But the rate of global surface warming can fluctuate due to natural variations in the climate
system over periods of a decade or so.»
Not exact matches
Many
of the religious conflicts we read about in the newspapers have prehistories and antecedents that need to be traced
over a
period of several
decades or longer, and many represent reactions and counterreactions to other movements both in the same society and in the larger international
system.
For
over two hundred years» until the outbreak
of World War I» the state
system emerging from the Thirty Years» War achieved its objectives (with the exception
of the ideological conflict
of the Napoleonic
period, when the principle
of nonintervention was, in effect, abandoned for two
decades).
First, Happer mentions statistical significance, but global surface temperature trends are rarely if ever statistically significant (at a 95 % confidence level)
over periods as short as a
decade, even in the presence
of an underlying long - term warming trend, because
of the natural variability and noise in the climate
system.
AGW means that the heat content
of the whole Earth
system increases, but it does not make unique predictions on the relative rates
of warming
of various parts
of the Earth
system over periods up to a couple
of decades.
In recent
decades, much research on these topics has raised the questions
of «tipping points» and «
system flips,» where feedbacks in the
system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization
of global climate
over very short
periods of time — a truncation or reorganization
of the thermohaline circulation or
of food web structures, for instance, caused by the loss
of sea ice or warming ocean temperatures.
Natural variability is indeed an important part
of the climate
system, but most prominent in its effects
over short
periods of a
decade or two.
How do we extract value and justice from a financial
system which has been rigged
over a
period of decades in favour
of the bad guys?
This time
period is too short to signify a change in the warming trend, as climate trends are measured
over periods of decades, not years.12, 29,30,31,32 Such
decade - long slowdowns or even reversals in trend have occurred before in the global instrumental record (for example, 1900 - 1910 and 1940 - 1950; see Figure 2.2), including three
decade - long
periods since 1970, each followed by a sharp temperature rise.33 Nonetheless, satellite and ocean observations indicate that the Earth - atmosphere climate
system has continued to gain heat energy.34
«By way
of comparison, the University
of Alabama Huntsville (UAH) Lower Troposphere CONUS trend
over this
period is 0.25 °C /
decade and Remote Sensing
Systems (RSS) has 0.23 °C /
decade, the average being 0.24 °C /
decade.
Wouldn't a natural climate
system response time
of several
decades make it almost impossible to get meaningful averages out
of climate
system variables, if they could be significantly influenced by random fluctuations accumulated
over such long time
periods?