So the issues are the same as
surface temperature observation versus naive projections of the near - future forcings.
Not exact matches
And of course the new paper by Hausfather et al, that made quite a bit of news recently, documents how meticulously scientists work to eliminate bias in sea
surface temperature data, in this case arising from a changing proportion of ship
versus buoy
observations.
The 15 - year pause shows up on some the
surface air
temperature series, but does it make sense
versus observations?
Average global
surface air
temperature observations versus IPCC climate model simulations.