Climate models typically predict an increase in
Indian summer monsoon rainfall with anthropogenic warming.
The fourth assessment report of the IPCC had this to say about the monsoon: «It is likely that warming associated with increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will cause an increase of
Asian summer monsoon precipitation variability.
The seasonal migration
of summer monsoon rains across the equator defines the tropical rain belt, a zone of enormous biodiversity and the home of approximately 40 % of people on Earth.
Nature: The vagaries of South Asian
summer monsoon rainfall on short and long timescales impact the lives of more than one billion people.
This region is irrigated by
summer monsoon rains and rain - fed agriculture is the primary sustenance for Sahel populations.
We have also shown a relationship between Indian
summer monsoon precipitation and spring season vegetation cover which is increasing due to massive irrigation over the Indian subcontinent and adjacent areas (Lee et al., In review).
Using eight AOGCMs, Ueda et al. (2006) demonstrate that pronounced warming over the tropics results in a weakening of the Asian
summer monsoon circulations in relation to a reduction in the meridional thermal gradients between the Asian continent and adjacent oceans.
For the Ganges and Brahmaputra this contribution is estimated to be significantly less than for the Indus to the west,
with summer monsoon rains dominating flows from central and easterly areas, whereas melt water remains a significant contributor to downstream flow of westerly basins, which receive most precipitation during winter.
Roughly 1.7 billion people rely on the annual Indian
summer monsoons for water to drink, grow crops, and raise livestock.
They used climate simulations to estimate the effects of volcanic eruptions
on summer monsoon rainfall in the Ethiopian highlands.
Accompanying this summer cooling, the upper - level westerly jet stream over East Asia shifts southward and the East Asian
summer monsoon weakens, which results in the tendency towards increased droughts in northern China and floods in the Yangtze River valley (Yu et al., 2004b).
Annual values of the East Asia
summer monsoon index derived from MSLP gradients between land and ocean in the East Asia region.
Current theory predicts that the Northern
Hemisphere summer monsoon circulation should weaken under anthropogenic global warming.
A common triggering mechanism for severe convective weather is lifting by the front, a high temperature gradient across the monsoon, and this would also be reduced in a
weaker summer monsoon.
The team, who report their findings today (Feb. 17, 2017) in Scientific Reports, found that the strength of the East Asian
Summer Monsoon decreased at a rate strongly correlated to that of severe weather throughout the same time period.
Last year, the subcontinent's
annual summer monsoon arrived months late, parching farms and causing widespread blackouts by reducing hydroelectric supplies.
His work in Australia began in 2009 and was originally intended to focus on the chemical composition of the stalagmites as a means of reconstructing past changes in the intensity of
Australian summer monsoon rains.
and the examples that he thinks have the potential to be large scale tipping elements are: Arctic sea - ice, a reorganisation of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, melt of the Greenland or West Antarctic Ice Sheets, dieback of the Amazon rainforest, a greening of the Sahara, Indian
summer monsoon collapse, boreal forest dieback and ocean methane hydrates.
Lee Eungul, Thomas N. Chase, Peter J. Lawrence, Balaji Rajagopalan, Model assessment of the observed relationship between El Nino and the northern East Asian
summer monsoon using the CCSM3, J. Geophys.
At Pfennig's invitation, I had arrived at the American Museum of Natural History's Southwestern Research Station in mid-July — just after the
early summer monsoons had turned cattle wallows into nursery ponds and newly hatched tadpoles into cannibals.
The broad comparability between the HML paleo - proxies, Chinese speleothem δ18Orecords, and the northern hemisphere summer insolation throughout the Holocene, suggests that solar insolation exerts a profound influence on ASM [Asian
summer monsoon] changes.
It's become a deadly autumn tradition in northern India: after the rains of the
late summer monsoon subside, farmers set fires to their fields to clear stubble after the harvest and send choking smoke rolling across the countryside.
There's accumulating evidence that geoengineering has already started, unintentionally, from the natural forces of Asia's
massive summer monsoon.
This intensification has resulted in significantly greater
global summer monsoon rainfall in the Northern Hemisphere than predicted from greenhouse - gas - induced warming alone: namely a 9.5 % increase, compared to the anthropogenic predicted contribution of 2.6 % per degree of global warming.
In the second half of the 20th century, the levels of rain recorded during the Northern Hemisphere's
summer monsoon fell by as much as 10 per cent, researchers say.
The pressure gradient leads to a cross-equatorial flow, which, when combined with the Earth's rotation, yields the familiar C - shape of
boreal summer monsoon winds in the lower troposphere as seen in Figure 1.
The diurnal cycle of
summer monsoon convection in the coastal, mountainous region of northwestern Mexico is investigated using data from the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME).
This study shows that the
EA summer monsoon may be divided into early summer [Mayâ $ «June (MJ)-RSB- and late summer [Julyâ $ «August (JA)-RSB- and exhibits remarkable...
Sontakke and Singh (The Holocene 6, 315 - 31, 1996) developed instrumental
period summer monsoon (June - September total) rainfall series (1813 - 1995) for six homogeneous zones and all of India using 306 raingauge stations.
The current seasonal prediction of East Asia (EA)
summer monsoon deals with Juneâ $ «Julyâ $ «August (JJA) mean anomalies.
Lin J. L., K. M. Weickmann, G. N. Kiladis, B. E. Mapes, et al. (September 2008): Subseasonal Variability Associated with Asian
Summer Monsoon Simulated by 14 IPCC AR4 Coupled GCMs.
Summary: The study found that unusually dry periods of little rainfall from India's
summer monsoons mostly occurred during periods of lower solar intensity.
Coupling of the Quasi ‐ Biweekly Oscillation of the Tibetan
Plateau Summer Monsoon With the Arctic Oscillation