree that Mann's principal components methodology is biased towards mining for hockey - stick shaped series.

Basically the climatologists who have produced hockey stick shaped graphs have done so by carefully selecting proxies that produce the results they want.

I consider the 20th century temperature record to be reliable, roughly hockey stick shaped over the last 1000 years and there has been no significant data manipulation.

C: increase in atmospheric CO2 from pre-industrial to present is anthropogenic (D / A) S: best guess for likely climate sensitivity (NUM) s: 2 - sigma range of S (NUM) a: ocean acidification will be a problem (D / A) L: expected sea level rise by 2100 in cm (all contributions)(NUM) B: climate change will be beneficial (D / A) R: CO2 emissions need to be reduced drastically by 2050 (D / A) T: technical advances will take care of any problems (D / A) r: the 20th century global temperature record is reliable (D / A) H: over the last 1000 years global temperature was hockey stick shaped (D / A) D: data has been intentionally distorted by scientist to support the idea of anthropogenic climate change (D / A) g: the CRU - mails are important for the science (D / A) G: the CRU - mails are important otherwise (D / A)

He (McIntyre) was able to demonstrate that the way they had extracted the temperature signal from the tree ring records was biased so as to choose hockey - stick shaped graphs in preference to other shapes... He also showed that the appearance of the graph was due solely to the use of an estimate of historic temperatures based on tree rings from bristlecone pines, a species that was known to be problematic for this kind of reconstruction.

If they were unbiased they would bracketed the real answer but they are all skewed to the high side, with the added benefit that they are hockey stick shaped.

Moberg's proxy data ends in 1979, and then the hockey - stick shaped instrumental data is tendentiously grafted onto the end of the proxy record so as to hide the decline.

After all, surely the addition of this little hockey stick shaped data curve to the raw data is not arbitrary simply to get the answer they want, the additions have to represent the results of some heretofore unaccounted - for bias in the raw data.

(b) With respect to Mann et al. [1998, 1999](MBH98 - 99), our most important objections [see McIntyre and McKitrick, 2003, 2005a, 2005b, 2005c, 2005d and www.climateaudit.org] are: • The study used «new» statistical methods that turned out to «mine» for hockey stick shaped series.

If (1) you have a few hockey stick shaped series in a smallish data set which otherwise is cancelling noise, and (2) then re-scale your average to a temperature scale in the calibration period, you can get hockey stick shaped «reconstructions».

The VZ procedure simply does not generate hockey stick shaped PC1s and can not be used to test the impact of the MBH98 methodology.

The VZ procedure simply does not generate hockey stick shaped PC1s in the way that the MBH98 procedure does and can not be used to test the impact of the MBH98 methodology.

In fact the hockey - stick shaped PC was still there, but it was no longer the strongest PC (PC1), it was now only 4th - strongest (PC4).

Jean S: Oh, I guess you simply forgot to exclude also the «Gaspe series» you later describe as «the most hockey - stick shaped proxy of all».

In reply, MM complained that the MBH98 PC1 (the hockey - stick shaped one) wasn't PC1 in the completely standard analysis, that normalization wasn't required for the analysis, and that «Preisendorfer's rule N» (the selection rule used by MBH98) wasn't the «industry standard» MBH claimed it to be.

Whether you use the MBH98 non-standard centering, or standard centering, the hockey - stick shaped PC must still be included in the analysis.

The four year unreported ad - hoc extension makes all the difference whether «the most hockey - stick shaped proxy of all» gets included or excluded to AD1400 network.

It even seems to me that PC # 1 of short - centered red noise is likely to be hockey - stick shaped (especially if one calls step changes a hockey stick).

It just might be the most hockey - stick shaped proxy of all.

Montford doesn't just criticize hockey - stick shaped proxies, he bends over backwards to level every criticism conceivable.

Perhaps you'll join Montford in complaining that hockey - stick shaped proxies dominate reconstructions because they correlate well with temperature.

Oh, I guess you simply forgot to exclude also the «Gaspe series» you later describe as «the most hockey - stick shaped proxy of all».

There's a reason for that: the hockey - stick shaped pattern is in the data, and it's not just noise it's signal.

The truth is that whichever version of PCA you use, the hockey - stick shaped PC is one of the statistically significant patterns.

Gaping air intakes and exhaust outlets punctuate the front and rear fascias, while hockey - stick shaped accents grace the flanks.

All models feature LED daytime running lights that illuminate a hockey - stick shaped strip at the outer edge of the cluster.

«People at the seed stage are investing in a bunch of «what ifs,» and they are hoping for a hockey - stick shaped growth curve,» says Chad Grier, 35, CEO of META Security Group in Cornelius, North Carolina.

Stick shape foods are thin enough that they don't present the same choking hazards.

I just posted about, then you are so ready to keep crafting with the kids and make these easy DIY Popsicle Stick Shape Building Magnets.

Using your hands pinch off a few tablespoons worth of white dough and roll between your hands to form a stick shape, about 1/2 ″ thick and 5 ″ long.

Some foods can be cut into a stick shape so babies can hold it in their palm with a bit sticking out to chew on.

My still unanswered question is why does the hockey stick shape of Earth temperatures show up in a chart of the Solar magnetic flux?

In the original MBH decentered series, the hockey - stick shape emerged in the PC1 series because of reasons we have articulated in both our report and our testimony.

The hydrogenation of the vegetable oil is what allows margarine to maintain it's solid stick shape rather than being an oily puddle.

They should stick the shape into the table with a tick or cross to show their findings.

Two deep - draw horizontal character lines in the profile tie the front fenders with the rears, stopping just short of the creased rear fender wheel - arch accents, and the side daylight opening features an SUV - specific interpretation of Bentley's now familiar hockey - stick shape.

The pressed rawhide sticks, which are just small pieces made into a thin stick shape, seem harmless in moderation as they are consumed by most dogs like a biscuit and crumbled and eaten in no time flat.

EDGE manufactures and sells world class field hockey sticks and hockey equipment, using leading international players and skilled technical engineers to design unique stick shapes and compositions.

Speaking of the gallery, they have had extremely strong showings of late, and I am thinking especially of the Deborah Butterfield exhibition, which preceded the Shaw exhibition, and which also featured trompe l'oeil in her painted bronze works mimicking wooden sticks shaped as horses.