Most of you are ignoring my stable
temperature cycle theory.
Not exact matches
To explain this apparent paradox, the researchers called upon a
theory for how the global carbon
cycle, atmospheric carbon dioxide and Earth's
temperature are linked on geologic timescales.
You don't have to doubt the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming
theory to know that there are key variables that have important, measurable effects on world
temperatures at these kind of timescales — ocean
cycles come to mind immediately — which he has left out.
My
theory is that a
cycle like you described evolves as a nautral
temperature regulation system.
The observation of a historically high level of TSI from 1961 to 2001 tends to fit with the
theories set out in my other articles about the real cause of recent warming and the real link between solar energy, ocean
cycles and global
temperatures.
AGW is a hypothesis that makes sense, namely: — GHGs absorb outgoing radiation, thereby contributing to warming (GH
theory)-- CO2 is a GHG (as is water vapor plus some minor GHGs)-- CO2 concentrations have risen (mostly since measurements started in Mauna Loa in 1959)-- global
temperature has risen since 1850 (in ~ 30 - year warming
cycles with ~ 30 - year
cycles of slight cooling in between)-- humans emit CO2 and other GHGs — ergo, human GHG emissions have very likely been a major contributor to higher GHG concentrations, very likely contributing to the observed warming
3) Muscheler seems to be asserting that
temperature has been rising for the last 30 years when it has been roughly flat for the past 15 years (a fact that presents problems for Muscheler's preferred CO2 - warming
theory, but is perfectly compatible with the solar - warming
theory, after
cycle 23 slowed down and dropped off a cliff).
By that standard, last week in Rochester we should have stopped preparing for winter given that we had several days of warm
temperatures that surely made the
temperature trends over some reasonable time period of a week or more positive rather than negative, as would be expected if this seasonal
cycle theory was real.
The
theory, as I have heard it propounded, is that the
temperature of the Earth is «signal», whereas the El Nino
cycles are natural swings and as such are just «noise».
Stephen Wilde's hypothesis is a possible mechanism for the notch - delay
theory, in which the TSI drives surface
temperatures after a delay of one sunspot
cycle (~ 11 years) and which potentially explains most of the
temperature variations over the last few hundred years.
(Quick reminder: The delay of one sunspot
cycle in the ND
theory overcomes the objection that because TSI and so on peaked around 1986 and surface
temperatures kept rising to about 1997, the Sun can not be driving
temperature.
He put forth the
theory that many climatologists, including Mayfield and Willoughby, now embrace — that hurricanes are driven by
cycles of rising water
temperature and salinity that affect the speed of currents in the Atlantic.