Since 2005,
teams fitting this criteria have gone 274 - 206 (57.1 %) ATS with 55.09 units won and a 11.5 % ROI.
Since 2005, home
teams fitting these criteria have gone just 79 - 90 with -18.48 units lost while visitors fitting these criteria have gone 91 - 110 with +30.18 units won and a 15 % ROI.
When we examined
teams fitting this criteria that were also receiving less than 40 % of spread bets, our units won leaped to +51.25 while our ROI increased to 9.4 %.
Teams fitting these criteria have gone 20 - 11 (+5.10 units) this year and 116 - 70 (+28.57 units) since the start of the 2013 season.
Over the past decade plus,
teams fitting this criteria have gone 80 - 54 ATS (59.7 %) with +21.56 units won and a 16.1 % return on investment (ROI) heading into this year's tournament.
Teams fitting these criteria have been consistently profitable, but they have been particularly lucrative over the past three seasons.
While non-conference games fitting these criteria have actually posted a losing record (169 - 185, -24.41 units),
teams fitting this criteria have gone an incredible 306 - 222 for +70.1 units and a 13.3 % ROI when playing a conference opponent.
Since 2005,
teams fitting those criteria have gone 3187 - 3984 (44.4 %) with +178.66 units won.
By utilizing our «Moneyline change open to close» filter, we quickly determined that there was a definitive edge for
teams fitting this criteria.
Since 2005,
teams fitting this criteria produced a woeful record of 636 - 730 and fading this system (betting the visiting team) would result in a win rate of 53.44 %.
Although the number of
teams fitting these criteria has remained fairly consistent, they have produced a negative ROI in each of the past four seasons.
After narrowing our focus to look at home favorites in low - scoring games, we found that
teams fitting these criteria have produced a 198 - 140 (58.6 %) ATS record which increases both our units won (48.39) and ROI (14.3 %).
When
teams fitting this criterion are victorious in Game 1, our units won remains almost unchanged (+11.59) but the return on investment nearly doubles from 6.5 % to 11.1 %.
The win rate for
teams fitting these criteria is slightly higher for road teams than home teams, but it has been profitable regardless of venue.
During the regular season,
teams fitting this criterion have a -4 % ROI, but during the postseason they have gone 249 - 217 with +20.44 units won and a 4.4 % ROI.
Although there have been very few preseason games with a full point of reverse line movement on a team that's receiving less than 35 % of spread bets,
teams fitting those criteria have covered at a nearly 67 % clip.
However, further analysis found that 70.6 % of
teams fitting these criteria were winning by double - digits at halftime.
We now know that since 2005,
teams fitting those criteria have gone 77 - 53 ATS (59.2 %).
Since 2005,
teams fitting this criteria have gone 135 - 88 (60.5 %) with +41.36 units earned and a spectacular 18.5 % return on investment.
There are currently six
teams fitting this criterion, but we chose to focus on the three games with intriguing line movement at the market - setting offshore sportsbooks.
It's also worth noting that most of
the teams fitting these criteria have been underdogs, although it has been profitable to take contrarian favorites as well.
In the NBA,
teams fitting these criteria have gone 19 - 11 ATS (63.3 %) with +6.93 units won.
Since we originally posted our analysis on dogs with high totals,
teams fitting these criteria have continued to be profitable.
Over the past decade,
teams fitting these criteria have gone 445 - 375 ATS (54.3 %) with 49.07 units won and a 6.0 % ROI.
While betting
all teams fitting these criteria would have actually resulted in a loss of -11.39 units, taking every underdog in this range would have resulted in gains of +11.07 units.
It's also worth noting that we have identified similarly profitable results for NBA
teams fitting these criteria.
Since 2005,
teams fitting this criterion have gone 190 - 142 ATS (57.2 %) with +38.97 units won.
Interestingly, every single
team fitting these criteria have been underdogs.
Over the past eleven years,
teams fitting these criteria have gone 53 - 24 ATS (68.8 %) during the NBA Playoffs.
While home
teams fitting this criteria are almost fade - worthy with a 335 - 381 (46.8 %) ATS record, visitors have been far more impressive.
Since 2003,
teams fitting these criteria have gone 105 - 83 ATS (55.9 %) with +16.73 units won during the regular season.
Although
teams fitting these criteria have gone just 10 - 16 straight up (38.5 %), $ 100 / game bettors would have earned $ 1,900 by taking every team fitting this system.
As you can see,
teams fitting this criteria have been the most profitable when they are receiving less than 35 % of spread bets as they have produced a 215 - 172 ATS record (55.56 %) with 33.37 units won and an 8.6 % ROI.
It was also important to see
that teams fitting these criteria had posted a 1.3 % ROI since 2011.
Using our BetLabs software, we determined that
teams fitting this criteria have gone 110 - 149 — good for a 42.5 % winning percentage.
Since 2005,
teams fitting these criteria have gone just 1,206 - 1,284 ATS (48.4 %) in late season games versus 2,699 - 2,586 ATS (51.1 %) in early season games.
During the 2015 - 16 regular season,
teams fitting these criteria went 21 - 13 ATS with +7.38 units won.
Teams fitting this criteria have posted a 798 - 709 (53 %) with +51.99 units won and a 3.5 % return on investment.
Not exact matches
Fit is by far the number one
criterion to use when hiring for your
team.
Before we can connect you with a member of our
team to further discuss YEC, we must verify that you
fit the following
criteria:
Without an Ideal Customer Profile that touches on these points, along with
fit criteria at the company level, a sales
team is likely to spin a lot of cycles on deals that don't end up closing.
Acquisition opportunities in Special Situations may
fit GPB Capital's key acquisition
criteria of current and sustainable yield, recession resilient, high barriers to entry and proven operating partners / management
teams.
You may be interested to know that although San Diego did not
fit this system, it did
fit the
criteria for «Buying Low on Playoff
Teams» which you can read about here: https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/nfl-betting-public-buying-low-playoff-
teams/
At 22 years of age he
fits the Liverpool
criteria of moulding a
team of young, hungry players.
A lot of
teams fit the upset
criteria here, just as a lot of No. 4 - 7 seeds do from the opposite direction.
This game certainly
fits those
criteria after Arkansas» embarrassing loss last week and Alabama's status as the number one
team in the country.
In 467 games
fitting these
criteria, the home
team has gone 261 - 202 with 58.78 units won and a 12.7 % ROI.
Teams receiving less than 30 % of moneyline bets represent the optimal threshold for betting against the public during the regular season, but teams rarely fit that criterion during the play
Teams receiving less than 30 % of moneyline bets represent the optimal threshold for betting against the public during the regular season, but
teams rarely fit that criterion during the play
teams rarely
fit that
criterion during the playoffs.
The Clippers are being hammered by sharp money and
fit the ideal threshold for our betting against the public
criteria, but there's yet another reason to like LA's other
team this evening.
Based on this
criterion — in addition to a handful of other filters — both
teams fit our 2014 MLB Betting Against the Public betting system.