Not exact matches
Long - term
changes in
temperature and precipitation are making some rivers flood days, weeks or even months earlier
than they did 50 years ago, and pushing flooding in
other areas much later, researchers report August 11 in Science.
Most of these lakes are in the eastern Himalayas, where glacier lakes are expanding more rapidly
than those in
other parts of the mountain range mostly due to rising
temperatures and decreasing snowfall during the summer monsoon as a result of climate
change.
The giant wind turbines cropping up on ridges, shorelines and
other windy locales across the world affect more
than the wind — they are also
changing local
temperatures, notes a new study.
The new skin can sense
changes that are an order of magnitude smaller and have a responsivity that is two orders of magnitude larger
than those of
other electronic skins over a 45 - degree
temperature range.
Temperature and other climate changes in open expanses, such as the Amazon basin or Sahara Desert, will cover broader swaths of land than steep peaks, meaning that «large geographic displacements are required to change temperature appreciably,» wrote the r
Temperature and
other climate
changes in open expanses, such as the Amazon basin or Sahara Desert, will cover broader swaths of land
than steep peaks, meaning that «large geographic displacements are required to
change temperature appreciably,» wrote the r
temperature appreciably,» wrote the researchers.
Such trends mean scientists and policymakers will have to factor in how synthetic climate forcers
other than greenhouse gases will
change temperature, rainfall and weather extremes.
There are
other influences on the jet stream's behavior, and some scientists think that
changes in tropical ocean
temperatures, or the cyclical recurrence of El Niño, might have a bigger effect on the jet stream
than changes in the Arctic.
Since the 19th century, sea level has shot up more
than 2 millimeters per year on average, far faster
than other periods of global
temperature change.
The global mean
temperature rise of less
than 1 degree C in the past century does not seem like much, but it is associated with a winter
temperature rise of 3 to 4 degrees C over most of the Arctic in the past 20 years, unprecedented loss of ice from all the tropical glaciers, a decrease of 15 to 20 % in late summer sea ice extent, rising sealevel, and a host of
other measured signs of anomalous and rapid climate
change.
In
other words, if climate sensitivity is toward the low end, 2 K is more dangerous
than we currently give it credit for, and arguments for low risk because of low sensitivity are less valid because that means that more ecological
changes occur for a given
temperature change than currently thought.
Schmittner et al hints that a comparable
change will not take too many degrees Celsius, as the
temperature difference to LGM is smaller
than in
other estimates.
In contrast to this observational approach, Schmittner (as well as a number of
other papers, like reference # 4 in this post) take advantage of both models and observations, and try to use the observations to constrain which feedback parameters in the model are consistent (e.g., an overly sensitive model with the same forcings as another model will produce too big of a
temperature change than observations allow).
The new study used calculations and models to show that the cooling from this
change caused surface
temperatures to increase about 25 percent more slowly
than they would have otherwise, due only to the increases in carbon dioxide and
other greenhouse gases.
The
other significant point in all this is that the adjustment time of CO2 is different for naturally induced
temperature changes than it is for artificial releases.
Likewise, they prefer to debate urban heat island effects rather
than to discuss the rising
temperature trends,
other clear signs of rising
temperatures, the positive feedbacks which are beginning to kick in so that climate
change will take on a life of its own independently of what we do in the future if
changes are not made now (# 111, «Storm World» post, comment # 141) and what such climate
change will imply for humanity as a whole (Curve manipulation, comment # 74, A Saturated Gassy Argument, comment # 116).
But
changes in these levels might well be responses to
other factors rather
than being cause of the
temperature variation.
We collectively need to demand that there is no acceptable response to climate
change other than strong emission reductions, ensuring that atmospheric concentrations of CO2 are returned to 350ppm levels, global
temperature rise is kept (at the maximum) 2 °C and, even better, 1.5 °C — to do that, as was emphasized on numerous occasions, we need a F.A.B. climate deal: Fair, Ambitious, and (perhaps most importantly) Binding.
In
other words, if climate sensitivity is toward the low end, 2 K is more dangerous
than we currently give it credit for, and arguments for low risk because of low sensitivity are less valid because that means that more ecological
changes occur for a given
temperature change than currently thought.
It could be smaller
than that or larger, depending on the way that
temperature varies with height; but it will not be larger
than twice that, provided that a temporary saturation doesn't happen and then significantly reverse in the span of a single doubling — in
other words, provided that the process of any temporary saturation and following reversal (wherein BTc0 increases, halts, and then decreases, or in the opposite order) can be sufficiently resolved by the fractional
change in CO2.
The IPCC range, on the
other hand, encompasses the overall uncertainty across a very large number of studies, using different methods all with their own potential biases and problems (e.g., resulting from biases in proxy data used as constraints on past
temperature changes, etc.) There is a number of single studies on climate sensitivity that have statistical uncertainties as small as Cox et al., yet different best estimates — some higher
than the classic 3 °C, some lower.
V 53: Supporters of the mainstream climate
change hypothesis claim there is no explanation for the (supposedly) alarming rise in
temperatures other than CO2 emissions, and they challenge skeptics to provide one.
Supporters of the mainstream climate
change hypothesis claim there is no explanation for the (supposedly) alarming rise in
temperatures other than CO2 emissions, and they challenge skeptics to provide one.
It should not be so hard to accept that doubling the concentration of a gas that interacts with earth's radiative output (which is orders of magnitude larger
than any
other energy loss), over time and with feedbacks included, can
change change the surface
temperature by about 1 %.
If La Nina / El Nino can affect global air
temperatures in a period of a few years,
than other changes in ocean currents (driven by AGW) can affect global atmospheric heat content in a few years.
Is it not also given that there is continuous
change on Earth, in a lot more ways
than temperature, eventually leading to the death of this planet, it's a chaotic work in progress... perhaps it is ridiculous and short sighted to even hope to meaningfully alter any part of the process in the long - run... it may be possible that so many
other unforeseen
changes in natural life conditions besides getting warmer (or colder) are in store for us that, in hind sight we will look back and chuckle at our feeble efforts to control something so beyond man's control.
The bottom line is: the method used in the paper is unsound because it neglects noise (influence from factors
other than solar and GHG) and it may blow up if the
temperature changes while there are unrelated
changes in the
temperature.
But as greenhouse gases increase — at many many times the rate
than they have int the past — they become the dominant forcing, and the
other causes of
temperature change become decreasingly relevant.
Caused by the burning of fossil fuels, deforestation, agricultural practices, and
other human impacts, climate
change has currently raised global
temperatures 0.8 degrees Celsius (1.44 degrees Fahrenheit) higher
than the Industrial Revolution average.
In 2013, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change Fifth Assessment Report stated a clear expert consensus that: «It is extremely likely [defined as 95 - 100 % certainty] that more
than half of the observed increase in global average surface
temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic [human - caused] increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and
other anthropogenic forcings together.»
To answer the question of the Medieval Warm Period, more
than 1,000 tree - ring, ice core, coral, sediment and
other assorted proxy records spanning both hemispheres were used to construct a global map of
temperature change over the past 1,500 years (Mann 2009).
This in turn may mean that something
other than global
temperature - for example, rainfall - has
changed much more in X
than in Y.
As Howard noted, the Southern Ocean has absorbed lots of manmade CO2 while
temperatures and nutrients have not
changed as much, making it more ideal for studying ocean acidification
than other areas.
In fact, they may do so more efficiently
than more uniform
temperature change; warming one hemisphere with respect to the
other is an excellent way of pulling monsoonal circulations and oceanic ITCZs towards the warm hemisphere (the last few years have seen numerous studies of this response, relevant for ice ages and aerosol forcing as well as the response to high latitude internal variability; Chiang and Bitz, 2005 is one of the first to discuss this, in the ice age context; I'll try to return to this topic in a future post.)
That is the nature of negative feedback systems, of which our climate is a prime example (note that «negative feedback» includes the Planck Response — in essence, the Stefan - Boltzmann response — and does not contradict the concept of «positive feedbacks» as amplifiers of CO2 - mediated
temperature change, where «positive» is used to denote feedbacks
other than the Planck Response).
The answer to this lies in how the different datasets deal with having little or no data in remote parts of the world, measurement errors,
changes in instrumentation over time and
other factors that make capturing global
temperature a less -
than - straightforward task.
Other than that,
changes to it might correspond to
changes in general engine
temperature as the cooling system
changes due to action of the thermostat.
Even in areas where precipitation does not decrease, these increases in surface evaporation and loss of water from plants lead to more rapid drying of soils if the effects of higher
temperatures are not offset by
other changes (such as reduced wind speed or increased humidity).5 As soil dries out, a larger proportion of the incoming heat from the sun goes into heating the soil and adjacent air rather
than evaporating its moisture, resulting in hotter summers under drier climatic conditions.6
Spectral radiance emitted to space consistent with Tyndall gas concentrations (confirms ability to calculate radiative forcing); magnitude of Tyndall gas radiative forcing larger
than that of all
other known forcing agents; observed
temperature changes similar in magnitude to those estimated from forcings (confirms ballpark estimates of climate sensitivity); observed pattern of
temperature changes match Tyndall gas pattern better
than that of all
other known forcing agents.
To prove your point, you would have to hold ALL
other causes of
temperature change constant and show that the
temperature increase was more with a free to increase CO2 level
than not.
As a result of the build - up of heat - trapping greenhouse gases in the atmosphere — due to our burning of fossil fuels, cutting down trees and
other activities — global average
temperature is now
changing at a faster rate
than at least over the past 1,000 years.
The problem is that we are looking for the average of the actual global
temperature changes for Earth where some areas warm more rapidly
than others and some areas cool.
Greenland's ice has been melting faster
than many scientists expected just a decade ago, spurred by warming sea and land
temperatures,
changing weather patterns, and
other factors.
This is because physical and biological responses to
changing temperatures are often better understood
than responses to
other climate parameters, and the anthropogenic signal is easier to detect for
temperature than for
other parameters.
The
other side — who expect big
temperature jumps and catastrophic consequences — are accused of being ideologues, or interested in making an alarmist case in order to further their own careers as climate
change activists, or authoritarian monsters who are less interested in saving the planet
than in forcing their own left - wing economic order on the rest of the world.
More complex models exist, and they effects
other than the
change in the dry bulb
temperature when estimating the rate of
change in the internal energy of the planet.
but I saw nothing in the SB11 paper that would indicate anything
OTHER than a response to
temperature changes that alters cloud cover.
It is not at all clear to me why the TOA balalnce should not
change for reasons
other than as a response to
temperatures.
Should a developed nation such as the United States which has much higher historical and per capita emissions
than other nations be able to justify its refusal to reduce its ghg emissions to its fair share of safe global emissions on the basis of scientific uncertainty, given that if the mainstream science is correct, the world is rapidly running out of time to prevent warming above 2 degrees C, a
temperature limit which if exceeded may cause rapid, non-linear climate
change.
Could it not
change as a result of variations in system variables
other than the
temperature or just spontaneously e.g. stochastically?
Temperature induces cloud variation as a feedback, but cloud variation, for reasons other than temperature change, would behave as a forcing in its
Temperature induces cloud variation as a feedback, but cloud variation, for reasons
other than temperature change, would behave as a forcing in its
temperature change, would behave as a forcing in its own right.