The stagnation of global near -
surface average temperatures shows that the uncertainties in the climate prognoses are surprisingly large.
``... your stadium - wave analysis was telling you that
surface average temperatures should have been doing one thing in the 1930s, yet they started to diverge from that.»
Apparently the Stadium Wave «scripts the multi-decadal component of the Northern Hemisphere
surface average temperature.»
Wyatt & Curry say «DM [Dickey and Marcus] removed the estimated anthropogenic footprint from
the surface average temperature...».
I specifically would like to know how you judged what the «estimated anthropogenic footprint» in
surface average temperature was.
DM removed the estimated anthropogenic footprint from
the surface average temperature to generate a «corrected» temperature, one assumed to reflect only natural variability.
In the Assessment's 1200 horror - studded pages, almost everything that happens in our complex world â $» sex, birth, disease, death, hunger, and wars, to name a few â $» is somehow made worse by pernicious emissions of carbon dioxide and the joggling of
surface average temperature by a mere two degrees.
Figure 1: The decadal land -
surface average temperature using a 10 - year moving average of surface temperatures over land.
Another thing I wonder about is given the insulating properties of sea ice as well as that of CO2, are we sure which changing insulation effect we are seeing in
the Surface Average Temperature?
Figure 1: The BEST decadal land -
surface average temperature using a 10 - year moving average of surface temperatures over land.
This specific value of temperature and the lapse rate and altitude give the effective
surface average temperature.
Professor Matthew England — ABC Science — 10 February 2014 «Even though there is this hiatus in
this surface average temperature, we're still getting record heat waves, we're still getting harsh bush fires.....
No matter how AGW distorts numbers and torture mathematics, the reality (measurements) is that
the surface average temperature of the Earth is 293 K (20 °C), and the average solar power on top of the atmosphere is 1368 W / m2.
Not exact matches
If all nations fully achieve their Paris pledges, however, the
average global
surface temperature in 2100 is expected to be 3.3 degrees.
Most scientists and climatologists agree that weird weather is at least in part the result of global warming — a steady increase in the
average temperature of the
surface of the Earth thought to be caused by increased concentrations of greenhouse gasses produced by human activity.
Because the sulfate haze reflects a portion of the sun's energy back into space, the
average temperature on Earth's
surface drops by as much as 0.5 or even 1 degree Celsius.
So as soon as the hail of asteroids stopped, Earth may have cooled to an
average surface temperature of — 40 °F and a crust of ice as much as 1,000 feet thick may have covered the oceans.
The researchers looked at annual maximum land
surface temperatures averaged across 8 - day periods throughout the year for every 1 - square kilometer (247 acres) pixel on Earth.
«There has been an
average of one additional tropical cyclone for each 0.1 - degree Celsius increase in sea
surface temperature and one hurricane for each 0.2 - degree Celsius rise,» they write in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A.
According to his Berkeley Earth
Surface Temperature project, the average temperature on land has risen 1.5 degrees Celsius — roughly 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit —
Temperature project, the
average temperature on land has risen 1.5 degrees Celsius — roughly 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit —
temperature on land has risen 1.5 degrees Celsius — roughly 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit — since 1753.
From that year through 2012, Earth's yearly
average surface temperature increased at one - third to one - half the
average rate from 1951 through 2012.
The results show that even though there has been a slowdown in the warming of the global
average temperatures on the
surface of Earth, the warming has continued strongly throughout the troposphere except for a very thin layer at around 14 - 15 km above the
surface of Earth where it has warmed slightly less.
However, the
average surface temperature of the planet seems to have increased far more slowly over this period than it did over the previous decades.
A striking characteristic of the most recent 21st Century negative phase of the IPO is that on this occasion global
average surface temperatures continued to rise, just at a slower rate.
Under midrange projections for economic growth and technological change, the planet's
average surface temperature in 2050 will be about two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than its preindustrial value.
Titan is therefore one cold place:
Surface temperatures average 92 degrees Kelvin, or about — 300 degrees Fahrenheit.
What's more, there are several long - term records of global annual
average surface temperatures.
As of March 2013,
surface waters of the tropical north Atlantic Ocean remained warmer than
average, while Pacific Ocean
temperatures declined from a peak in late fall.
With an El Niño now under way — meaning warm
surface waters in the Pacific are releasing heat into the atmosphere — and predicted to intensify, it looks as if the global
average surface temperature could jump by around 0.1 °C in just one year.
Land and Ocean Combined: The combined
average temperature over global land and ocean
surfaces for August 2014 was the record highest for the month, at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century
average of 60.1 °F (15.6 °C).
The global
average temperature over land and ocean
surfaces for January to October 2014 was the highest on record, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
According to NOAA scientists, the globally
averaged temperature over land and ocean
surfaces for August 2014 was the highest for August since record keeping began in 1880.
NOAA said the combined global land and ocean
average surface temperature for the January - October period was 0.68 °C (1.22 °F) above the 20th century
average of 14.1 °C (57.4 °F).
Maps of median TAE
averaged across 23 model simulations for (a) and (b) mean
surface air
temperature, (c) and (d) highest daily maximum
temperature, (e) and (f) lowest daily minimum
temperature, (g) and (h) total precipitation, and (i), (j) maximum 1 - d precipitation for (a), (c), (e), (g) and (i) June - August and (b), (d), (f), (h) and (j) December - February.
Ocean Only: The August global sea
surface temperature was 1.17 °F (0.65 °C) above the 20th century
average of 61.4 °F (16.4 °C), the highest on record for August.
Warmer than
average temperatures were evident over most of the global land
surface, except for parts of western Europe, northern Siberia, parts of eastern Asia and much of central Australia stretching north.
The Earth's
average surface temperature is about 33 °C warmer than it would be without the greenhouse effect.
The computer model determines how the
average surface temperature responds to changing natural factors, such as volcanoes and the sun, and human factors — greenhouse gases, aerosol pollutants, and so on.
Ocean Only: The global ocean
surface temperature for the year to date was 0.99 °F (0.55 °C) above
average, tying with 2010 as the second warmest such period on record, behind only 1998.
In the latter half of the decade, La Niña conditions persisted in the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping global
surface temperatures about 0.1 degree C colder than
average — a small effect compared with long - term global warming but a substantial one over a decade.
The study found that after the initial decrease of solar radiation in 2020, globally
averaged surface air
temperature cooled by up to several tenths of a degree Celsius.
Ocean Only: The June - August global sea
surface temperature was 1.13 °F (0.63 °C), above the 20th century
average of 61.5 °F (16.4 °C), the highest for June - August on record.
Land Only: The January - August worldwide land
surface temperature was 1.82 °F (1.01 °C) above the 20th century
average, the fifth warmest such period on record.
The misunderstanding stems from data showing that during the past decade there was a slowing in the rate at which the earth's
average surface temperature had been increasing.
The visualization shows how the 1997 event started from colder - than -
average sea
surface temperatures — but the 2015 event started with warmer - than -
average temperatures not only in the Pacific but also in in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans.
With an
average surface temperature of -55 ° Celsius, water itself can not exist as a liquid on Mars, but concentrated solutions of perchlorate could survive these low
temperatures.»
This year, the event will benefit from an unseasonably warm winter, with satellite data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrationplacing the
average water
surface temperature around Coney Island in December at about 48 degrees Fahrenheit (8.9 degrees Celsius).
Global
surface temperatures in 2016
averaged 14.8 degrees Celsius (58.64 °F), or 1.3 C (2.3 F) higher than estimated before the Industrial Revolution ushered in wide use of fossil fuels, the EU body said.
2017 is also the 41st consecutive year that global
surface temperatures exceeded the
average for the 20th century, according to NOAA.
Of course, while short - term changes in sea level can be predicted fairly accurately based on the motions of the moon and sun, it is a lot harder predicting the ups and downs of the
average global
surface temperature — there is a lot of noise, or natural variation, in the system.