Accordingly, other scientists questioned the ability to detect
strong hurricane trends.
Not exact matches
As we have discussed elsewhere on this site, statistical measures that focus on
trends in the
strongest category storms, maximum
hurricane winds, and changes in minimum central pressures, suggest a systematic increase in the intensities of those storms that form.
Moreover, as each
hurricane season is relatively short, it is especially susceptible to the caprices of «weather», i.e., a season may be
strong or weak due to a particular weather pattern that is just a few weeks long and that does not reflect any long - term
trend whatever.
To conclude — I will add that the investigators of the re-analysis project had the following conclusion for Cycles of
hurricane activity: These records reflect the existence of cycles of
hurricane activity, rather than
trends toward more frequent or
stronger hurricanes.
With respect to
hurricane intensity, there are observed
trends indicating this and model results predicting this, and while there are problems in each (data problems with
hurricanes, coarse resolution in global models, etc.), theoretical arguments also make clear that there will be more energy and water vapor available in the atmosphere to cause more intense
hurricanes, so a very
strong case can be made for this happening.
The intensity of
hurricanes and frequency of the
strongest ones like Maria has also increased since the 1980s, a
trend expected to continue as the planet warms.
But the point of the whole op - ed piece, as well as the Science paper, was that our recent history is, in fact, consistent with our current projections of long - term
trends towards
stronger hurricanes worldwide.
Recent studies suggest that the most intense Atlantic
hurricanes have become
stronger since the early 1980s.1 While this is still the subject of active research, this
trend is projected to continue.2, 3
The new BAMS article shows persuasive evidence of a huge jump in category - 4
hurricanes 1970 - 2004, but declines or flat
trends in the numbers of
stronger and weaker
hurricanes.
US residential markets affected by the particularly
strong series of
hurricanes in August and September are
trending toward recovery.