The paper
suggested tactical voting to prevent a Conservative victory, given Britain's first - past - the - post electoral system.
Not exact matches
The British Election Study survey evidence
suggests that Scottish Labour MPs will not be saved by incumbency effects or
tactical voting, so the party will primarily need to attract a significant number of their former voters back from the SNP.
Since some factors
suggest an increase and some a decline, we will have to wait for the post election surveys to know how
tactical voting changes at this election.
A recent Channel 4 News / YouGov poll
suggested otherwise, reporting that potentially 9 Labour and 2 Lib Dem seats could saved from the SNP by
tactical voting between unionist parties.
Labour sources privately
suggested that
tactical voting from Conservative and Liberal Democrat supporters may have helped swing the
vote further in their favour in what was acknowledged to be a two horse race.
Peter Kellner: YouGov's latest poll in Scotland
suggests that some Labour MPs, and possibly two Liberal Democrats, might be saved by
tactical voting (Comments: 271)
I don't put much store in opinion polls, but if true it would only indicate roughly what you would expect to happen at this point in the parliament - 32 % isn't that much lower than Labour got in the 2005 General Election and all it would
suggest is that the Liberal Democrats are having a reversal -
tactical voting could see them holding onto many of their current seats, indeed it is even possible that if they got 17 % of the
vote that if it focused in an area that they could actually end up with more seats, where the switches in support are occuring is crucial - if they are focused then if the Conservative Party were to get 39 % then it might still result in them getting fewer seats than Labour or in extremis winning a 150 seat majority or so?
The available evidence
suggests that after some
tactical «unwind» in the 2011 local elections the trend was a return to local
tactical voting for the Lib Dems by 2013.
Interestingly comparing the standard
voting intention question and the constituency question a quarter of Conservative voters say they will actually
vote Lib Dem in Hallam,
suggesting significant Tory
tactical voting propping up Nick Clegg.
I might
suggest, as the Green Party have been imploring, a bit of
tactical voting.