We do have to be cautious of the intermediate support at 83.91 (38.2 % Fibonacci retracement, horizontal
swing low support).
NZDUSD is testing major channel resistance at 0.6936 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, price action, channel resistance) and a strong drop could occur at this level to push prices all the way down to major support at 0.6852 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal
swing low support).
Although the market is not falling apart, the more «distribution days» (sessions of higher volume selling) that accumulate, the more likely it becomes that we will at least test the recent
swing low support levels.
Price is dropping strongly towards major support at 1.2966 (multiple Fibonacci extensions, horizontal
swing low support, Elliott wave theory) and we expect a bounce above this level to at least 1.3164 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullb...
Not exact matches
The next major
support level is the 50 - day moving average ($ 112 area), while the second zone of
support is the prior
swing lows (just below $ 110):
Furthermore, the odds of $ DZZ going to a new high are much
lower than the odds of it simply going back to retest its prior highs because now there is resistance of a major
swing high (
support of a key
swing low in $ GLD).
Once a clear base of
support has formed, we then look for the formation of a «higher
swing low» to develop within the base, which lets us know that bullish momentum is on our side.
In this post and in the May 2 issue of The Wagner Daily, we said, «If the S&P loses
support of its two - day
low (1,394 at that time) and doesn't recover quickly, we anticipate a retest of the 1,357
swing low in the near - term.»
Operating with the idea that the 200 - day moving average of $ QQQ will not provide significant
support, we now expect $ QQQ to fall to test its prior
swing low (around the $ 63 to $ 64 area) over the next two weeks.
On April 15, the NASDAQ brothers dipped below pivotal
support of their February 5 «
swing lows» on an intraday basis, then recovered to close near their highs of the day.
The blue horizontal line marks horizontal price
support of the recent «
swing lows» set earlier this month:
In late December, $ RSX formed a second higher
low, right at near - term technical
support of the 20 - day EMA, which led to a failed breakout above the prior
swing high.
With the exception of the S&P MidCap 400 Index, all the major indices have fallen below
support of their prior
lows from April, resulting in the formation of new «
swing lows.»
Short - term resistance is still ahead near $ 8400 with a stronger zone found between $ 9000 and $ 9200, while primary
support below the recent
swing low is between $ 6750 and $ 7000.
Now, AAPL is also in danger of losing horizontal price
support of its prior «
swing low» from July of 2012.
However, the most important
support is around $ 1.60, followed by the last
swing low at $ 1.54.
Subscribers still holding the winning option contract can maximize profits by trailing a stop below the recent «
swing low»
support.
Moreover, the 61.8 % Fib retracement level of the last leg from the $ 0.2810
swing low to $ 0.3880
swing high also acted as a
support.
In the near - term, $ SPY (S&P 500) is in better technical shape than $ QQQ (NASDAQ 100), as it isn't still well above
support of its prior
swing low from February.
If the S&P 500 loses
support of its April 10th
swing low of 1,357, the broad market could easily see a more pronounced pullback from its highs.
LTC is trading just above the $ 150
support level, which also mark the Thursday
swing low, and the positive momentum divergence continues to be present.
However, if QQQ now breaks below its
low of the past two days, its next significant
support levels are the 200 - day MA ($ 61.50 area) and the June 4th
swing low (around $ 60.00).
The S&P 500 closed just below (but not a decisive break of) its 50 - day moving average yesterday, after undercutting its prior «
swing lows» at the 1538 - 1539
support level:
Further below, the next major
support is between $ 131.70 and $ 130.85 (200 - day MA and the June 25th
swing low).
The iShares FTSE / Xinhua China 25 Index ($ FXI) failed to hold
support of its uptrending 50 - day MA this week, and is now breaking down below a recent
swing low:
Last week's bearish price action caused the main stock market indexes to plunge through major levels of technical price
support, including key moving averages and prior «
swing lows.»
On a pullback, SPY has
support at its 20 - day EMA ($ 137.12), its previous «
swing low» of $ 135.50 and convergence of its
lower trendline, and at its 50 - day MA ($ 134.30):
Other significant
support levels include the convergence of the 20 - day and 50 - day moving averages ($ 63.30 — $ 63.50), the 200 - day moving average ($ 60.92), the June 28th
swing low ($ 61.54) and the June 4th
swing low ($ 60.04).
On the chart below, notice that the Select Sector Financial SPDR ETF ($ XLF), a highly traded ETF proxy for the overall financial sector, fell 3.3 % yesterday, while convincingly breaking below its prior
swing low, 50 - day moving average, and
lower channel
support of its bullish «pennant» in the process:
The following daily chart of Powershares Nasdaq Trust ($ QQQ), as an ETF proxy for the Nasdaq 100 Index, shows that the price action in this ETF has been contained by a relatively tight ascending trend channel (annotated by the red lines) since forming its «
swing low»
support level on June 4.
The more times a
support is tested the more likely it will break, and should the current
swing reach the
lows, a push below them is likely.
The surveys also suggest that independent candidate Chris Daggett is making an impact, with
support in the
low double digits - more than enough to
swing the race.
Reducing lifestyle stress, eating a diet
lower in carbohydrates to prevent blood sugar
swings, avoiding foods that cause an immune reaction, not drinking too much alcohol, tending to bacterial gut infections and other aspects of digestive health, and
supporting immune balance are all whole - body approaches that can foster proper hormone function and improve sleep.
Supplementing with targeted digestion and detox
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low energy, mood
swings, and more.
The
lower two charts display the weekly & monthly time - frame, with their respective closest
swing high and
swing lows clearly marked, as potential future
Support / Resistance levels, where I will focus my attention to the price action that occurs on my top two charts (4 hour and daily time - frame) when price moves to one of my SR levels on the highest time - frames.
A 100 % retracement is the same as using a
swing high /
low as resistance /
support.
This example shows major
swing lows that are holding up as
support, which is a sign of a bullish market.
However I wish to ask that if we are trading with the daily timeframe are we going to use the
swing lows and
swing highs of the higher timeframe to draw the
support and resistance lines?
Some
swing traders use the
support and resistance levels of the previous
swing highs and
lows, while others use moving average to find out the point where the reversal is expected i.e. the price of security moves back to the previous top of the bottom.
The
swing low in between them projects a
support line.
Because the
swing low rate sometimes becomes a level of
support, a falling price may recover before it actually falls through a previous
support level.
Take profit method: Close the trade 5 pips above the
swing low price (before it hits
support).
A recent
swing high will often act as
support in an uptrend, and a recent
swing low will often work as resistance in a downtrend.
As a market makes new highs or
lows it forms what I call «
swing points» in the market, these are very important levels to watch because they essentially create new
support or resistance.
Traders who use technical analysis will place stop orders below major moving averages, trendlines,
swing highs,
swing lows or other key
support or resistance levels.
Swing High
Swing Low Indicator plots a dotted line where levels of
support or resistance have formed.
Launched in 2005, with generous
support from the downtown real estate community and LMCC's programming partners,
Swing Space placed over 1,000 artists in more than 25 different locations throughout
Lower Manhattan and on Governors Island.
The 23.6 % Fib retracement level with the previous
swing high of $ 334 and a
low of $ 283 is acting as the immediate
support to the price as it retraces higher.
The 38.2 % Fib retracement level with the last
swing high of $ 716 and a
low $ 625 acted as the
support during the minor decline.
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool on the latest
swing low and high shows the potential
support levels.