Not exact matches
Once the
temperature data is analysed, we can
make an unchangeable
prediction for what the polarisation should look like.
There are also ones that track babies» vital signs, sound an alert if the baby hasn't moved recently, keep track of the
temperature in your baby's room, and even
make predictions as to when your baby will wake up.
In a new study due this week in the Early Edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), Rice University theoretical physicist Qimiao Si and colleagues at the Rice Center for Quantum Materials in Houston and the Vienna University of Technology in Austria
make predictions that could help experimental physicists create what the authors have coined a «Weyl - Kondo semimetal,» a quantum material with an assorted collection of properties seen in disparate materials like topological insulators, heavy fermion metals and high -
temperature superconductors.
If there's a big volcanic eruption tomorrow, Robock said he could
make predictions for seasonal
temperatures, precipitation and the appearance of El Niño next winter.
While Karsenti is cautious about
making predictions, he warns that many plankton species are very sensitive to
temperature changes.
Lord Monckton
made up data on atmospheric CO2 concentration and global mean
temperature that he claimed were IPCC
predictions.
For NOAA's Climate
Prediction Center to
make that declaration, the sea - surface
temperature in an eastern - central segment of the ocean called the Nino 3.4 must be 0.5 °C (0.9 °F) above normal for at least a month — and be forecasted to last that way for at least three months.
«The big bang
made no quantitative
prediction that the «background» radiation would have a
temperature of 3 degrees Kelvin (in fact its initial
prediction [by George Gamow in 1946] was 30 degrees Kelvin); whereas Eddington in 1926 had already calculated that the «
temperature of space» produced by the radiation of starlight would be found to be 3 degrees Kelvin.»
To
make accurate climate
predictions, scientists need to know how ENSO varies in the short term, and if it is affected by rising global
temperatures caused by human activity in the long term.
Theories about the evolution of the universe
make specific
predictions about the extent of these
temperature patterns.
-- In order to
make his «
predictions», of global
temperature response from Archibald uses not 5 stations, but 1 station's data (De Bilt in Holland).
We will see what the peer - reviewed scientific literature has to say on the subject, and show that not only have the IPCC surface
temperature projections been remarkably accurate, but they have also performed much better than
predictions made by climate contrarians.»
What is your level of confidence in the
prediction made by GISS: «barring the unlikely event of a large volcanic eruption, a record global
temperature clearly exceeding that of 2005 can be expected within the next 2 - 3 years.»
In the same paper in which he
made his often - quoted «
prediction» that doubling the atmospheric concentration of CO 2 would lead to an increase of 10 °C in surface mean
temperature, F. Möller
makes an almost never quoted disclaimer to the effect that a 1 percent increase in general cloudiness in the same model would completely mask this effect.
Does this
prediction and the confidence with which it is
made «The quasi-regularity of some natural climate forcing mechanisms, combined with knowledge of human -
made forcings, allows projection of near - term global
temperature trends with reasonably high confidence», reflect the consensus of climate scientists, in your opinion?
Is Real Climate ready to
make a
prediction for 2009 and 2010
temperatures?
I received an e-mail yesterday from Judah Cohen, a commercial weather and climate analyst who
made a
prediction in late December for a particularly cold pattern of North American
temperatures through the remainder of the winter — based on his hypothesized link between autumn snow cover in Siberia and winter conditions on this continent.
Atmospheric CO2 concentration wouldn't be treated as such a big deal if it didn't affect
temperature; so of course Lord Monckton has tried to show that the Fantasy IPCC «
predictions» of CO2 concentration he
made up translate into overly high
temperature predictions.
The next conclusion is that any
prediction of (air)
temperatures for the next 50 years is totally dependant on the assumption
made for what the solar irradiance levels are?
J: 205 says the MET office
made a
prediction for the 2010 mean global
temperature with 4 significant figures.
He uses a method that is clearly intended to examine the long - term response of
temperature to changes in carbon dioxide, and which is never used by the IPCC (nor should it be) to
make predictions about current
temperature trends.
that climate models can not account for the observations we already have let alone
make adequate
predictions about what will happen in the future.that century - scale variations in tropical Pacific climate modes can significantly modulate radiatively forced shifts in global
temperature.»
Why, even after the numerous questionable adjustments to the surface
temperature datasets, has the rate of warming over the past quarter of a century been only one - third to one - half of the central
prediction made by the UN's climate panel in its 1990 First Assessment Report?
Earlier you said «This site has tiny handful of the
predictions made and how they have failed» yet all the examples you have given appear to be about either projections of global
temperatures, which I am sure others will pick up on if you want to push the issue, or the timespan we have available to take action to avoid committing ourselves to future consequences.
5) Given the complexity of climate, no confident
prediction about future global mean
temperature or its impact can be
made.
That is an excellent example of good science: based on measurements of carbon dioxide and
temperature, and on our understanding from basic physics of the interactions between carbon dioxide and light, Hansen
made a bold
prediction that could be tested and verified experimentally over time.
I suspect that it looked OK in your view or you didn't check; «the paper i cited talks of the hiatus in global
temperatures for the past 20 years or so, that the Little Ice Age was global in extent, and that climate models can not account for the observations we already have let alone
make adequate
predictions about what will happen in the future.
There are many who will not like this recent paper published in Nature Communications on principle as it talks of the hiatus in global
temperatures for the past 20 years or so, that the Little Ice Age was global in extent, and that climate models can not account for the observations we already have let alone
make adequate
predictions about what will happen in the future.
When the IPCC
makes a «non
prediction»
prediction of mean
temperature response to manmade C0 - 2 such as discussed here, is it defined to both latitude and altitude?
Comparing model
predictions of GHG - induced warming with recent natural
temperature fluctuations also indicates the potential scale of man -
made climate change.Early modelling experiments focused on the total long - term change resulting from a doubling of carbon dioxide (CO2) levels.
I never am able to get my teeth sufficiently into the meat of the matter so that one could
make a reasonable evaluation of the scenarios inputs and then evaluation of the
temperature prediction based on the actual observed inputs.
When the IPCC
makes a «non
prediction»
prediction of mean
temperature response to manmade C0 - 2 is it defined to both latitude and altitude?
Ten years ago you
made predictions about how the Globe would be warmer,
temperatures deviating from normal expectations, powered by human influence.
Care to
make a
prediction on what the surface
temperature will do when the next 1.8 or higher El Nino occurs or do you think such an event wont happen again.
There may be an element of truth in some of the
predictions made from those cherry - picked
temperature data, but so far I haven't seen any.
So, they didn't actually simulate sea level changes, but instead estimated how much sea level rise they would expect from man -
made global warming, and then used computer model
predictions of
temperature changes, to predict that sea levels will have risen by 0.8 - 2 metres by 2100.
They
made no attempt to defend the models or any specific
temperature prediction for a doubling of CO2.
They
make predictions and give probability density functions of «how likely» such and such
temperature will be in year 2100.
Contrast that to the consequences of
making a
temperature prediction for 2100.
In 1988, Hansen
made three
predictions, all three had
temperatures going up, if that was done by chance there would be a 87.5 % chance that at least one of the
predictions would be for
temperatures to decrease,
temperatures increased, therefore Hansen did better than chance, at least to 87.5 %.
While others
made predictions for average or warmer than normal
temperatures, only AER predicted cold for January, February, and March across the United States, Europe, and Asia.
If the record had been a tropical jungle or sea I'd have considered my hypothesis falsfied but so far every
prediction made by it fits what has been observed with the sole exception of the Antarctic interior but that may be due to exceptional characteristics such as the strong polar vortex, ozone hole, and a
temperature far lower than anywhere else on the planet.
Hansen actually
made some more precise
predictions on various emissions scenarios and what the resulting
temperature changes would be.
The real problem then is that in your and my attempts to predict
temperature here, we are assuming that a
prediction can be
made on the basis of CO2 alone.
And the climate models do
make predictions (a wide range of them) e.g. see the
temperature predictions of the CMP5 models posted by Jimbo in this thread here.
The problem seems that the GCMs can be modified and recalibrated to conform to
temperature without
making a definite
prediction that can be falsified.
Yet some kind of climate model is indispensable to
make future
predictions of the climate system and IPCC has identified several reasons for respect in the climate models including the fact that models are getting better in predicting what monitoring evidence is actually observing around the world in regard to
temperature, ice and snow cover, droughts and floods, and sea level rise among other things.
You prove this by a simple energy balance: the
temperature predictions have no credence; the original mistakes were
made by Sagan in 1965.
An ingenious theory, but the model set out in that paper seems to
make predictions about what would happend to surface
temperature if CO ₂ concentration were to vary which are out of kilter with empirical measurements by several orders of magitude in timescale and at least one order of magnitude and possibly the wrong sign in
temperature.
«The
temperature graphs are
made from numerical weather
prediction (NWP) «analysis» data.