If there is an effect, it will become obvious soon...... but soon means dialing in the lag from
stored ocean heat leaving the oceans from previously stronger cycles.
-- http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2015GL064541/abstract High - resolution measurements of ocean temperature and salinity in the Arctic Ocean's Canada Basin reveal the importance of the release of solar - derived
stored ocean heat on sea - ice growth.
Still, if measurements could demonstrate a gradual increase in
stored ocean heat, one would be forced to consider possible mechanisms.
Not exact matches
That wind - driven circulation change leads to cooler
ocean temperatures on the surface of the eastern Pacific, and more
heat being mixed in and
stored in the western Pacific down to about 300 meters (984 feet) deep, said England.
Gerald Meehl, a climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research who was also an author on the paper, said this research expanded on past work, including his own research, that pointed to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation as a factor in a warming slowdown by finding a mechanism behind how the Pacific
Ocean was able to
store enough
heat to produce a pause in surface warming.
Finally, all the climate models assume different amounts of energy
stored on Earth that is transferred to the
ocean depths, which act as an enormous
heat sink.
Although scientists are unable to predict when the oscillation will switch modes, when it does, the
heat, since it is not
stored very deep in the
ocean, can «readily resurface,» said England.
Last year, a study published in Science Advances found that the
oceans have been steadily
storing more
heat since the 1980s and that deeper layers of the
ocean are starting to warm up, as well.
«If the winds continue to increase as a result of global warming, then we will continue to see increased energy in eddies and jets that will have significant implications for the ability of the Southern
Ocean to
store carbon dioxide and
heat,» said Dr Hogg.
The
oceans can
store vast amounts of
heat because it takes a large amount of
heat to raise water temperature one degree.
Ocean circulation drives the movement of warm and cold waters around the world, so it is essential to
storing and regulating
heat and plays a key role in Earth's temperature and climate.
The joint NASA / NOAA / CNES / EUMETSAT Jason - 2 satellite measures sea surface height, which is especially useful in quantifying the
heat stored and released by the
oceans during El Niño years.
Because existing phenomena — such as thermal expansion of water from warming — do not fully explain the corrected sea - level - rise number of 3.3 millimeters,
stored heat in the deep
ocean may be making a significant contribution, Cazenave said.
Oceans cover 71 percent of the earth's surface and have a huge capacity to
store heat, playing a critical role in the climate system.
Anthropogenic climate change has continued, it's just not so visible in the surface... It's clearly visible if you look at the
heat stored in the
ocean, which has kept going during these 15 years.
The increase in
ocean heat content is much larger than any other
store of energy in the Earth's
heat balance over the two periods 1961 to 2003 and 1993 to 2003, and accounts for more than 90 % of the possible increase in
heat content of the Earth system during these periods.
The world's
oceans absorb more than 90 percent of the
heat trapped by greenhouse gases,
storing it for centuries.
Positive energy content change means an increase in
stored energy (i.e.,
heat content in
oceans, latent
heat from reduced ice or sea ice volumes,
heat content in the continents excluding latent
heat from permafrost changes, and latent and sensible
heat and potential and kinetic energy in the atmosphere).
Of the excess
heat trapped by greenhouse gases, 93 percent is
stored in the
oceans.
Where the
heat is actually
stored is another matter... the Southern
Ocean, for instance, appear to be taking up far more
heat than is being
stored there due to equatorward transport.
Because of their effect on lowering the temperature gradient of the cool skin layer, increased levels of greenhouse gases lead to more
heat being
stored in the
oceans over the long - term.
Measurement of
ocean heat content is the most critical observation, as nearly 90 percent of the energy surplus is
stored in the
ocean [64]--[65].
ENSO events, for example, can warm or cool
ocean surface temperatures through exchange of
heat between the surface and the reservoir
stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).
The
ocean stores much of the
heat absorbed by the excess greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, so it could be beginning of that
heat being unleashed back into the atmosphere.
Now the question remains (in my mind at least) whether the large increase in the amount of
heat stored in the
ocean is taken into account in the climate models.
ENSO events, for example, can warm or cool
ocean surface temperatures through exchange of
heat between the surface and the reservoir
stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).
NOAA posts regularly updated measurements of the amount of
heat stored in the bulk of the
oceans.
I acknowledge that temperature variations can vary over the earth's surface, and that
heat can be
stored / released by vertical processes in the atmosphere and
ocean.
Temporarily, you can also
store heat in the
ocean or release it, but the scope for changes in global mean temperature through this mechanism is quite limited.
The recent slower warming is mainly explained by the fact that in recent years the La Niña state in the tropical Pacific prevailed, in which the eastern Pacific is cold and the
ocean stores more
heat (2).
Changes in Antarctica are much smaller and more gradual, as it is far from the centre of action and the vast reservoir of
ocean around it acts as a
heat store.
First, global mean surface temperature depends on the quantity of
heat stored at the surface of the earth (earth, lower atmosphere, and the mixed layer of the
oceans).
Here's a summary from the magazine New Scientist
Ocean heat store makes climate change inevitable.
- stefan] Changes in Antarctica are much smaller and more gradual, as it is far from the centre of action and the vast reservoir of
ocean around it acts as a
heat store
Does this imply that a 1.5 °C increase in global temperatures brings the same problems independent of the
heat stored lower in the
oceans or how much the ice caps have melted?
@ 48 If your speculation is correct, I assume that another consequence would be that, if / when concentrations of greenhouse gases start to drop, corresponding reductions in surface
ocean / land temperatures would take place at a much slower rate than would otherwise be the case: the surplus
heat stored in the deep
ocean will gradually make its way to the
ocean surface, and continue to warm the atmosphere for decades, if not longer.
During El Niño the
ocean releases
heat, during La Niña it
stores more
heat.
We have solar energy
stored in the surface of the tropical
ocean to act as a source for a
heat engine.
The latter brings a somewhat slower warming at the surface of our planet, because more
heat is
stored deeper in the
ocean.
The lag time effect refers to the effect of
heat stored in the
ocean and subsequently released to warm land temperatures.
Furthermore, much of the
heat that is delivered by the sun is
stored in the Earth's
oceans while only a fraction of this
heat is
stored in the atmosphere.
More
heat is
stored in the
ocean.
Where the
heat is actually
stored is another matter... the Southern
Ocean, for instance, appear to be taking up far more
heat than is being
stored there due to equatorward transport.
The pumping can be done with power derived by a
heat engine from the solar thermal energy
stored in the
ocean surface water.
Globally, the Ozzies have pointed out that the
oceans have been busy absorbing almost all of the
heat energy (90 %) The atmosphere and the land, including ice,
store the other 10 %.
A short while ago I published an article attempting to explain why the so called atmospheric greenhouse effect was insignificant as a planetary
heat store in comparison to the
oceans.
In the coming months, ClimateDialogue.org will host discussions on such topics as climate sensitivity to CO2, sea level rise, the reliability of temperature measurements, the reliability and usefulness of climate models, and the extent to which
oceans can
store heat.
Nice misconception you have going there but the real argument is that CO2 can lower the temperature gradient of the cool skin layer, which slows the
heat loss to the atmosphere and increased levels of greenhouse gases lead to more
heat being
stored in the
oceans over the long - term.
One explanation is that space aliens implanted an energy source in the deep
ocean — they are
storing up the energy for the trip back, but it does generate some waste
heat.
Surface temperatures haven't increased as much as they did a decade or so ago, but we now understand that the extra
heat from global warming is getting
stored in the
oceans.