Fossil fuel companies facing a future with
stranded carbon assets, powerful contrarian ideologues, and right - wing media spreading climate disinformation remain major obstacles to progress.
Stranded carbon assets include fossil fuels, as well as those assets which, given their dependence on fossil fuels, are also CO2 - emissions intensive.
On Friday November 21st Glass Lewis hosted a Proxy Talk conference call with CERES and Walden Asset Management to discuss the risks from
stranded carbon assets, greenhouse gas emissions and hydraulic fracturing as well as trends in -LSB-...]
While a global price on carbon certainly would be important, we believe that investors are mistaken to assume that is the only path to
stranding carbon assets.
Not exact matches
Posted by Jeff Rubin on November 17th, 2014 under SmallerWorldTags:
carbon tax, climate change, oil prices,
Stranded assets • 3 Comments
It's worth asking, though, are these
carbon reserves really valuable resources or will they end up as
stranded assets?
Carbon Tracker, the analyst house which pioneered the
stranded asset or «
carbon bubble» theory, has warned a quarter of global oil refining capacity could become unviable and be forced to shut down within 20 years due to falling demand.
The
Carbon Tracker Initiative, a nonprofit organization that studies
carbon budgets, has warned that the remaining vast reserves of unburnable
carbon will become
stranded assets.
A small but growing number of countries now have legal requirements for institutional investors to report on how their investment policies and performance are affected by environmental factors, including South Africa and, prospectively, the EU.36 Concern about the risks of a «
carbon bubble» — that highly valued fossil fuel
assets and investments could be devalued or «
stranded» under future, more stringent climate policies — prompted G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in April 2015 to ask the Financial Stability Board in Basel to convene an inquiry into how the financial sector can take account of climate - related issues.37
Moreover, Exxon Mobil expressed confidence that its oil and gas
assets were unlikely to become
stranded even under much tighter regulation of
carbon emissions because the fossil fuels would be needed to grow the world's economies.
It also allows for a smoother reallocation of investment away from high -
carbon towards low -
carbon technologies and infrastructure, avoiding the risk of
stranded assets and economic disruption.
He was way ahead of the game before the more recent pronouncements of unburnable
carbon and «
stranded assets ``.
Investment in low -
carbon technologies needs to increase by around 30 % to $ 120 trillion to enable the energy transition and avoid escalating
stranded assets, the report finds.
It says investors that currently have high exposure to high -
carbon assets are at risk of possessing «
stranded assets» — a term used to describe financially worthless investment stocks.
Adopt a goal of requiring, or persuading, fossil fuel companies to disclose in their 10Ks and other filings the amount of
carbon held for ultimate release on the
asset side of their balance sheets, and the range of possible outcomes to their business if some of those
assets are
stranded.
This paper is designed to assist the TCFD members in assessing the «
carbon bubble» concept and «
stranded asset» risks inherent in the business - as - usual strategies of many fossil fuel companies.
The think - thanks research to date on «unburnable
carbon», the «
carbon bubble», and
stranded assets has ignited a new global debate on how to align the financial system with the energy transition to a low
carbon future.
The markets today are in a
carbon bubble, because they ignore future
stranded fossil fuel
assets.
In the case of fossil fuels, the
carbon bubble effect due to
stranded assets has motivated some divestment activity, in addition to the ethical / survival concerns over increasingly serious climate impacts due to fossil fuels consumption.
Developing and implementing these strategies ensures alignment with the long - term goals of the Paris Agreement, in a way that fosters increased prosperity for citizens, reduces the risk of locking - in unsustainable and high - emission infrastructure, and will help to avoid
stranded high -
carbon assets.
Once the financial impact of
stranded assets are factored in, the
carbon bubble will collapse with large financial consequences for fossil fuel companies and their owners.
The combination of needing to limit
carbon dioxide emissions and having fossil fuel companies that are valued by their proven reserves is what
Carbon Tracker, a non-profit organization, is calling the «
Carbon Bubble» in their new report, «Unburnable
carbon 2013: Wasted capital and
stranded assets.»
First is regulation that could
strand assets in several ways: direct regulation on
carbon led by authorities at the local, national, regional, or global level; indirect regulation through increased pollution controls, constraints on water usage, or policies targeting health concerns; and mandates on renewable energy adoption and efficiency standards.
Third, sociopolitical pressures (e.g., fossil - fuel divestment campaigns, environmental advocacy, grass - roots protests and changing public opinion) could create an environment in which
carbon - intensive businesses could lose their «license to operate,» thereby
stranding assets.
Many investors cite what we believe is a misinformed view that
carbon assets will not be vulnerable to
stranding until a meaningful
carbon price is enforced by a global accord.
For the IEA, the extent to which risk exists from
stranded assets depends on whether the low -
carbon transition is orderly or disorderly — something
Carbon Tracker frequently highlights as well.
At the same time, current international commitments to reduce
carbon emissions and rapid technological change have already led many fund managers to reconsider their investments in these potentially
stranded assets, while a growing number of studies show that responsible investment portfolios typically offer returns on a par with or superior to, conventional investment portfolios.
Given the strictures on shareholder proposals, it's common for investor advocates to push not for specific changes, but for analyses of risk: asking companies to publicly measure their greenhouse gas emissions, to analyze the environmental impact of their global supply chains, or, in a strategy pioneered last year, to quantify their exposure to «
stranded assets,» such as fossil fuel reserves that would exceed the world
carbon budget.
In a world where
carbon emissions will increasingly have to be constrained, coal, as the dirtiest of the fossil fuels, is the energy
asset most vulnerable to becoming «
stranded» — the most vulnerable, in other words, to seeing its market value collapse well ahead of its previously anticipated useful life.
«A dramatic energy sector transition would require steady, long - term price signals to be economically efficient, to allow timely adoption of low -
carbon technologies and to minimise the amount of
stranded energy
assets.
Mark has not only been a key ally of
Carbon Tracker since its inception, attending many of our early strategy sessions, he has also played an international role in extending our thinking around «
stranded assets» and the «
carbon bubble» whilst at Barclays.
CCS also plays a strong role in both power and industry in the IEA analysis by offering an important way to minimise «
stranded assets» in a low -
carbon transition.
It is applying its thinking on
carbon budgets and
stranded assets across geographies and
assets classes to inform investor thinking and the regulation of capital markets.
London, 19th April 2013 — Today new research by
Carbon Tracker Initiative and the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at London School of Economics and Political Science reveals that despite fossil fuel reserves already far exceeding the
carbon budget to avoid global warming of more than 2 °C, $ 674 billion was spent last year finding and developing new potentially
stranded assets.
As the comparison to global coal budgets illustrate above, Australia will have a vast oversupply of coal
assets in a
carbon - constrained world, therefore running the risk of being left with significant
stranded assets.
As the transition to zero -
carbon accelerates, many fossil - fueled power stations will have to be closed before they reach the end of their natural life, the IEA says, causing lost earnings and creating «
stranded assets» that are worth less than expected by investors.
CTI have recently release a thorough response to Shell's letter on
stranded asset and
carbon bubble and will soon issue a similar response to Exxon.»
«Efforts to stay within a
carbon budget, increase fuel efficiency, reduce costs and improve air quality mean that if capital continues to flow into oil sands, the projects risk becoming
stranded assets», says
Carbon Tracker's research director, James Leaton.
«[F] or a 50 % probability of limiting warming to 2 °C, assuming other sectors play their part, no new investment in fossil electricity infrastructure (without
carbon capture) is feasible from 2017 at the latest, unless energy policy leads to early
stranding of polluting
assets or large scale
carbon capture deployment,» Oxford researchers wrote in March.
Through pioneering analysis into the «
carbon bubble» and «
stranded assets»,
Carbon Tracker investigates the financial risks faced by high -
carbon investments in the face of a rapid energy transition.
Quirke: And
carbon capture sequestration (CCS) is an exception to the rule of the
stranded assets concept.
Further analysis has identified the fossil fuel reserves and resources at risk of becoming economically «
stranded assets» due to a low -
carbon energy transition.
«There is a risk that focusing on «
stranded assets» or the concept of the «
carbon bubble» distracts attention away for the reality of a growing population, increasing prosperity and growing energy demand.»
This has fed into their thinking on assessing the «
carbon bubble» and «
stranded asset» risks of fossil fuel companies.
In 2015
Carbon Tracker presented the
stranded assets / unburnable
carbon idea to a full meeting of central banks and regulators at the Financial Stability Board meeting on climate change hosted by Mark Carney, effectively contributing to the creation of the Task Force on Climate - related Financial Disclosures (TCFD).
His mandate is to develop the organization's capabilities in North America, building awareness and understanding of
carbon and
stranded asset risk amongst institutional investors and broadening the distribution and usage of
Carbon Tracker's proprietary research.
One of those potential risks with severe financial consequences is the concept of
stranded assets, which has become particularly intertwined with yet - unused
carbon assets and fossil fuels.
As the U.S. strives to significantly cut
carbon emissions and limit climate impacts — such as sea level rise — this natural gas infrastructure may eventually need to be abandoned, becoming a «
stranded asset.»
The Alberta government could see to it that the energy producers refined the stuff into synthetic crude oil on site but this is a high - cost, high -
carbon asset already at some risk of becoming «
stranded.»
CK: What is the plan, if any, for compensating those who have invested in «
stranded assets» — that is, those who will be stuck with increasingly unprofitable
carbon - intense
assets?