Winning / elite
teams against the spread have also excelled, which makes a lot more sense to me.
Tom M. (via email): What is the record of
a team against the spread that has either won 3 straight ATS or lost 3 straight ATS
We also get something that many of you would not have guessed: the best
team against the spread vs. the worst
team against the spread.
In the process, they were also one of the worst
teams against the spread this year.
The graph above merely shows road
teams against the spread.
The Bengals have been the sneaky - best
team against the spread recently going 6 - 1 in their last seven.
By going against the grain and taking every unranked
team against the spread, bettors would have gone 1212 - 1163 ATS (51.0 %) over the past eleven seasons.
They've covered in four of their past sven so they're on a bit of a roll, but they've still been the second least profitable
team against the spread at 6 -11-1.
The top 4
teams against the spread are not exactly household names, but are providing incredible value for bettors.
When it comes to college sports, betting on a ranked
team against the spread isn't always the best idea.
Trend No. 2 to know: The Knicks are the best home
team against the spread this season (15 - 5).
With less than a month until March Madness begins, we'll take a look at the best and worst college basketball
teams against the spread for the 2011 - 2012 season.
Not exact matches
This metric parses each
team's efficiency and explosiveness and adjusts it for strength of opposition, and over the years, it's proved to be a very strong predictor
against the Vegas
spread.
Although many will suggest that Robson has a personal vendetta of sorts aimed squarely at the Grinch who stole soccer, that doesn't make his words any less truthful... such tactics are nothing new... in the U.S.this business practice has become so common that even the players regularly use the media to manipulate public opinion (LeBron James did likewise to rally public support for himself and away from his teammate, Kyrie Irving, who has asked to be traded)... whether for contract leverage or to rally support for or
against certain players, this strategy can be incredibly effective at times, but when it misses the mark it can be dangerously divisive... for a close - to - the - vest
team like Arsenal to use such nefarious means to manufacture a wedge between the fans and it's best player (again), is absolutely despicable... for the sanctimonious higher - ups who demand that it's players adhere to a certain protocol regarding information deemed «in house» or else to intentionally
spread «fake» news or to provide certain outlets with privileged information for such purposes is pretty low indeed... no moral high ground here, just a big club pretending to be a small club so that they can continue to pull the wool over the eyes of a dedicated, albeit somewhat naive, fan base... so not only does this club no give a shit about it's fans, this clearly shows that clubs primary interests aren't even soccer related... for all intent and purposes Kroenke doesn't care if we're a soccer club or a tampon factory as long as we continue to maximized his investment... stay woke people... great to see more and more people commenting on the state of the franchise... this club needs to be held accountable for it's actions
The ACC created a fairly standard spectrum in 2016, with no
team too strong or weak
against the
spread, though NC State and Miami led the way at 8 - 4.
The best - value bets can often be found by going
against these
teams because the oddsmakers adjust the line to reflect the expected weight of public money; so that the underdog is often quested at better odds or receives a larger point
spread than is warranted.
Interestingly, these
teams combined for a 24 - 1 record, but managed just a 13 - 12 mark
against the
spread (ATS).
This season home
teams are 23 - 9 overall and 19 -12-1
against the
spread (ATS).
We focused on the 12
teams who won 3 or fewer games
against the
spread (ATS) in 2011.
Minnesota hasn't received more than 69 % of
spread bets since hiring Zimmer, which is amazing considering they have played
against many
teams that are typically avoided by public bettors including Miami, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Tennessee.
This is why many fan favorites or championship - caliber
teams are overvalued and do poorly
against the
spread.
This season,
teams with a one - game losing streak have gone 52 - 40
against the
spread (ATS) and that trend has long been documented.
Because of that, the Knicks received an average of 63 % of
spread wagers over their first eleven games — even as the
team struggled to the tune of a 3 - 8 record
against the
spread.
As detailed in our 2011 - 12 NBA Betting
Against the Public article, there is great value betting on
teams who are receiving less than 30 % of
spread wagers as they have a winning percentage of 50.9 %...
Since 2005, home
teams have covered the
spread at a 51.8 % clip
against conference opponents but they've only covered at a 49.6 % clip
against non-conference opponents.
No NFL
team has received more than 89 % of
spread bets since December 7, 2008 when the Patriots -LRB--7) received 91 % of public support
against the Seattle Seahawks.
Multiple metrics that perform favorably
against Vegas
spreads had UCF as a top - 10
team almost two months before the Peach Bowl, and yet the committee parked the undefeated Knights at No. 18 behind eight two - loss
teams and then at No. 15 behind a three - loss
team.
In fact, we detail this bias in our 2011 - 12 Betting
Against the Public article which shows that betting on
teams who receive fewer than 30 % of
spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at visitors.
Teams receiving less than 50 % of
spread bets have gone 138 - 130 ATS (51.5 %)
against non-conference opponents, but that win rate jumps substantially
against familiar foes.
The Michigan State Spartans are 13 - 1 straight up and 12 - 2
against the
spread over their last 14 games according to the OddsShark College Basketball Database, helping the
team earn a Big Ten championship and a two - seed in the NCAA Tournament.
Both
teams have been very good
against the
spread as of late.
Arsenal are now tied with Man City, Spurs, Crystal Palace and Watford for least goals conceded and when you consider how we started and also had two players sent off
against Chelsea, that suggests to me that as well as being a great keeper, Cech's influence is starting to
spread through the
team, especially the defence.
Overall,
teams are 13 - 9
against the
spread after firing head coaches since 2003.
This tried and true scheme is what Alabama began the game with
against Texas A&M last season, ostensibly a Big 12
spread team that was about to learn what big - league SEC football was all about.
As detailed in our 2011 - 12 NBA Betting
Against the Public article, there is great value betting on
teams who are receiving less than 30 % of
spread wagers as they have a winning percentage of 50.9 % since 2003.
They're the only undefeated
team remaining and also the only
team that is 5 - 0
against the
spread.
With this game hovering around 70 - 30 in terms of ticket percentages, it might behoove you to know that
teams receiving 30 % or less of bets have gone 92 -67-8
against the
spread this season.
If the Broncos don't cover the number at home
against the Jets in Week 14, they will join the 2015 Atlanta Falcons as the only two
teams since 2003 to lose nine straight games
against the
spread.
Immediately, I saw that simply betting
against any ranked
team had produced a 1495 - 1465 ATS (
against the
spread) record since the start of the 2005 season.
Let's spin it forward: If the Broncos don't cover the number at home
against the Jets in Week 14, they will join the 2015 Atlanta Falcons as the only two
teams since 2003 to lose nine straight games
against the
spread.
Last week Belichick's
team suffered a crushing loss and did not cover the
spread against division rival Buffalo Bills.
In these games, the underdog (
team receiving 30 % or fewer
spread bets) went 11 - 5
against the
spread (ATS), for a winning percentage of 68.8 %.
The Broncos have now lost eight straight games
against the
spread, becoming the fifth
team since 2000 to achieve such a magnificent feat.
The four
teams combined for a 35 -28-1 record
against the
spread, and earned a total of 7.0 units for moneyline bettors.
Of Alabama's 12 losses in the last seven - plus years, nine have come
against teams with offenses we might define as
spread - like.
Translation: The less public support a
team gets, the better they perform
against the
spread.
However, the betting public seems to have a short memory, as 8 out of 10
spread bets are sticking with Atlanta to win by 7 or more
against a 5 - 4 Titans
team who has been plagued by inconsistency, yet looked good last week in a 30 - 3 upset victory on the road
against the high - flying Panthers
Since 2005, NFL home
teams playing on Thursday night have won 68.2 %
Against the
Spread (ATS) for a profit of +14.95 units.
These
teams faced off four times during the regular season, with the Cavs going 3 - 1 straight up and
against the
spread.
Carolina has been a huge disappointment this year for contrarian investors, with a 3 - 9 record «
against the
spread» — but SportsInsights analysts are circling this game due to the trend for home dogs to outperform late in NFL seasons + «buying a way - undervalued
team.»