Over the past few years, an international team of climate scientists, economists and energy
systems modellers have built a range of new «pathways»... Read More
Over the past few years, an international team of climate scientists, economists and energy
systems modellers have built a range of new «pathways» that examine how global society, demographics and economics might change over the next century.
As an Earth
System Modeller, I will find these new FACE experiments enormously useful.
Not exact matches
With the world's financial
system seemingly under threat this week, economic
modellers have diagnosed a cause of the crisis and prescribed a possible solution.
«Germany has some very good
modellers who are already doing a nice job without the real - time data that we have,» says Sue Haupt, who oversees weather -
system research at NCAR.
So Ray, another stab at an insight, something is going on here, it may be a small tweak and a useful lesson for
modellers OR it could point to a fundamental problem with our assumptions or ability to understand the VERY complex climate
system.
He went to to become an internationally renowned climate science
modeller who I belive invented (or helped to) invent the technique called ensemble modelling which seems to incorporate some of chaos theory into this complex
system.
The 2nd Pan-GASS meeting sponsored by the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate
System Science is focused on «Understanding and Modelling Atmospheric Processes» (UMAP) and aims to bring together NWP and climate scientists, observationalists and
modellers to discuss the key issues of atmospheric science and to coordinate efforts to improve weather and climate models.
So, it is not surprising that those
modellers who «need» to get warm surface waters to move into the depths of the oceans, and remain sequestered there for long periods of time, would turn to the physical mechanism of this vertical circulation
system.
This goes directly to the a priori expectation of
modellers as to the plausible sensitivity of the
system.
«Of course there are gaps in our knowledge about Earth's climate
system and its components, and yes, nothing has been made clear enough to the public,» says Gavin Schmidt, a climate
modeller at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York and one of the moderators and contributors to the influential RealClimate blog.
I would be the last one to suggest that there isn't more uncertainty in a
system with the internal dynamics of the Earth's climate — and much more scope for severe and rapid change than even the
modellers contemplate.
One of my colleages, an ecological
modeller, insisted his entire career that
systems (box mass transfer models) could be modeled with linear coefficients — because, I believe, this made the math tractable.
Serfs aren't able ter follow the intrickasees of the interackshns of physickal
systems but this below from Chiefio further makes me wary of those tenured
modellers in cloud towers, including these comments:
In addition, IGBP will facilitate comprehensive interactions between
modellers and experimentalists and will forge an international institutional network for Earth
System science.
Each model may be considered a social construct which embodies the beliefs of those
modellers who created it as how best to represent the climate
system, within the computational and technological constraints at the time.
Modellers were able to «peek at the answer» since they could not only observe inputs to the climate
system (such as historical greenhouse gas levels, volcanic activity, solar changes and so forth) but also the simulation targets, namely average temperatures, when tuning their models.
HIGHLIGHTS • Excellent knowledge of Airframe Structures Design, and
Systems Integration • 11 years experience as a Design Engineer • Specialization in Composite Structures Design and Optimization (Catia v5, MSC.Nastran / Patran / Laminate
Modeller, FiberSIM) EDUCATION • Master Degree «Engineer, Avia - Helicopter Department, Mechanical Engineer» Moscow Aviation Institute MAI, Moscow Russia (2000, Design of Airframe St...