Not exact matches
But CRU has struggled to respond to numerous requests filed under Britain's Freedom of Information Act that seek raw
temperature data from weather stations, including
observations obtained from other countries under promise of confidentiality.
This
observation is «the only significant one» in 2014
temperature data, writes climate scientist James Hansen of Columbia University in an e-mail to ScienceInsider.
Rutgers University scientist Georgiy Stenchikov worked with Lioy and others to create the most up - to - date air contaminant model, using
data about the region's wind,
temperature, and humidity to supplement surface and space - based
observations.
This involves a combination of satellite
observations (when different satellites captured
temperatures in both morning and evening), the use of climate models to estimate how
temperatures change in the atmosphere over the course of the day, and using reanalysis
data that incorporates readings from surface
observations, weather balloons and other instruments.
Huang, X., B.J. Soden, and D.L. Jackson, 2005: Interannual co-variability of tropical
temperature and humidity: A comparison of model, reanalysis
data and satellite
observation.
However, comparison of the global, annual mean time series of near - surface
temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere
Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2
Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST
observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional
data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2
data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.
Forster and Gregory (2006) estimate ECS based on radiation budget
data from the ERBE combined with surface
temperature observations based on a regression approach, using the
observation that there was little change in aerosol forcing over that time.
All
data recorded during animal experiment will be supplied in a final report, i.e. clinical
observations and monitored parameters like body
temperature, weight, haematology or biochemistry analysis, animals» behaviour or any other information required by users.
As Bromwich explains on his website, he blended model
data and
observations «to reconstruct a record of Antarctic near - surface
temperature back to 1960»:
The red line shows the
observations (HadCRU3
data), the black line a standard IPCC - type scenario (driven by observed forcing up to the year 2000, and by the A1B emission scenario thereafter), and the green dots with bars show individual forecasts with initialised sea surface
temperatures.
And since we don't have good ocean heat content
data, nor any satellite
observations, or any measurements of stratospheric
temperatures to help distinguish potential errors in the forcing from internal variability, it is inevitable that there will be more uncertainty in the attribution for that period than for more recently.
In fact, the paper has rather little
data of any sort, but they do cite a certain number of
observations which raise the interesting question of whether
temperature rise can account for the melting.
The magnitude it actually had actually risen, how different these
temperatures were from the 1940s, the conflict between model prediction / theory and
observation, etc, were the issues the satellite
data raised.
In models run with the GISS forcing
data, the «natural + anthropogenic»
temperature evolution matches
observations very well for a climate sensitivity of 0.75 °C / W / m ², which agrees with the value derived from palaeoclimate
data.
And of course the new paper by Hausfather et al, that made quite a bit of news recently, documents how meticulously scientists work to eliminate bias in sea surface
temperature data, in this case arising from a changing proportion of ship versus buoy
observations.
Although some earlier work along similar lines had been done by other paleoclimate researchers (Ed Cook, Phil Jones, Keith Briffa, Ray Bradley, Malcolm Hughes, and Henry Diaz being just a few examples), before Mike, no one had seriously attempted to use all the available paleoclimate
data together, to try to reconstruct the global patterns of climate back in time before the start of direct instrumental
observations of climate, or to estimate the underlying statistical uncertainties in reconstructing past
temperature changes.
While land surface
observations go back hundreds of years in a few places,
data of sufficient coverage for estimating global
temperature have been available only since the end of the 19th century.
However, it is generally not possible to «tune» the models to fit very specific bits of the surface
data and the evidence for that is the remaining (significant) offsets in average surface
temperatures in the
observations and the models.
Even putting aside the OHC
data and fingerprinting, there is absolutely no evidence in model simulations (or in prevailing reconstructions of the Holocene), that an unforced climate would exhibit half - century timescale global
temperature swings of order ~ 1 C. I don't see a good theoretical reason why this should be the case, but since Judith lives on «planet
observations» it should be a pause for thought.
This is the same thing that became evident when RealClimate used that broad range of outputs to explain why there are «no» clear model -
data inconsistencies regarding the tropical troposphere
temperature observations.
The reanalyses are closely tied to the measurements at most locations where
observations — such as 2 - meter
temperature, T (2m), or surface pressure — are provided and used in the
data assimilation.
As has been noted by others, this is comparing model
temperatures after 2020 to an
observation - based
temperature in 2015, and of course the latter is lower — partly because it is based on HadCRUT4
data as discussed above, but equally so because of comparing different points in time.
Only an amateur with no concept of the material (Stokes) derivative and time - series aliasing would conclude that lack of serial
observations, such as provided by land - station
data, of diurnally varying
temperature at fixed oceanic locations is «not a problem.»
The RF time series are linked to the
observations of ocean heat content and
temperature change through an energy balance model and a stochastic model, using a Bayesian approach to estimate the ECS from the
data.
Regardless of whether such adjustments are applied to the climate model output, the
observations, using the latest
data, fall inside the modeled range when we consider the numerous sources of uncertainty for surface
temperature data (c.f. Fig 4).
To conduct its analysis, GISS uses publicly available
data from 6,300 meteorological stations around the world; ship - and buoy - based
observations of sea surface
temperature; and Antarctic research station measurements.
Zhang and Lindsay, 4.3 ± 0.8, Model The forecasting system is based on a synthesis of a model, the NCEP / NCAR reanalysis
data, and satellite
observations of ice concentration and sea surface
temperature.
Maybe Trenberth thought our
observations lacked a few
data points, for example at the time he wrote that email, the observational evidence for seawater
temperatures below 700 meters was, shall we say scant.
Climate science is the only science of which I'm aware (and my graduate training is in atmospheric science) where the observed
data are consistently altered to conform to the theory, rather than the theory revised to conform to actual
temperature observations and
data.
However, models would need to underestimate variability by factors of over two in their standard deviation to nullify detection of greenhouse gases in near - surface
temperature data (Tett et al., 2002), which appears unlikely given the quality of agreement between models and
observations at global and continental scales (Figures 9.7 and 9.8) and agreement with inferences on
temperature variability from NH
temperature reconstructions of the last millennium.
NASA GISS obtain much of their
temperature data from the NOAA who adjust the
data to filter out primarily time - of -
observation bias (although their corrections also include inhomogeneities and urban warming - more on NOAA adjustments).
To conduct its analysis, GISS uses publicly available
data from three sources: weather
data from more than a thousand meteorological stations around the world; satellite
observations of sea surface
temperature; and Antarctic research station measurements.
Using
data from 9,000
observations collected over the course of the 11 trials and 30 years, the researchers developed a model to simulate how rises in
temperature could affect sorghum yields.
Incidentally, if one looks at rural (non coastal)
data, and tree ring
data (from rural non coastal sites), a similar
observation is told, namely that
temperatures today are about the same as those observed in the late 1930s / early 1940s.
However, comparison of the global, annual mean time series of near - surface
temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive Ocean - Atmosphere
Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2
Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST
observations; Smith and Reynolds, 2003 and additional
data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2
data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.
Surface warming / ocean warming: «A reassessment of
temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly surface climatological datasets» «Estimating changes in global
temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of
data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based
observations in sea surface
temperature trends»
The
data used in estimating the Levitus et al. (2005a) ocean
temperature fields (for the above heat content estimates) do not include sea surface
temperature (SST)
observations, which are discussed in Chapter 3.
These facts were enough for an NAS panel, including Christy, to publish a report Reconciling
Observations of Global
Temperature Change which concluded that «Despite differences in temperature data, strong evidence exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for the past 100 y
Temperature Change which concluded that «Despite differences in
temperature data, strong evidence exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for the past 100 y
temperature data, strong evidence exists to show that the warming of the Earth's surface is undoubtedly real, and surface
temperatures in the past two decades have risen at a rate substantially greater than average for the past 100 years»
This agreement is accomplished through each modeling group selecting the forcing
data set that produces the best agreement with
observations, along with model kludges that include adjusting the aerosol forcing to produce good agreement with the surface
temperature observations.
MM04 failed to acknowledge other independent
data supporting the instrumental thermometer - based land surface
temperature observations, such as satellite - derived
temperature trend estimates over land areas in the Northern Hemisphere (Intergovernmental Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Third Assessment Report, Chapter 2, Box 2.1, p. 106) that can not conceivably be subject to the non-climatic sources of bias considered by them.
The BC Station
Data page provides access to
observations of weather and climate variables (such as
temperature and rainfall amounts) for British Columbia from the Provincial Climate
Data Set (PCDS).
As reported in Roy's post, these plots by John are based upon
data from the KNMI Climate Explorer with a comparison of 44 climate models versus the UAH and RSS satellite
observations for global lower tropospheric
temperature variations, for the period 1979 - 2012 from the satellites, and for 1975 — 2025 for the models.
«Major improvements include updated and substantially more complete input
data from the ICOADS Release 2.5, revised Empirical Orthogonal Teleconnections (EOTs) and EOT acceptance criterion, updated sea surface
temperature (SST) quality control procedures, revised SST anomaly (SSTA) evaluation methods, revised low - frequency data filing in data sparse regions using nearby available observations, updated bias adjustments of ship SSTs using Hadley Nighttime Marine Air Temperature version 2 (HadNMAT2), and buoy SST bias adjustments not previously made in
temperature (SST) quality control procedures, revised SST anomaly (SSTA) evaluation methods, revised low - frequency
data filing in
data sparse regions using nearby available
observations, updated bias adjustments of ship SSTs using Hadley Nighttime Marine Air
Temperature version 2 (HadNMAT2), and buoy SST bias adjustments not previously made in
Temperature version 2 (HadNMAT2), and buoy SST bias adjustments not previously made in v3b.»
The
temperature analysis produced at GISS is compiled from weather
data from more than 1,000 meteorological stations around the world, satellite
observations of sea - surface
temperature, and Antarctic research station measurements.
Using a combination of observed and forecast
data, scientists from the team at KNMI computed the annual maximum of 3 - day maximum
temperature (
observations up to July 1, forecasts up to July 5).
Stegehuis A., Vautard R., Teuling R., Ciais P. Jung M. Yiou, P. (2012) Summer
temperatures in Europe and land heat fluxes in
observation - based
data and regional climate model simulations, in press by Climate Dynamics; doi 10.1007 / s00382 -012-1559-x
There has been a systematic tendency over time for American stations to shift from evening to morning
observations, resulting in an artificial cooling of
temperature data at the stations affected, as noted by Karl et al. 1986.
The Goddard Institute of Space Science (GISS) global surface
temperature anomaly time series is based on
observations from publicly available observational
data sets rather than models.
Compare the SAR and the TAR for example, and since then we have many more proxy reconstructions to consider, the satellite analyses corrected, new
data about energy imbalances, better
observations of ocean currents and
temperature, ice sheet behaviour in Greenland and Antarctica and much much more.
Using
data collected by Environment Canada, several BC ministries, RioTinto Alcan, and BC Hydro, PCIC scientists have recently constructed monthly maps for departures in precipitation and
temperature observations at weather stations throughout BC, for the period of 1972 to the present.