Since 500 million people across the world live along the coastal delta, understanding of the Ganga - Brahmaputra - Meghna (GBM) delta will be crucial in developing
such regional climate models in the next project that looks at India Sunderbans and Mahanadi basin, Bangladesh Sunderbans, Egypt Nile delta and Ghana Volta delta,» Nicholls told TOI.
Not exact matches
Plugging
such weather data into a
regional climate model revealed that the impacts were likely due to the increased mixing of the near - surface and higher - atmosphere air thanks to the wind turbines.
The analysis uses methods that have already been peer - reviewed, including examining the change in occurrence of
such extreme rains in the historical record and in
climate models, as well as using finer - scale
regional climate models to compare the current
climate to one without warming.
Such offices shall engage in cooperative research, development, and demonstration projects with the academic community, State
Climate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
Climate Offices,
Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on
climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
climate products, technologies,
models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of
regional and local
climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of
regional and local adaptation plans to respond to
climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Committee.
January 2004: «Directions for
Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.
Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary,
such as «natural
climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.
climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of
climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.
climate models to predict changes on a
regional and local scale.»
Unfortunately it is not a question that can be answered with a great deal of confidence from current - generation global
climate models since their spatial resolution is typically inadequate to address
such regional matters with any degree of reliability.
The
models serve merely to quantify these basic facts more accurately, calculate the
regional climate response, and compute effects (
such as the expected increase in ocean heat content or sea level) which can be tested against observed data from the real world.
Finally, simulations having finer spatial detail (i.e., «downscaled»
climate model projections) do not necessarily have greater accuracy than coarser - resolution simulations; they add contextual detail related to factors
such as
regional topography and coastlines but may still retain the same basic climatic features simulated at larger scales.
This is one of the more challenging aspects of
modeling of the
climate system because precipitation involves not only large - scale processes that are well - resolved by
models but also small - scale process,
such as convection, that must be parameterized in the current generation of global and
regional climate models.
As he points out, this doesn't guarantee a better
regional climate simulation however, and some aspects,
such as trends, can be quite sensitive to the lateral boundary conditions from global
models (an inherent limitation for RCMs).
Such offices shall engage in cooperative research, development, and demonstration projects with the academic community, State
Climate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
Climate Offices,
Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on
climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
climate products, technologies,
models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of
regional and local
climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of
regional and local adaptation plans to respond to
climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Com
climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Committee.
The inability of global
climate models to match the timing or placement of short - term or
regional precipitation patterns
such as the West African monsoon may be alleviated by «downscaling» to use smaller scale
climate models with increased area resolution.
(C) ensure operational quality control of all
Climate Service Program products including a transparent and open accounting of all the assumptions built into the global, national, regional, and local weather and climate computer models upon which such products are
Climate Service Program products including a transparent and open accounting of all the assumptions built into the global, national,
regional, and local weather and
climate computer models upon which such products are
climate computer
models upon which
such products are based;
On p601, they state that «
Models continue to have significant limitations,
such as in their representation of clouds, which lead to uncertainties in the magnitude and timing, as well as
regional details, of predicted
climate change.»
Key remaining uncertainties relate to the precise magnitude and nature of changes at global, and particularly
regional, scales, and especially for extreme events and our ability to simulate and attribute
such changes using
climate models.
Following the trend in global
modelling, RCMs are increasingly coupled interactively with other components of the
climate system,
such as
regional ocean and sea ice (e.g., Bailey and Lynch 2000; Döscher et al., 2002; Rinke et al., 2003; Bailey et al., 2004; Meier et al., 2004; Sasaki et al., 2006a), hydrology, and with interactive vegetation (Gao and Yu, 1998; Xue et al., 2000).
You list areas of rising discomfort with
models, question their suitability for CO2 mitigation policies and
regional climate change forecasts and suggest some
model improvements,
such as
Current
models of
climate change include sea level rise, land degradation,
regional changes in temperature and precipitation patterns, and some consequences for agriculture, but without
modeling the feedbacks that these significant impacts would have on the Human System,
such as geographic and economic displacement, forced migration, destruction of infrastructure, increased economic inequality, nutritional sustenance, fertility, mortality, conflicts, and spread of diseases or other human health consequences [135,136].
GFDL scientists focus on
model - building relevant for society,
such as hurricane research, weather and ocean prediction, seasonal forecasting, and understanding global and
regional climate change.
I think it it reasonable for reasonable people to be somewhat shocked and surprised by
such massive shifts in a scientific consensus to at least be asking questions about who or what is right or more right, and why X evidence is suddenly superseding Y evidence, or why previously accepted global
climate models,
regional or ocean
models no longer are accepted.
My favorite quote from that paper is: «Because ENSO is the dominant mode of
climate variability at interannual time scales, the lack of consistency in the
model predictions of the response of ENSO to global warming currently limits our confidence in using these predictions to address adaptive societal concerns,
such as
regional impacts or extremes (Joseph and Nigam 2006; Power et al. 2006).»