Not exact matches
Sulfate aerosols have a cooling
effect on the
climate, which has led some researchers to suggest that continued reductions will lead to greater global temperature increases in coming decades.
It is my understanding that the uncertainties regarding
climate sensitivity to a nominal 2XCO2 forcing is primarily a function of the uncertainties in (1) future atmospheric aerosol concentrations; both
sulfate - type (cooling) and black carbon - type (warming), (2) feedbacks associated with aerosol
effects on the properties of clouds (e.g. will cloud droplets become more reflective?)
The second IPCC report, published in 1995, invoked the «
sulfate - aerosol
effect» and produced the memorable but essentially meaningless phrase that «the balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global
climate.»
That same reference finds that the statistical estimates for the temperature
effect of volcanic
sulfates and ENSO (and
effects of ENSO on atmospheric CO2) are consistent with estimates derived from
climate models and empirical analyses.
On one hand, the reduction in global SO2 emissions reduces the role of
sulfate aerosols in determining future
climate toward the end of the 21st century and therefore reduces one aspect of uncertainty about future
climate change (because the precise forcing
effect of
sulfate aerosols is highly uncertain).
Bauer, S.E., M.I. Mishchenko, A.A. Lacis, S. Zhang, J.P. Perlwitz, and S.M. Metzger, 2007: Do
sulfate and nitrate coatings on mineral dust have important
effects on radiative properties and
climate modeling?
This is what the IPCC models think the
climate would be doing without anthropogenic
effects (both warming CO2 and cooling
sulfates, for example).
Climate engineering: To counter the
effects of heat - trapping greenhouse gases, some experts have proposed artificially cooling the planet by injecting
sulfates into the stratosphere, which would mimic the
effects of a major volcanic eruption.