10 year
swap spreads moved out 2 basis points, which is more notable when they usually tighten when yields fall, due to mortgage hedging.
Not exact matches
Consistent with this,
spreads between corporate bond yields and
swap rates have
moved much more in line with CDS than have
spreads between corporate bonds and CGS.
Given the smaller
move down in T - bill yields, 14 basis points, that would leave the TED
spread at 132 basis points, which is still quite high, and higher than the 10 - year
swap spread.
But when the drivers
move, which in this case is one correlated driver, credit stress (30 - year
swap & junior bank
spreads go a lot higher), the volatilities are very different, the first one being high and the second one low.
10 - year
swap spreads are 12 basis points below where they peaked a month ago, and 10 - year
swap rates, which serve as a proxy for prime 30 - year mortgage rates, are 35 basis points below their 18 - month
moving average.
Canadian credit
spreads going forward will be more open to influences from foreign markets and will increasingly
move with
swap spreads and the Canadian dollar.
The
spread narrowing was even more pronounced for the riskier tranches of the two transactions, which
moved in to
swaps plus 125 basis points.