Sentences with phrase «substantial warming trend»

The observed sea surface temperature in the Southern Ocean shows a substantial warming trend for the second half of the 20th century.
The remarkably cold modified Arctic airmass that has brought bitterly cold air to much of North America has now shifted eastward, and the West Coast is in the midst of a slow but substantial warming trend that will continue at least through the coming weekend.

Not exact matches

Nonetheless, even if the substantial recent trend in the AO pattern is simply a product of natural multidecadal variability in North Atlantic climate, it underscores the fact that western and southern Greenland is an extremely poor place to look, from a signal vs. noise point of view, for the large - scale polar amplification signature of anthropogenic surface warming.
Indeed, the dampened late 20th century winter warming over a substantial part of Greenland, particularly the western and southern regions emphasized by the network of stations analyzed by Vinther et al, is known (see e.g. this NOAA page) to be associated with a trend toward the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation («AO») pattern.
He called it «distinctly possible» that the projected warming trend after 2030 «will indeed be catastrophic (at least for a substantial fraction of the earth's population).»
Nonetheless, even if the substantial recent trend in the AO pattern is simply a product of natural multidecadal variability in North Atlantic climate, it underscores the fact that western and southern Greenland is an extremely poor place to look, from a signal vs. noise point of view, for the large - scale polar amplification signature of anthropogenic surface warming.
The study, described in an article today in The Times, finds that poorly understood variations in water vapor concentrations in the stratosphere were probably responsible for a substantial wedge of the powerful warming trend in the 1990s and a substantial portion of «the flattening of global average temperatures since 2000 ″ (to anyone who hates talk of plateaus and the like, those are the authors» words, not mine).
Indeed, the dampened late 20th century winter warming over a substantial part of Greenland, particularly the western and southern regions emphasized by the network of stations analyzed by Vinther et al, is known (see e.g. this NOAA page) to be associated with a trend toward the positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation («AO») pattern.
To clarify my above comment, I was suggesting that the observed rise in ocean heat content would be substantial with or without the La Nina effect, representing primarily the persistence of a long term warming trend.
Apparently, after taking into account the effects of the NAO, there's a substantial underlying warming trend.
The antarctic ice winter max decreased by about one third during this period, and the HadCRUT temp data base for that region during that period does show a substantial surface air temperature warming trend.
If a substantial fraction of all the weather stations from around the world have been affected by urbanization bias, then this could have introduced an artificial warming trend into the «global temperature trend» estimates.
Karlsson claims that «human emissions of carbon dioxide and other anthropogenic greenhouse gases is [sic] a substantial influence on the current warming trend
The century long trend is warming followed by a substantial pause (cooling) then warming again according to HADCRUT4 for a trend of 0.08 C per decade.
There may be an underlying warming trend, which started as we began emerging from the LIA, long before humans were emitting any substantial amounts of GHGs.
The second issue raised in our Science paper (now available free, see bottom of this post) is that perhaps there shouldn't yet have been substantial long - term trends in hurricane intensity — whether we would be able detect them above the natural variability or not — because until the last couple of decades, aerosol cooling effects on hurricanes have been counteracting the effects of greenhouse gas warming.
Even the OLS trend over the last 16 years is positive and the uncertainty range covers substantial warming.
The very high significance levels of model — observation discrepancies in LT and MT trends that were obtained in some studies (e.g., Douglass et al., 2008; McKitrick et al., 2010) thus arose to a substantial degree from using the standard error of the model ensemble mean as a measure of uncertainty, instead of the ensemble standard deviation or some other appropriate measure for uncertainty arising from internal climate variability... Nevertheless, almost all model ensemble members show a warming trend in both LT and MT larger than observational estimates (McKitrick et al., 2010; Po - Chedley and Fu, 2012; Santer et al., 2013).
Many states went from essentially no warming trend as displayed by the older 2013 «official» government graphic to substantial warming innthennew 2014 version of supposedly the same data.
They argue that this «very likely made substantial contributions to the flattening of the global warming trend since about 2000» and that temperatures between 2000 - 2009 would have warmed about 25 percent had stratospheric water vapor remained constant.
Since the tropical West Pacific is already warmer on average than the East, this trend led to a substantial increase in the west - to - east temperature differential across the Pacific Ocean basin over a 15 year period.
But even assuming there is substantial lag the warming trend of the oceans from the first half of the 20th century doesn't appear any different to me that that from the last half as shown in the now non-displayed graph from NASA.
«Models do not generally reproduce the observed reduction in surface warming trend... There is medium confidence that this difference between models and observations is to a substantial degree caused by unpredictable climate variability.»
If greenhouse warming causes a substantial increase in hurricane activity, then the century scale increase in global and tropical Atlantic SSTs since the late 1800s should have been accompanied by a long - term rising trend in measures of Atlantic hurricanes activity.
Although there might be «slowdowns and accelerations in warming lasting a decade or more,» they write, the clear long - term trend is «substantial increases in global average surface temperature and important changes in regional climate.»
Decorating with Warm Walls There has been a pretty substantial trend toward cool toned walls and white walls in the last few years.
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