Ms Wood's win marked the first gain of the night for Welsh nationalist party Plaid Cymru as there was a 24.19 %
swing from Labour to Plaid.
In the east Midlands,
the swing from Labour to Conservative is the biggest in Britain.
The next largest swing was among readers of the Daily Star, where
the swing from Labour to the Conservatives was 10 %.
In the last boundary changes which took effect in 2010, UK Polling's estimate was that Labour's net loss relative to other parties across Britain would be 28 seats (based on the 2005 result) or 8 seats with a 5 %
swing from Labour to the Tories which is what happened (see note below).
The new figures translate into
a swing from Labour to Conservative in these key marginals of a little more than 6 per cent, a bit short of the swing required (about 7 per cent) if the Conservatives are to win an overall majority.
An Ipsos Mori poll of the marginals for Reuters, just out, but conducted between 30 March and 5 April, roughly translates into a 5.5 per cent
swing from Labour to Conservatives, equivalent to about an eight point lead for the Conservatives over Labour nationally.
In seats that voted leave there was a 1 %
swing from Labour to the Conservatives.
But if the similarities with the 2011 Scottish election look striking, it is vital to bear this in mind: the number of seats that change hands depends heavily on the overall national
swing from Labour to the SNP.
Cameron requires an awesome 7 per cent
swing from Labour to Conservative to win this election.
Technically there was a 9.2 %
swing from Labour to the Conservatives in the Glasgow East by - election, which co-incidentally is pretty much in line with the national polls.
The by - election was won by the Conservatives with a 16.5 %
swing from Labour, the second Conservative by - election gain of the Parliament.
The result of the contest was not as planned: the Conservative Party candidate, Ronald Buxton, won with a majority of 205 votes,
a swing from Labour of 8.7 %.
John Bell the local candidate was selected for Clwyd South, John stood for the Constituency in the Welsh Assembly Elections achieving a 6.6 %
swing from Labour to Conservatives and increased our share of the vote by 10.2 % whilst increasing the Conservative vote by some 60 %.
On 22 May 2008, Timpson was elected MP, gaining 20,539 votes (49 % of the vote),
a swing from Labour of 17.6 %.
YouGov's recent poll suggests a seven - point uniform
swing from Labour to the Conservatives since 2015.
The good news is that
the swing from Labour to Conservative is higher in the key Labour marginals than in the rest of Britain.
He was the victim of a massive 26.9 %
swing from Labour to the SNP in the Paisley and Renfrewshire South constituency.
17:22 - The latest constituency results from London don't look good for Labour The swing to Labour in Bexley and Bromley is just 0.2 % while there was
a swing from Labour to the Conservatives of 3.7 %.
This represents a 6.7 %
swing from Labour to the Conservatives based on figures from the 2005 election.
On polling day, the result was an unprecedented 44 %
swing from Labour to the Liberals.
Pritchard was first elected to parliament for The Wrekin constituency in 2005, defeating Peter Bradley, the incumbent Labour MP, by just 942 votes although this represented a 5.4 %
swing from Labour to Conservative.
This is more than twice as big as
the swing from Labour to the Conservatives in the 1978 Ilford North by - election (7 per cent), which preceded the Conservatives 1979 general election victory.
Spencer would need to overtake the Liberal Democats and attain
a swing from Labour of 17.45 % to take the seat.
In a council by - election taking place in his Sheffield Hallam constituency the Lib Dems doubled their majority, gaining a 4.3 %
swing from Labour.
For each decile, I have then calculated the average
swing from Labour to Conservatives and the average change in turnout in 2017 compared to 2015.
On average in the local elections
the swing from Labour to Conservatives since 2013 in places where UKIP stood both times was 6.7 points.
On these figures, the 325th MP, counting in from left or right, will represent Labour, but only just: a four - seat
swing from Labour (or the SNP) to the Lib Dems, Conservatives or UKIP would give the median parliamentary seat to the Liberal Democrats.
Some recent surveys suggest around a 10 point
swing from Labour to the Greens among students since early 2014.
In the unique constituency of Brighton Pavilion, I found the Green Party ten points ahead, with a four - point
swing from Labour.
Liberal Democrat Simon Wood took the seat with a majority of just 310, a four per cent
swing from Labour to Lib Dem.
That actually represents a two point
swing from Labour to the SNP since Survation's poll last month, -LSB-...]
Some of the largest
swings from Labour that the SNP achieved in 2015 are big enough to unseat any Labour MP if the Tories achieve the same at this election.
Note that this is a negative swing i.e. this means the swing was actually from Conservative to Labour of 2.9 points but by doing it this way, it means that on the chart, swings from Conservative to Labour will appear below the zero line in red and
swings from Labour to Conservative will appear above the zero line in blue..
The swings from both Labour and the Liberal Democrats to the Conservatives were much bigger where UKIP did well last time, but UKIP dropped out more often where they did worse.
Recent council by - elections following the General Election illustrate this, with
swings from Labour to the SNP of 23 % (Falkirk), 21 % (Wishaw), 16 % (Hamilton), and 25 % (Thorniewood, North Lanarskhire).
Not exact matches
«These are places where the
Labour party might gain control
from a relatively small
swing from the Conservatives,» said Curtice.
At the moment GB polls are pointing towards a 6 - point
swing, or so,
from Labour to the Conservatives.
Labour is up ten per cent on last time, but only with a 2.1 %
swing to
Labour from the Tories.
Swings from Tory to
Labour of ten per cent are visible around the country.
There were some shocks, including the ridiculously large 21.8 %
swing away
from Labour in Redcar.
Even in the suburban and rural areas where
Labour was able to gain some traction
from 1997 onwards, the last General Election saw a massive
swing to the Tories.
Hoping for a 1.6 %
swing and one additional seat to win Barnet
from no overall control,
Labour instead saw the council move into the Conservative column.
Jacqui Smith -
Labour Former home secretary, Jacqui Smith, was ousted
from her Redditch seat, with a 9.2 per cent
swing to the Conservatives.
Barring a substantial shift in the last few days of campaigning — which seems unlikely given that 91 per cent of
Labour voters say they probably will not change their minds — we can expect a
swing from the Liberal Democrats to
Labour of around 8 per cent since the general election.
In seats where
Labour is defending a majority of more than 25 points the
swing in the poll
from Labour to the SNP since 2010 is 24 points, rather higher than the 19.5 point
swing for Scotland as a whole.
However, infighting between the two rival candidates for the
Labour nomination, Mohammed Sarwar and Mike Watson, along with an energetic local campaign, resulted in Glasgow Govan being the only Scottish seat to see a
swing away
from Labour in the midst of a
Labour landslide nationwide.
Six in ten
swing voters, and a third of those who currently say they will vote
Labour, worry that
Labour have not learned the right lessons
from their time in government and that they might spend and borrow more than the country can afford.
Yesterday's YouGov poll (Con 41 %,
Labour 40 %, Lib Dems 11 %) represents an 8.5 %
swing to the Conservatives
from their coalition partners since the election, and an 11.5 %
swing to
Labour.
But will there be necessarily a
swing back to
Labour from the UKIP voters?»
Swing voters say an apology
from Labour for its mistakes in government would make them more likely to consider returning to the party.