Not exact matches
While this is bad news for the planet, it's good news for climate
change scientists who have — for the last two decades — puzzled over
warming trends in ocean
surface temperatures for nearly 20 years.
Instructions: In a
warm, quiet room, put the baby (wearing only a diaper), on your lap (or safe
surface like a couch or
changing table).
«Land use
change has
warmed Earth's
surface.»
The cycle of Pacific Ocean
surface water
warming and cooling has become more variable in recent decades, suggesting El Niño may strengthen under climate
change
During El Niño events,
warmer surface water in the east Pacific Ocean
changes the world's weather.
So while it may take decades for
warming at the sea
surface to
change deep - sea temperatures, alterations in wind - driven events may have more immediate effects.
Driven by stronger winds resulting from climate
change, ocean waters in the Southern Ocean are mixing more powerfully, so that relatively
warm deep water rises to the
surface and eats away at the underside of the ice.
Koslow has researched the impact of climate -
change - driven
warming on what are known as oxygen minimum zones (OMZs), naturally occurring low - oxygen regions found well below the ocean's
surface.
The climatic
change at issue is known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), a periodic cycle of
warming and cooling of
surface temperatures in the North Atlantic.
A new El Niño cycle —
warmer surface waters — began last summer, which may mean that stratospheric water levels could
change again.
The unfavorable
changes in the plankton ecosystem parallel a
warming of the sea
surface, Beaugrand says.
That means studying
changes in the Pliocene atmosphere, the land
surface and most of all the oceans, which absorb the bulk of planetary
warming.
Without the periodic upwelling of cold water associated with La Niña,
warm water would cover most of the
surface of the Pacific, releasing its heat into an atmosphere already
warming because of climate
change.
And those feedbacks ultimately determine the extent to which that initial
warming will be amplified, but they don't even
change the fact that you elevate greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere and you'll get a
warming of the
surface.
At that time,
changes in atmospheric - oceanic circulation led to a stratification in the ocean with a cold layer at the
surface and a
warm layer below.
Kevin Trenbeth, a climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., said the study didn't account for
changes in sea
surface temperatures, which are the main drivers of
changes in the position of the rain belts (as is seen during an El Nino event, when Pacific
warming pushes the subtropical jet over the Western U.S. southward).
Thanks to natural
warming and cooling, oxygen concentrations at the sea
surface are constantly
changing — and those
changes can linger for years or even decades deeper in the ocean.
«Such a slowdown is consistent with the projected effects of anthropogenic climate
change, where
warming and freshening of the
surface ocean from melting ice caps leads to weaker overturning circulation,» DeVries explained.
The study stops short of attributing California's latest drought to
changes in Arctic sea ice, partly because there are other phenomena that play a role, like
warm sea
surface temperatures and
changes to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, an atmospheric climate pattern that typically shifts every 20 to 30 years.
But the
change from 2004 to 2007 in the sun's output of visible light, and the attendant warming at Earth's surface of 0.1 watt per square meter, is roughly equivalent to the overall forcing of the sun on the climate over the past 25 years — estimated by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to be an additional 0.12 watt per square
change from 2004 to 2007 in the sun's output of visible light, and the attendant
warming at Earth's
surface of 0.1 watt per square meter, is roughly equivalent to the overall forcing of the sun on the climate over the past 25 years — estimated by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change to be an additional 0.12 watt per square
Change to be an additional 0.12 watt per square meter.
The effects of wind
changes, which were found to potentially increase temperatures in the Southern Ocean between 660 feet and 2,300 feet below the
surface by 2 °C, or nearly 3.6 °F, are over and above the ocean
warming that's being caused by the heat - trapping effects of greenhouse gases.
Organisms that have evolved in environments that have little if any
change in environmental conditions, for example, may not be able to adapt well if currents increasingly mix
warm surface waters down to the seafloor.
An analysis using updated global
surface temperature data disputes the existence of a 21st century global
warming slowdown described in studies including the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) assessment.
«Moreover, our estimate of 0.27 C mean
surface warming per century due to land - use
changes is at least twice as high as previous estimates based on urbanization alone7, 8.»
For the
change in annual mean
surface air temperature in the various cases, the model experiments show the familiar pattern documented in the SAR with a maximum
warming in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere and a minimum in the Southern Ocean (due to ocean heat uptake)(2)
As the planet
warms from climate
change, there is more evaporation from both land and water
surfaces.
Consistent with observed
changes in
surface temperature, there has been an almost worldwide reduction in glacier and small ice cap (not including Antarctica and Greenland) mass and extent in the 20th century; snow cover has decreased in many regions of the Northern Hemisphere; sea ice extents have decreased in the Arctic, particularly in spring and summer (Chapter 4); the oceans are
warming; and sea level is rising (Chapter 5).
Note the more spatially uniform
warming in the satellite tropospheric record while the
surface temperature
changes more clearly relate to land and ocean.
Evidence of the «pause» in
surface warming «has sparked a lively scientific and public debate», says the Nature Climate
Change editorial.
Long - term (decadal and multi-decadal) variation in total annual streamflow is largely influenced by quasi-cyclic
changes in sea -
surface temperatures and resulting climate conditions; the influence of climate
warming on these patterns is uncertain.
With near -
surface waters around South Georgia being some of the fastest
warming on Earth climate
change poses a significant threat to this biodiversity hotspot.
CO2 is more soluble in colder than in
warmer waters; therefore,
changes in
surface and deep ocean temperature have the potential to alter atmospheric CO2.
Some global
warming «skeptics» argue that the Earth's climate sensitivity is so low that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 will result in a
surface temperature
change on the order of 1 °C or less, and that therefore global
warming is nothing to worry about.
The substantial uncertainties currently present in the quantitative assessment of large - scale
surface temperature
changes prior to about A.D. 1600 lower our confidence in this conclusion compared to the high level of confidence we place in the Little Ice Age cooling and 20th century
warming.»
The diagnostics, which are used to compare model - simulated and observed
changes, are often simple temperature indices such as the global mean
surface temperature and ocean mean
warming (Knutti et al., 2002, 2003) or the differential
warming between the SH and NH (together with the global mean; Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001).
This conclusion has subsequently been supported by an array of evidence that includes the additional large - scale
surface temperature reconstructions and documentation of the spatial coherence of recent
warming described above (Cook et al. 2004, Moberg et al. 2005b, Rutherford et al. 2005, D'Arrigo et al. 2006, Osborn and Briffa 2006, Wahl and Ammann in press) and also the pronounced
changes in a variety of local proxy indicators described in previous chapters (e.g., Thompson et al. in press).
A large ensemble of Earth system model simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations of past climate
change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range of climate stabilization targets ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP scenarios up to year 2300 for
surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2, global mean sea level, and
surface ocean acidification.
When this model is run with a standard, idealised global
warming scenario you get the following result for global sea
surface temperature
changes.
To avoid the most dangerous consequences of anthropogenic climate
change, the Paris Agreement provides a clear and agreed climate mitigation target of stabilizing global
surface warming to under 2.0 °C above preindustrial, and preferably closer to 1.5 °C.
The climate in most places has undergone minor
changes over the past 200 years, and the land - based
surface temperature record of the past 100 years exhibits
warming trends in many places.
Moreover,
warmer sea
surface temperatures may
change the frequency and intensity of those storms.
ENSO events, for example, can
warm or cool ocean
surface temperatures through exchange of heat between the
surface and the reservoir stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by
changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).
On the whole, the Earth's land
surface has «greened» in response to rising CO2 emissions and
warmer temperatures, but these new results suggest there could also be a negative impact of climate
change on vegetation growth in North America.
In contrast to historical droughts, future drying is not linked to any particular pattern of
change in sea
surface temperature but seems to be the result of an overall
surface warming driven by rising greenhouse gases.
Exploring optical
changes between subtly different hues, opacity and transparency, matte and glossy
surfaces, and
warm and cool tones, Jeffrey creates an intimate world, a cave fill of reserve and refrain.
Since we know that the earth's
surface is significantly
warmed by geothermal heat, that geothermal heat is variable, that truly titanic forces are at work in the earth's core
changing its structure and alignment, and that geothermal heat flux has a much greater influence on
surface temperatures than variations in carbon dioxide can possibly have, it makes sense to include its effects in a compendium of global
warming discussion parameters.
So posit an initial dynamic
change of ocean circulation that
warms the
surface (and cools below or in other regions).
The first is to emphasize your point that degassing of CO2 from the oceans is not simply a matter of
warmer water reducing CO2 solubility, and that important additional factors include
changes in wind patterns, reduction in sea ice cover to reveal a larger
surface for gas escape, and upwelling of CO2 from depths consequent to the
changing climate patterns.
So while the troposphere does
warm as a function of increasing GHGs, the maximum
change is not at the
surface, but actually in the mid-troposhere.
ENSO events, for example, can
warm or cool ocean
surface temperatures through exchange of heat between the
surface and the reservoir stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by
changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).