The thing about AGW CS is that since 1900 CO2 concentration has gone up 40 % but temp only 0.7 %; a CS of 3C should have seen
a temp increase of 40 % of 3C or 1.2 C; however of that 0.7 C increase a solar effect has been either 0.4 C [TAR] or 0.1 C [AR4]; natural variation, even if neutral or stationary [and there is compelling evidence that this is problematic and I am not referring to McLean et al], will have contributed something because there have been more + ve PDO's in the period.
(maybe in 150 years a mean
temp increase of about 1.25 K, and probable increase in the rate of the hydrological cycle) Where is «the science» that dramatic reductions in fossil fuel use by humans will make a difference?
I haven't seen the «calm night / windy night» paper but I'm a bit of a fan of worst papers; here are 2 recent contenders; the first is predicting future
temp increases of 25 F with increased humidity, the wet - bulb temperature:
Not exact matches
«Temporary help is rapidly approaching a new record,» said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial, who noted that there was also a rapid
increase in
temp hiring during the boom years
of the 1990s.
Increasing numbers
of workers find themselves on shaky ground, turned into freelancers,
temps and contractors.
And the longer he fought, the more he felt an
increase of strength going out from him to balance the strength
of the
tempest, and from the
tempest there came forth in return a new exhalation which flowed like fire into his veins.
Also, the orzo wasn't fully cooked (anywhere) by the end
of the 40 minutes, so I re-covered the dish,
increased temp to 375, and cooked another 10 minutes.
#thanks2017 And even as the
temps are slowly
increasing in TX, we are not out
of the woods yet.
Bronx Board
of Election Wins Approval for 20
Temp Hires On Tuesday, the NYC Board
of Elections commissioners unanimously approved the Bronx Borough Committee's (ie, Bronx Democratic and Republican commissioners) requested
increase in
temps hires from 16 to 20 (per party).
«Law
of particle dynamics
of granular gases:
Increasing temps in cooling systems.»
If convection and evaporation were not present, I could see the argument being made that a slight
increase in Radiation having some warming effect, however convection and evaporation do exist within the Troposphere and the rate
of cooling the two exhibit
increases as surface
temps increase.
While an
increase in the amount
of radiation the Earth receives by trapping outgoing IR would
increase surface
temps, would the
increased surface
temp not
increase the convection and evaporation rates introducing a negative feedback?
Dan Kellog, an engineer (not climate scientist) on another blog, has raised the issue
of once a glacier has melted away, the local
temps could rise dramatically (and perhaps, averaged altogether around the world as glaciers melt away,
increase the rate
of global warming).
In this new regime, with a complete absence
of sea ice and snow in the Northern Hemisphere, with rapid warming
of the arctic region due to
increased solar absorption, a jump in regional
temps will occur.
I am also interested in how long is required for the surface
temp to «achieve» 95 %
of the ECS change: e.g. if climate sensitivity is 2K, how much time is required for the surface
temp to
increase by 1.9 K; and then how much longer for the deep oceans to
increase by 1.9 K (or whatever 95 %
of the projected
increase in deep ocean temperature works out to.)
With ocean
temps increasing, it is only a matter
of time before we will be able to water - ski down the mountain
of water that will form above the Mariana Trench.
Andrew at 29 has stated something important in calculating the current level
of CO2e in atmosphere and projecting the corresponding
temp increase that we (some
of us maybe) will experience in 2037.
Another key finding is that
increased ice melting decreases the surface
temp of ocean.
Thanks to
increased frequency
of washing, using scalding water, and overexposure to freezing
temps, our hands (along with face and scalp) tend to suffer first, most, and throughout the season.
The study found that after watermelon was picked and stored at room
temp, levels
of the protective phytochemical lycopene
increased by up to 40 %, while levels
of beta - carotene rose by nearly 140 %.
I've also noticed that as the ambient air
temp increases the frequency
of the problem
increases as well.
JET PERFORMANCE PRODUCTS - LOW -
TEMP 180 - DEGREE THERMOSTAT Replacing the stock 195 - degree thermostat with JET's 180 - degree thermostat allows your engine to run cooler which
increases its longevity and a denser mix
of air and fuel means a gain in horsepower as well.
As pointed out in an article by Anna - Louise Jackson, Steve Mathews, and Anthony Feld in Bloomberg Finance, «Temporary Work Demand Rises as Companies Avoid Commitments: Jobs,» the number
of workers needed at firms like Kelly Services (NASDAQ: KELYA) and other
temp agencies has
increased due to market demand, now almost $ 30 billion, for on - demand labor, both blue collar and executive.
Boarding facilities, winter
temps, stress, and inhaling smoke all
increase the risk
of developing kennel cough.
Tonight he weighed 9.9 KGs (21.78 pounds) at 7 weeks
of age at KAH — he had 3 more skin scrapings, was re-weighed, examined by two Vets,
temp remains normal, still has swollen lymph nodes and is now having his Prednisolone
increased and is being changed from clavaseptin to clavamox and dose is also
increasing.
The Fury
of the
Tempest update for Devilian will add the new
Tempest class,
increase the level cap, and add new dungeons and equipment.
Movement really does remind one a lot
of the original
Tempest, and presentation reminds one somewhat
of Tempest 2000 (especially in the later levels as the music picks up in tempo and the size and number
of colourful explosions
increases).
All I have proposed is the possibility that a small (1C or less)
increase in global mean
temp or a doubling
of CO2 concentration will raise the rate
of latent heat transport...
Dan Kellog, an engineer (not climate scientist) on another blog, has raised the issue
of once a glacier has melted away, the local
temps could rise dramatically (and perhaps, averaged altogether around the world as glaciers melt away,
increase the rate
of global warming).
Increased global
temp may result in:
Increased frequency / violence
of severe weather Drought / Desertification / loss
of biomass Loss
of fresh water
Increased disease from vector - borne diseases Species extinction on a large scale.
But bc
of our tug
of war (
increase temp) emission to space is going up, so Earth is still gaining maybe 0.5 W / m2.
That being said, assume a 2 - 4 deg C
increase in Global avg
temp and a doubling
of pre-industrial GHG by the year 2100.
All I have proposed is the possibility that a small (1C or less)
increase in global mean
temp or a doubling
of CO2 concentration will raise the rate
of latent heat transport and possibly
increase the cloud cover, especially during the hottest time
of the year in each region.
I've trying to find what percentage
of additional evaporation there is now over the world's oceans at the current
increased temp of 0.7 C over the mean.
When I think
of the projections that show a 2C or 3.5 F
increase in average global
temps in my lifetime it makes me feel hopeless.
Undoubtedly in past climate changes,
increasing temps did in fact cause CO2 to move from the ocean to the air as solubility
of a gas in a liquid decreases with higher
temps.
For instance, I'd like to know if the range and standard deviation
of global
temps is also
increasing (I've asked this before).
The denialist cut - paste attempts to — via logical fallacy, hand - waving and dissembling — make it appear that... that... well, who knows but it isn't germane nor does it refute eroding coastlines due to less ice, nor does the denialist cut - paste refute the facts
of melting permafrost, CH4 release, warmer Arctic
temps, birds moving north into the Arctic,
increased freshwater flow into the northern seas, and numerous other indicators.
When we look at all the other depletions, declines, alterations
of habitat,
temp increases, etc....
Many graminaceous crops, e.g., are at the upper end
of their
temp tolerance, meaning cropping areas may have to move, and perhaps entire cultures as well; tens
of millions are spent in the Philippines to
increase the heat tolerance
of rice.
So for example deglaciation warmed global mean
temps by about 5 C over 10k years with a radiative forcing
of about 6.5 W / m2 (total
of both GHG
increases and albedo decreases).
Andrew at 29 has stated something important in calculating the current level
of CO2e in atmosphere and projecting the corresponding
temp increase that we (some
of us maybe) will experience in 2037.
Given that the other important variables (sea surface
temps, depth
of the warm layer, and atmospheric moisture) are all predicted to
increase, it seems hard to make the claim that tropical cyclones will be unchanged, just as it seemed unwise to claim that Lyman et al's «Recent cooling
of the upper oceans» meant that climate models had fatal flaws.
This heightened solar radiation somehow for reasons I'm not sure
increases the amount
of Co2 in the atmosphere and this in turn forces
temp.
Which means even if we stop all GHG in 10 years, we still have 40 - 60 years
of temp increases before they level off.
With ocean
temps increasing, it is only a matter
of time before we will be able to water - ski down the mountain
of water that will form above the Mariana Trench.
And, as
increase in ocean temperature lags
increase in atmospheric
temp., even if no AGW signal is yet visible in the hurricane data, this may not mean very much in terms
of the future impact
of AGW on hurricane intensity.
What this regional cooling data in more current times indicates to me is that it must be getting really hot in other places (& not all places are warming in lock - step), or we wouldn't be having this
increase in the AVERAGE
of global
temps.
As at 2016 (2017 the same by the look
of it) global
temp increases are racking the 8.5 RCP.
The rise
of CO2 from 270ppm to now over 400ppm, the extent
of equatorial and sub tropical deforestation, the soot deposits on the polar ice caps, the
increase in atmospheric water vapour due to a corresponding
increase in ocean
temps and changes in ocean currents, the extreme ice albedo currently happening in the arctic etc, etc are all conspiring in tandem to alter the climate as we know it.