-
Applying a 3.5 x revenue multiple to WU.com, which is a
discount to Xoom's 4.8 x revenue takeover multiple, and 15x EV / FCF to WU's remaining businesses (retail C2C, C2B, and B2B), which is a
substantial discount to MoneyGram's 21x EV / FCF takeover valuation, they derive an intrinsic value estimate of ~ $ 33 per share for WU at the end of 2020, offering ~ 72 % upside, or a 3.5 - year IRR of ~ 20 % including the dividend (3.7 % current yield).
The current share price implies a
substantial discount is being
applied to Argo's investment in TAF — shareholders will obviously welcome the improved disclosure, and I believe it should prompt a general re-evaluation of this unwarranted
discount.