Sentences with phrase «swing seats projection»

We have divided them into two categories: simple (poll average plus uniform swing seats projection) and complex (anything more elaborate than the simple models, although they are not necessarily particularly complex).

Not exact matches

Applying a more sophisticated seats projection methodology, which we term ANS (Adjusted National Swing), which allows for the differential impact of swing on different seats, the Political Forecasting Unit projects the following scenario if the election were held tSwing), which allows for the differential impact of swing on different seats, the Political Forecasting Unit projects the following scenario if the election were held tswing on different seats, the Political Forecasting Unit projects the following scenario if the election were held today:

Applying a more sophisticated seats projection methodology, which we term ANS (Adjusted National Swing), which allows for the differential impact of swing on different seats, the Political Forecasting Unit projects the following scenario if the election were held today: Conservatives: 258 seats Labour: 253 seats Liberal Democrat: 104 seats Others: 35 Swing), which allows for the differential impact of swing on different seats, the Political Forecasting Unit projects the following scenario if the election were held today: Conservatives: 258 seats Labour: 253 seats Liberal Democrat: 104 seats Others: 35 swing on different seats, the Political Forecasting Unit projects the following scenario if the election were held today: Conservatives: 258 seats Labour: 253 seats Liberal Democrat: 104 seats Others: 35 seats

The Rallings and Thrasher projection (based on the 2005 general election result) of the seat after minor boundary changes suggests that Heppell will go into the general election defending a notional majority of 7,083 over the Conservatives, with Ewan requiring a swing of a little over 12 per cent to take the seat.

The current projection assumes swings are uniform, but Labour will need to regain many seats they lost to the Tories in 2010.