Sentences with phrase «temperature prediction skill»

For streamflow prediction, the ESP approach has very limited or no correlation skill beyond the months influenced by initial hydrologic conditions, while the CM - HPS has moderately better correlation skill, attributable to the enhanced temperature prediction skill that results from CanSIPS's ability to predict El Niño — Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its teleconnections.

Not exact matches

However, the annual mean predictions for the global temperature that they issue every year does have some skill — being based mainly on the state of ENSO at the start of the year.
On the one hand you say «I don't know how to assess skill of decadal trends» and on the other hand you also claim that the «prediction of mean temperature at the regional scale can be done fairly well given the robust temperature trend».
Predictability and prediction studies have focused largely on temperature, and there is evidence of skill in the prediction of variations in annual means of temperature over much of the globe for several years, conditional on the initialization of the forecasts.
There is currently less skill in predicting precipitation and other variables compared to temperature although progress is expected to be made as a consequence of the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) and other projects and investigations.
If all ring growth influences can be correlated to markers systematically and predictably to the point that an investigator can decipher the full climate history, drought, flood, predation, infestation, sunlight, wind, average temperature and range of temperature extremes, then they can demonstrate that skill with blinds and predictions.
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