Not exact matches
Whilst several methods for counteracting climate change with geoengineering are considered feasible, injecting
sulfates or other fine
aerosols into the stratosphere, thereby
increasing planetary albedo, is a leading contender.
Sulfate aerosols have a cooling effect on the climate, which has led some researchers to suggest that continued reductions will lead to greater global temperature
increases in coming decades.
The potential risks around
sulfate aerosol solar geoengineering include alteration of regional precipitation patterns, its effects on human health, and the potential damage to Earth's ozone layer by
increased stratospheric
sulfate particles.
Reduction of the amount of atmospheric CH4 and related gases is needed to counterbalance expected forcing from
increasing N2O and decreasing
sulfate aerosols.
CO2 is on track for 450 before Big Carbon can be substantially slowed, and resistance to coal (but replacement with methane) is
increasing so that the
sulfate aerosol blanket will go away.
The fraction of the light that scatters back out to space is responsible for the
increased albedo and the cooling effect from
sulfate aerosols.
If
sulfate aerosols nucleate cloud drops, resulting in a greater number of smaller droplets rather than a few large ones, this will further
increase scattering and cooling.
Sulfate aerosol is a health hazard, limits visibility, degrades buildings, reflects solar radiation (cooling the climate) and also impacts cloud properties (
increasing their lifetime and reducing rainfall).
«In a scenario of zeroed CO2 and
sulfate aerosol emissions, whether the warming induced by specified constant concentrations of non-CO2 greenhouse gases could slow the CO2 decline following zero emissions or even reverse this trend and cause CO2 to
increase over time is assessed.
While GHGs /
aerosols may be the dominant factor in the average
increase, they are emitted in rather continuous
increasing amounts for GHGs and
increasing + constant (after 1975) amounts for
sulfate aerosols.
The bottom two panels demonstrate that this weakening is due entirely to the anthropogenic forcings — greenhouse gas
increases offset by
sulfate aerosol effects.
Considering also that Northern Hemispheric cooling in 1940 — 70 is attributable to the «global dimming» effect of
increasing sulfate aerosols, the
sulfate cooling effect is, again, felt more strongly in Greenland, and indirectly via altered atmospheric dynamics not via local radiation budget modification.
But
increasing CO2 provides a long - term positive forcing; other forcings (like solar early in the century, and
sulfate aerosols mid centrury) are superimposed onto that.
Around 1975, pollution controls removed the
sulfate aerosol brake from the CO2 freight train, which is careening out of control at more than 2 PPM
increase per year (and the rate of
increase is rising).
The observed North Atlantic
sulfate aerosol optical depth has not
increased (but shows a modest decline) over this period, suggesting the decline of the Atlantic major hurricane frequency during 2005 — 2015 is not likely due to recent changes in anthropogenic
sulfate aerosols.
McCusker et al. (2012) performed an experiment in which global - mean surface temperature was held constant by
increasing CO2 while simultaneously
increasing sulfate aerosol... to compensate.
The slight downward trend in temperature from about 1945 until about 1975 is due to the
increase in
Sulfate Aerosols (SO4), largely produced by burning coal that contains sulfur.
Hansen has stated that the cause for his is the large
increase in
sulfate aerosols resulting from Chineses coal burning.
Reduction of the amount of atmospheric CH4 and related gases is needed to counterbalance expected forcing from
increasing N2O and decreasing
sulfate aerosols.
Similarly, cooling from
increased sulfate aerosols was a major contributor to mid-century cooling.
In attempts to counteract the temperature decrease from 1940 to 1970 while CO2 from human sources
increased proponents of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) claimed it was due to human addition of
sulfate aerosols.
So far, the initial effect is still relatively small for two reasons: (i) part of that effect has been canceled temporarily by
increases in
sulfate aerosol, and (ii) the warming has been delayed because it takes a long time for the vast mass of the ocean to heat up.
IPCC projections do not show obvious threshold behavior this century (12), but they do agree that
sulfate aerosols would dampen the strength of ISM precipitation, whereas
increased greenhouse gases
increase the interannual variability of daily precipitation (69).
There is no evidence of regional cooling from
increases in asian
aerosols so it is logical to conclude that black carbon and
sulfates balance out.
The issue is that BC and
sulfate aerosols have
increased in lockstep in China.
We saw
increasing BC emissions also in the first half of the last century, which acted to counterbalance the cooling of the similarly
increasing sulfate aerosols to some extent.
In all these regions, greenhouse gases are estimated to have caused generally
increasing warming as the century progressed, balanced to a greater or lesser degree, depending on the region, by cooling from
sulfate aerosols in the middle of the century.»
In response to
increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases and tropospheric
sulfate aerosols, the multimodel average exhibits a positive annular trend in both hemispheres, with decreasing sea level pressure (SLP) over the pole and a compensating
increase in midlatitudes.
Brenty - The
increased level of atmospheric
sulfate aerosols from tropical volcanoes over the last decade, blocked sunlight reaching the Earth's surface, which has contributed to a very slight reduction in warming.
The monotonic
increase of the cleaned global temperature throughout the 20th century suggests
increasing greenhouse gas forcing more - or-less consistently dominating
sulfate aerosol forcing, although our technique can not exclude other mechanisms not contained in the current generation of model forcing (22).
Linkages of the observed changes in the diurnal temperature range to large - scale climate forcings, such as anthropogenic
increases in
sulfate aerosols, greenhouse gases, or biomass burning (smoke), remain tentative.
There is also a fairly large
increase in modelled
sulfate load over the Tropical North Atlantic from about 1960, which is presumably the main cause of modelled present day strong
aerosol forcing off the West African coast, as depicted in Booth et al. figure 4b.