The models have done really well on
temperature over a long time period so we trust that.
Not exact matches
UHT Soup - Soup which has been heat treated via ultra-high
temperature (UHT) processing to become shelf - stable
over a
long period of
time.
The thick covering of ice and water might mess up some of the geological processes that, at least on Earth, help regulate the planet's
temperature over long periods of
time.
Researchers also need to test a large number of battery cells
over a
long enough
period of
time under various physical conditions and
temperatures to ensure that dendrites will never grow.
«If water
temperatures increase as a result of climate change, this could have far - reaching consequences not only for the individual species, but also for the balance of the ecosystem, which has developed
over a
long period of
time,» says Luckenbach.
For significant
periods of
time, the reconstructed large - scale changes in the North Pacific SLP field described here and by construction the
long - term decline in Hawaiian winter rainfall are broadly consistent with
long - term changes in tropical Pacific sea surface
temperature (SST) based on ENSO reconstructions documented in several other studies, particularly
over the last two centuries.
The body can cool itself
over a short
period of
time and return to a normal
temperature as
long as cooling mechanisms are not overwhelmed by too much intense heat.
Heat capacity that is «used»
over a
longer period of
time (penetration of
temperature change through the depths of the ocean and up to regions of upwelling) would leave a more persistent residual imbalance, but the effect would only just stall the full change to equilibrium climate, not change the
long term equilibrium sensitivity.)
Now the slow diffusion processes come into play: heat diffuses from the skin layer downward, and
over a
long period of
time, the entire body of rock becomes the same as the surface
temperature.
Holding concentrations or
temperature (more remotely) to a particular target therefore means limiting cumulative emissions of, say, carbon
over time... a limited amount of
time if we are talking about an iterative approach, and
over a
long period of
time if we are talking about reducing the likelihood of some very nasty consequences well after we (but not our grandchildren — if we are lucky enough to have some) are gone.
Over very long time periods such that the carbon cycle is in equilibrium with the climate, one gets a sensitivity to global temperature of about 20 ppm CO2 / deg C, or 75 ppb CH4 / deg C. On shorter timescales, the sensitivity for CO2 must be less (since there is no time for the deep ocean to come into balance), and variations over the last 1000 years or so (which are less than 10 ppm), indicate that even if Moberg is correct, the maximum sensitivity is around 15 ppm CO2 / deg C. CH4 reacts faster, but even for short term excursions (such as the 8.2 kyr event) has a similar sensitiv
Over very
long time periods such that the carbon cycle is in equilibrium with the climate, one gets a sensitivity to global
temperature of about 20 ppm CO2 / deg C, or 75 ppb CH4 / deg C. On shorter timescales, the sensitivity for CO2 must be less (since there is no
time for the deep ocean to come into balance), and variations
over the last 1000 years or so (which are less than 10 ppm), indicate that even if Moberg is correct, the maximum sensitivity is around 15 ppm CO2 / deg C. CH4 reacts faster, but even for short term excursions (such as the 8.2 kyr event) has a similar sensitiv
over the last 1000 years or so (which are less than 10 ppm), indicate that even if Moberg is correct, the maximum sensitivity is around 15 ppm CO2 / deg C. CH4 reacts faster, but even for short term excursions (such as the 8.2 kyr event) has a similar sensitivity.
Over even
longer periods of
time, such as thousand year
time cycles, the effect of CO2 on
temperature is much more noticeable.
Temperatures over that
period varied probably by less than 2 deg C, so the climate during which we developed our way of life was very consistent when compared with the
long - term geological
time scale.
3 A) CLIMATE VS. WEATHER Climate is the weather pattern in one place
over a
long period of
time Weather is the current atmospheric conditions, including
temperature, rainfall, wind, and humidity at a given place
Both are at different
time scales, where any (theoretical) influence of CO2 need to change the ocean
temperatures over a sufficient
long period (10 - 30 years), to be visible in the statistics.
Meaning, surface
temperatures do not represent total heat of the entire atmosphere well, in this case the heat was really above, this drives surface
temperature sensitivity quite wild
over a
longer time period.
The
temperature at each land and ocean station is compared daily to what is «normal» for that location and
time, typically the
long - term average
over a 30 - year
period.
Almost any average
temperature you wish depending on how you slice it and none of it has meaning except in the case that you slice it exactly the same way
over successive measurements
over a
long period of
time might tell you something.
Here's two sentences to get you started: Climate encompasses the statistics of
temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind, rainfall, atmospheric particle count and numerous other meteorological elements in a given region
over long periods of
time.
Over short
periods of
time natural variability such as from ENSO for example, can create short term effects that run contrary to the
longer term trend of increasing ocean heat content and higher tropospheric
temperatures.
When we look
over long enough
periods the warming trend is likely to be weaker when the highly volatile
time series are dropped as the most common expectation is that the largest changes in
temperature will ultimately bee seen in the high latitude winter
temperatures.
Consider two emission pathways, both with a cumulative total of 1 TtC, but one with a decaying emissions floor, and one with no emissions floor: the pathway without an emissions floor will cause a
temperature peak earlier than the pathway with the decaying floor, as the emissions floor causes emissions to be emitted
over a
longer time period.
It doesn't mean that there can't be any natural variability that appears as wobbles in the
temperature record (or in other climate variables), masking the multi-decadal
temperature trend
over a
time scale shorter than 20 years with the effect that the
longer term trend is not statistically detectable in the
time series, if one chooses the
time period only short enough.
However,
over long time periods, the variation of the global average
temperature with CO2 concentration depends on various factors such as the placement of the continents on Earth, the functionality of ocean currents, the past history of the climate, the orientation of the Earth's orbit relative to the Sun, the luminosity of the Sun, the presence of aerosols in the atmosphere, volcanic action, land clearing, biological evolution, etc..
Jan Perlwitz says:» It doesn't mean that there can't be any natural variability that appears as wobbles in the
temperature record (or in other climate variables), masking the multi-decadal
temperature trend
over a
time scale shorter than 20 years with the effect that the
longer term trend is not statistically detectable in the
time series, if one chooses the
time period only short enough.»
As the chart depicts
over 12 different
time periods (all ending July 2014), reality is that while CO2 levels keep increasing
over time, the
long - term
temperature warming trend (the red curve) is not rapidly accelerating towards a tipping point of climate catastrophe.
Tree rings, coral skeletons, and glacial ice cores (Figure 3) are proxies for annual
temperature records, while boreholes (holes drilled deep into Earth's crust) can show
temperature shifts
over longer periods of
time.
This also means, of course, that in a
long temperature record, say 100 years, we can * expect * to see a negative trend
over a 17 year
period five
times.
The
longer the
period over which trends are computed, the more these naturally occurring fluctuations in the
temperature time series tend to average out.
Weather is the daily
temperature, it can fluctuate to each extreme rapidly whereas climate is an average of
temperatures over a
long period of
time.
This
time period is too short to signify a change in the warming trend, as climate trends are measured
over periods of decades, not years.12, 29,30,31,32 Such decade -
long slowdowns or even reversals in trend have occurred before in the global instrumental record (for example, 1900 - 1910 and 1940 - 1950; see Figure 2.2), including three decade -
long periods since 1970, each followed by a sharp
temperature rise.33 Nonetheless, satellite and ocean observations indicate that the Earth - atmosphere climate system has continued to gain heat energy.34
The Average weather conditions in an area
over a
long period of
time and is determined by two main factors,
temperature and precipitation.
Over a
long period of
time its environment has deteriorated so that we now expect that it is measuring a
temperature considerably higher than the
temperature which would have existed if the environment at that location had remained unchanged.
Over longer time periods, however, the differences between different
temperature series» settle out, and all show comparable warming
temperature trends.
Not because the calculation is complicated — just take how much the global average
temperature has changed
over some longish
time period (a couple of decades or
longer) and divide by much energy was used to force that change.
The problem with that argument is that
over long periods of
time (like the six decades since 1950), positive and negative phases of ocean cycles tend to cancel each other out, and thus internal variability doesn't have a large influence on
long - term
temperatures.
Weather v. Climate ► Climate: The average
temperature and precipitation in an area
over a
long period of
time.
A region's climate describes the characteristic pattern of weather conditions within a region, including
temperature, wind velocity, precipitation, and other features, averaged
over a
long period of
time.
Climate: Atmospheric conditions (
temperature, rainfall, etc...) of a region
over a
long period of
time
They will refer to ENSO as showing «internal variability» by which they mean that ENSO can run warm at some
times and cool at others but that these
temperatures must sum to zero, or approximately so,
over longer periods of
time.
We know from archeology and paleontology that in fact the overall
temperature of the earth is a relatively stable quantity
over very
long periods of
time.
Over longer periods of time, however, it becomes increasingly unlikely that the Triple R could have persisted as a cohesive feature over two consecutive winter seasons by random chance alone, which supports the notion that highly unusual ocean temperatures played a fundamental r
Over longer periods of
time, however, it becomes increasingly unlikely that the Triple R could have persisted as a cohesive feature
over two consecutive winter seasons by random chance alone, which supports the notion that highly unusual ocean temperatures played a fundamental r
over two consecutive winter seasons by random chance alone, which supports the notion that highly unusual ocean
temperatures played a fundamental role.
If
over a
long period of
time that portion of the ocean accumulates heat, then the index (a statistic calculated from
temperatures and pressures) running mean will change
over that
time span.
Temperatures cherry - picked from a short
time period are going to deviate from the mean value
over a
longer period.
This indicates to me that the rate of energy being added to the oceans has not increased
over a
longer time period and that there is thus a discrepancy between land and ocean
temperature data.
The only possible explanation for why the average
temperature of the ocean is 4C is because that is the average surface
temperature of the earth taken
over a
period of
time long enough for convection and conduction to equilibrate the entire volume.
We generated a large number of synthetic monthly
time series to mimic the natural
temperature data
over a
long period of 37,002 mo..
Since the volcanic forcing tends to be like a very high frequency spike, the
temperature response to the forcing is lower in magnitude than you would expect if the forcing were sustained
over a
longer time -
period.