Not exact matches
When we are fully hedged, as we are at present (and provided that our long - put / short - call option combinations have identical strike -
prices and expirations), the source of our returns is the
performance of our favored
stocks relative to the indices which we use to hedge.
• Actual value
relative to target based on
performance against corporate goals and
stock price performance
The most important fundamental data (i.e., the ones that are currently most closely correlated to gold
prices) have actually slightly improved since we last discussed them (they're still in more or less neutral ranges, but slightly better — such as real interest rates, the
relative performance of bank
stocks vs. the SPX or the US dollar...).
On a closing note, there is a weak positive correlation in most mature industries between
stock price performance and
relative decreases in share count, assets, and sales.
In Mark Carhartt's 1997 paper, On Persistence in Mutual Fund
Performance, he demonstrated that common characteristics of stocks (size, relative price, momentum) almost completely explain persistence in mutual fund p
Performance, he demonstrated that common characteristics of
stocks (size,
relative price, momentum) almost completely explain persistence in mutual fund
performanceperformance.
While his Value Model selects
stocks with
relative price - to - sales in the 30th percentile or lower, Kirkpatrick's testing of
relative price - to - sales ratio percentile rankings indicated optimal
performance in percentiles greater than 17 but not higher than the 42nd percentile.
Weiss quoted the S&P
Stock Guide, «A ranking is not a forecast of future market
price performance, but is basically an appraisal of past
performance of earnings and dividends, and
relative current standing.»
Novy - Marx's The Other Side of Value paper showed that a simple quality metric, gross profits - to - assets, has roughly as much power predicting the
relative performance of different
stocks as tried - and - true value measures like book - to -
price.
As an adjunct to the main study, one of the variables they analyzed was the
relative earnings
performance of
stocks in the lowest and highest
price - to - book quintiles.
The first sign of possible trouble arose in August, when Facebook stopped outperforming the S&P 500 and could only match the benchmark's
performance, as indicated by its flat
relative price strength line in the
stock chart below.
At times when the yield spread was less than 80 basis points — when REIT dividend yields were extraordinarily high, reflecting REIT
stock prices that were especially low
relative to current distributions — REIT
performance over the next year tended to be especially strong, with total returns that averaged 20.81 percent and outpaced the broad
stock market by 5.67 percentage points.
At times when the yield spread was greater than 180 basis points — that is, when REIT dividend yields were extraordinarily low, reflecting REIT
stock prices that were especially high
relative to their current distributions — REIT
performance over the next year tended to be weak, with total returns that averaged 6.98 percent and underperformed the broad
stock market by 1.84 percentage points.
The reason is simple: given the extremely steady pace of REIT dividend distributions, major changes in the yield spread arise primarily because REIT
stock prices have been driven too high or too low
relative to their future
performance expectations.