Greenland
surface ice mass balance has also reached a record high, defying the often heard claims that it's melting.
Not exact matches
«What we found was that during most of the deglaciation, the
surface mass balance of the Laurentide
Ice Sheet was generally positive,» Ullman said.
David Ullman, a postdoctoral researcher at Oregon State University and lead author on the study, said there are two mechanisms through which
ice sheets diminish — dynamically, from the jettisoning of icebergs at the fringes, or by a negative «
surface mass balance,» which compares the amount of snow accumulation relative to melting.
Complementary analyses of the
surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also show that 2010 was a record year for melt area extent... Extrapolating these melt rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding in 8 cm from glacial
ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed rate of sea level rise to the observed warming.
The
surface mass balance (SMB) results show a very favourable correlation (r ^ 2 > 0.90) with more than 500 SMB observations all over the
ice sheet, from firn cores, snow pits, etc..
However, the idea is simple, and I've talked about this much in many presentations this winter: Take the amount of
ice you need to get rid of from Greenland to raise sea level 2 m in the next century, reduce it by your best estimate of the amount that would be removed by
surface mass balance losses, and try to push the rest out of the aggregate cross-sectional area of Greenland's marine - based outlet glaciers.
[Response:
Surface mass balance on the
ice sheets is a good example.
[Response: Rain on the flanks is not that uncommon, but enough rain on the bulk of the
ice sheet to affect the
surface mass balance as much as you suggest is not on.
This is computed from an
ice sheet
surface mass balance model, with the snowfall amounts and temperatures derived from a high - resolution atmospheric circulation model.
If a negative
surface mass balance were sustained for millennia, that would lead to virtually complete elimination of the Greenland
ice sheet and a resulting contribution to sea level rise of about 7 m.
Top: The total daily contribution to the
surface mass balance from the entire
ice sheet (blue line, Gt / day).
We quantify sea - level commitment in the baseline case by building on Levermann et al. (10), who used physical simulations to model the SLR within a 2,000 - y envelope as the sum of the contributions of (i) ocean thermal expansion, based on six coupled climate models; (ii) mountain glacier and
ice cap melting, based on
surface mass balance and simplified
ice dynamic models; (iii) Greenland
ice sheet decay, based on a coupled regional climate model and
ice sheet dynamic model; and (iv) Antarctic
ice sheet decay, based on a continental - scale model parameterizing grounding line
ice flux in relation to temperature.
(
Ice sheet mass balance (MB) is the difference between surface mass balance (SMB) and solid ice discharge across the grounding line (D
Ice sheet
mass balance (MB) is the difference between
surface mass balance (SMB) and solid
ice discharge across the grounding line (D
ice discharge across the grounding line (D).)
So the 2016 - 2017
Surface Mass Balance of approximately 550 Gt yr ^ -1 may seem to have caused a positive ice sheet mass balanc
Balance of approximately 550 Gt yr ^ -1 may seem to have caused a positive
ice sheet
mass balancebalance (MB).
DMI says, The
surface mass balance is calculated over a year from September 1st to August 31st (the end of the melt season) For the 2016 - 17 SMB year, which ended yesterday, the
ice sheet had gained 544bn tonnes of
ice, compared to an average for 1981 - 2010 of 368bn tonnes.
The figure below shows the total amount of
surface (red) and bottom (yellow) melt through 1 August 2008 measured at seven sea
ice mass balance buoys.
Estimates of top
surface and bottom melt from
ice mass -
balance buoy observations were provided by Don Perovich's team.
Figure 4 shows the present (13 August 2008)
surface condition as evidenced by the web camera image from the NPEO Automated Drifting Station, the location of the
ice -
mass -
balance buoy installation nearest Fram Strait.
This is in this: The Cryosphere Estimation of the Greenland
ice sheet
surface mass balance for the 20th and 21st centuries X. Fettweis1, E. Hanna2, H. Gall» ee3, P. Huybrechts4, and M. Erpicum1
Surface mass balance of the Ward Hunt
Ice Rise and Ward Hunt
Ice Shelf, Ellesmere Island, Nunavut, Canada.
Here we use a high - resolution regional glaciation model, developed by coupling physics - based
ice dynamics with a
surface mass balance model, to project the fate of glaciers in western Canada.
In this context,
mass -
balance buoy data (including — as a first — a buoy in first - year
ice) provide a good means of assessing the progression of bottom and
surface melt, potentially allowing conclusions about the disposition of solar radiation.
Bamber has recalculated the critical threshold temperature for
ice sheet melting by forcing two
surface mass balance models with real future climate.
D denotes change in
ice discharge while SMB denotes the net
surface mass balance (accumulation minus ablation).
Ice mass balance buoys deployed in the Beaufort Sea as part of the Office of Naval Research (ONR) Marginal
Ice Zone Program indicate that
surface temperatures have reached the melting point, at least intermittently, in the region, with some
surface melt beginning in the southern part of the Beaufort, but little or no melt farther north (Figure 10), http://www.apl.washington.edu/project/project.php?id=miz.
The
surface mass balance of the glacier is the difference of accumulating snow on the
ice sheet (its income) and snow and
ice losses from melting and calving (its expenditures).
The recent, marked increase in
ice discharge from many of Greenland» slarge outlet glaciers has upended the conventional view that variations in
ice - sheet
mass balance are dominated on short time scales by variations in
surface balance, rather than
ice dynamics.
Current models suggest
ice mass losses increase with temperature more rapidly than gains due to increased precipitation and that the
surface mass balance becomes negative (net
ice loss) at a global average warming (relative to pre-industrial values) in excess of 1.9 to 4.6 °C.
If
surface is specified (specific
surface mass balance, etc.) then
ice flow contributions are not considered; otherwise,
mass balance includes contributions from
ice flow and iceberg calving.
These observations support recent model projections that
surface mass balance, rather than
ice dynamics, will dominate the
ice sheet's contribution to 21st century sea level rise.
Global
mass balance data are transformed to sea - level equivalent by first multiplying the
ice thickness (meters) lost to melting by the density of
ice (about 900 kilograms per cubic meter), to obtain a water equivalent thickness, and then multiplying by the
surface area of these «small» glaciers (about 760,000 square kilometers).
To quote from AR5 WG1: «While
surface melting will remain small, an increase in snowfall on the Antarctic
ice sheet is expected (medium confidence), resulting in a negative contribution to future sea level from changes in
surface mass balance.»
According to the report, «Contraction of the Greenland
ice sheet is projected to continue to contribute to sea level rise after 2100,» and» [i] f a negative
surface mass balance were sustained for millennia, that would lead to virtually complete elimination of the Greenland
ice sheet and a resulting contribution to sea level rise of about 7 m,» which is equivalent to approximately 23 feet.
For an annual - and area - average warming exceeding Embedded Image in Greenland and Embedded Image in the global average, the net
surface mass balance of the Greenland
ice sheet becomes negative, in which case it is likely that the
ice sheet would eventually be eliminated, raising global - average sea level by 7 m.