Sentences with phrase «teams coming off»

Teams coming off a big loss to a good team have gone 113 -69-6 (62.1 %) ATS since 2003.

Teams coming off a blowout loss (20 or more points) are undervalued in their next game, having gone 399-336-17 (54.3 %) ATS since 2003.

By using the archived data in Bet Labs, I can quickly see how the home team has performed in divisional games, neutral games, Thursday games, teams coming off of a bye, and so on.

Per ESPN's Brian Burke, the Giants will have a NFL - high four games against teams coming off a bye.

Historically, it has been profitable to bet teams coming off a bye.

Week 2 home teams coming off an easy cover in Week 1 have covered more than 60 % of the time since 2003.

Durant expounded on why he would bypass a White House visit, a ritual for professional teams coming off championship seasons.

Casual bettors are also susceptible to recency bias, thus value on teams coming off a loss (50.5 % ATS).

This gives value to underdogs and teams coming off a loss.

Teams coming off a blowout against a top 10 ranked team have performed well against the spread after their beatdown.

Using a couple of Bet Labs filters, I looked at teams coming off of a loss of at least 21 points against a team that was ranked in the top 10 in the previous week:

For example, NFL teams coming off blowouts usually outperform their expected ATS results the next week.

Road underdogs are historically undervalued, as are teams coming off a loss.

Teams coming off a bye that are favored by 3 or more points on the road have gone 38 - 13 (74.5 %) against - the - spread, +23.45 units.

We find that adding the «Favorite» filter makes teams coming off a bye even more lucrative.

«And these are two really great teams coming off landmark semifinals victories over tremendous opponents.

Teams coming off a disappointing year are more likely to play for a win in the hope of building confidence and momentum for the season.

Let's verify that teams coming off a bye that are favored by 3 or more points on the road is a useful system.

Since 2004, teams coming off bye weeks are 138 - 113 (55 percent) against the spread.

A popular betting strategy in the NFL is targeting teams coming off a bye week.

In consecutive October weeks, they played teams coming off byes, for instance.

Squares consistently overreact to recent results, such as teams coming off a blowout or on a prolonged streak.

Think there's an edge for home teams coming off a loss in cold weather?

-- ATS Streak (set to either 2 or -2 to isolate teams coming off ATS win / loss streaks of 2)-- Game Number (set number to between 3 and 3 to isolate Week 3 games)-- Favorite / Underdog

It's essential to remember this NBA betting system is all about fading teams coming off a huge victory, which means you want to bet against New York and Miami this evening.

We stress the importance of buying on bad news and selling on good news, which means backing teams coming off a blowout loss and fading teams after a big win.

We've previously discussed the value of the zig - zag theory during the NBA playoffs and how it's been historically profitable to take teams coming off a loss.

With sportsbooks posting sharper lines, it's increasingly important to modify our system and look for the sweet spots when taking NBA playoff teams coming off a defeat.

Teams coming off a loss went 7 - 7 bringing their season record to 58 - 58.

Past research has shown that teams coming off a loss of at least 20 - points have gone 340 - 288 ATS (54.1 %), which also bodes well for Detroit.

We found that teams coming off a loss have gone 476 - 455 ATS (52.2 %) in late season games, but that record consistently improves when we look at teams coming off increasingly big losses.

Teams coming off a win are typically overvalued — especially if their previous game was nationally televised.

We also found that teams coming off a win have gone 19 - 15 on Thanksgiving.

Aside from the aforementioned systems involving teams coming off a blowout loss and fading elite teams in late season games, we have found that teams have gone 118 - 86 ATS (58.7 %) after allowing 42 - points in their previous game.

That record moves to 5 - 3 ATS when we eliminate the games with two teams coming off a loss.

The sweet spot would appear to be teams coming off a loss of at least 35 - points.

Since the start of the 2003 season, teams coming off a first - round bye have gone 34 - 18 straight up (SU) but only 20 -31-1 against the spread (ATS).

Teams coming off a loss of at least 20 points have gone 332 - 280 ATS, double - digit underdogs have gone 216 - 186 ATS, and underdogs have performed exceptionally well in division games due to the familiarity between teams.

Since 2003, teams coming off a loss of 20 + points have gone 322 - 275 (53.9 %) with +29.01 units won including a 22 - 18 ATS mark this season.

Teams coming off a loss of at least 20 points have gone 335 - 282 ATS.

-- Historically, teams coming off of a 35 + point win in the tourney have gone just 6 - 8 ATS in their next game.

Since 2003, teams coming off their bye week have gone 219 - 193 ATS (53.2 %).

Teams coming off a loss of more than 14 - points went 0 - 4 ATS last week (SF, CHI, JAX, TB).

Since 2003, teams coming off a loss of at least 20 - points have gone 332 - 280 ATS (54.2 %), while teams coming off a win of at least 21 - points have gone just 254 - 289 ATS (46.8 %).

On a brighter note, two teams coming off a bye week might get key starters back.

Since 2003, teams coming off a loss have gone 1,508 - 1,469 (50.7 %) but that record improves dramatically when we look at larger deficits.

In fact, playoff teams coming off a blowout ATS loss have been even more undervalued during the postseason.

Over this stretch of two plus years, teams coming off a blowout loss have gone 37 - 35 ATS (51.4 %) and teams coming off a blowout ATS loss have gone 35 - 33 ATS (51.5 %).

By utilizing the «previous game margin» filter and looking at all teams coming off a loss (margin between -1 and -45 points) we are able to vastly improve our system with a 64 - 35 ATS record with +25.42 units.

Even though the value from taking teams coming off double - digit losses has begun to wane, we believed that there would still be value if we examined the most extreme blowouts.