Among many issues, I pointed out the fact that this chart appends or splices the black line, actual measured temepratures, onto the colored lines, which are the historical
temperature reconstructions from proxies.
To produce temperature series that were completely up - to - date (i.e. through to 1999) it was necessary to combine the temperature reconstructions with the instrumental record, because
the temperature reconstructions from proxy data ended many years earlier whereas the instrumental record is updated every month.
Here we use dust deposition data and
temperature reconstructions from ice sheet, ocean sediment, and land archives to construct dust − climate relationships.
Most of the emails concern
temperature reconstructions from the past.
Note that regional proxies, such as the oxygen - isotope
temperature reconstructions from the Greenland Ice Core Project that record Dansgaard - Oeschger events, often indicate faster regional rates of climate change than the overall global average for glacial - interglacial transitions, just as today warming is more pronounced in Arctic regions than in equatorial regions (Barnosky et al., 2003; Diffenbaugh and Field, 2013).
It focuses on the two time periods of 6,000 and 1,500 years ago and uses 104
temperature reconstructions from around the Arctic region to determine the temperature at those two times.
Figure 3 shows
the temperature reconstructions from Antarctic ice cores for the last 420,000 years covering four previous Interglacials.
Related Links: New Paper: Roman & Medieval Warm Periods Were Warmer Than Previously Thought — «A paper published in Nature Climate Change finds prior
temperature reconstructions from tree - rings «may underestimate pre-instrumental [pre-1850] temperatures including warmth during Medieval and Roman times.»
Jacoby and Briffa were very early in trying to make
temperature reconstructions from tree rings and were much more «successful» in doing so than other contemporary researchers.
«To produce temperature series that were completely up - to - date (i.e. through to 1999) it was necessary to combine the temperature reconstructions with the instrumental record, because
the temperature reconstructions from proxy data (such as tree rings) ended many years earlier whereas the instrumental record is updated every month.»
> As part of our network of collaborators, it is possible to have access to > tree - ring patterns and related
temperature reconstructions from a wide grid > of chronologies outside Europe.
In gathering and analyzing the data, the team says it incorporated recommendations for improving such
temperature reconstructions from the National Research Council.
Although
temperature reconstructions from proxy data help us understand the character of natural climate variability, attribution of recent climate change relies on a broad range of methodologies in addition to the proxy reconstructions.
With a little reflection, I think that it can be seen that the mathematics of Mennian methods will necessarily slightly increase the warming trend in
temperature reconstructions from surface data, an effect previously seen with USHCN and now seen with GHCN.
These (judging by a perusal of his abstracts reproduced below) seem to accord more or less with
the temperature reconstructions from other studies (including other borehole data).
Looking at Dr Huang's later work on
temperature reconstructions from borehole data indicates that (as Gavin says) he hasn't followed up the 1997 study, but instead has focussed on more accessible reconstructions from the last 5 centuries.
In particular, the new synthesis clarifies the temperature history for the Southern Hemisphere continents by including
temperature reconstructions from Antarctica, Australasia and South America.
That temperature reconstructions from proxies are highly uncertain and should contain large error bars is a given.
These (judging by a perusal of his abstracts reproduced below) seem to accord more or less with
the temperature reconstructions from other studies (including other borehole data).
This chart depicts historical precipitation and
temperature reconstruction from northern China.
Figure 2 shows a Northern Hemisphere
temperature reconstruction from stalagmites.
Figure 4: Northern Hemisphere annual
temperature reconstruction from speleothem reconstructions shown with 2 standard error (shaded area)(Smith 2006).
Geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt found a Japanese tree - ring
temperature reconstruction from 1995, one that should have been heeded by the IPCC and Michael Mann before they took the world on a 10 - year joyride in the stolen car of «climate science».
I believe the global average
temperature reconstruction from beginning of industrial revolution through present is not precise to the neccessary few tenths of a degree needed to support a sensitivity of 2.88.
D'Arrigo et al 2006 produced a NH
temperature reconstruction from 19 regional chronologies.
Ah... Isn't this just
a temperature reconstruction from one area,,, Northern Sweden?
Looking forward to your response as I would truly like to understand how these and other factors are dealt with to arrive at an accurate
temperature reconstruction from tree rings.
Can any of you look at
the temperature reconstruction from the beginning of the instrumental record until 1950 and eyeball a trend?
The decadal - scale variability reflected in
the temperature reconstruction from tree rings may well be superimposed over this warmer baseline, but the warmth still would not likely match the observed average maximum temperatures over the past decade (17.54 °C mean maximum average for 1999 — 2008, Fort Valley, AZ, Western Regional Climate Center)(Table S1).
It also provides a welcome Southern Hemisphere perspective to a topic dominated by Northern Hemisphere proxies (and, for «skeptics», far too much by the Cuffey - Clow
temperature reconstruction from GISP2 e.g. recent WUWT discussion here).
While there is obviously ongoing «skeptic» interest in a Holocene perspective, such commentary (e.g. recent WUWT posts) is far too often limited to a Northern Hemisphere (Greenland) perspective and, in particular, to the problematic Cuffey - Clow
temperature reconstruction from GISP2 (which ends in 1855, though GISP2 isotope data is available to 1987).
It is hard to know which is greater: contrarians» overstatement of the flaws in the historical
temperature reconstruction from 1998 by Michael E. Mann and his colleagues or the ultimate insignificance of their argument to the case for climate change.
Not exact matches
On page 15 he displays a graph of
temperature for the last 1000 years based on borehole
temperature reconstructions (
from Huang).
What really disappeared
from the NOAA database is the
temperature reconstruction of China, which I had downloaded
from there.
The
temperature responses in
reconstructions from the past millenium can be reproduced (approximately) without inferring novel solar mechanisms: therefore, they can not be used as evidence for novel solar mechnisms.
The important point the study makes is that the onset of warming in the tropical ocean in the 1830s is earlier than is typically assumed
from the instrumental record and
from other proxy
reconstructions that have focused mainly on Northern Hemisphere land
temperatures.
It is different
from previous studies that use climate proxies because it uses a brand new
temperature reconstruction for the tropical oceans.
For example, bristlecone pines are known to be CO2 fertilized, creating a possible confounding problem if they are used in
temperature reconstructionA figure
from Mann's own website suggested that the medieval warm period reappeared if bristlecone pines were excluded
from the
reconstruction.
Less confidence can be placed in large - scale surface
temperature reconstructions for the period
from A.D. 900 to 1600.
A recent
reconstruction from proxy
temperature data [55] concluded that global
temperature declined about 0.7 °C between the Holocene maximum and a pre-industrial minimum before recent warming brought
temperature back near the Holocene maximum, which is consistent with our analysis.
The third possibility is that some tree - ring
reconstructions can't be easily compared to simple
temperature averages
from the models.
Chronologies developed
from sites near to the elevational or latitudinal tree lines often show sensitivity to summer
temperature and, because of their annual resolution, absolute dating and relatively widespread nature, they have contributed to many local, continental and hemispheric
temperature reconstructions.
Let me stress that I basically couldn't be any other way, the other
temperature reconstructions obviously suffer
from the same kinds of issues.
One of our Google Summer of Code students is working on making a faster and more user - friendly ccc - gistemp; one of the others is working on a new homogenization codebase (with input
from Matt Menne, Claude Williams, and Peter Thorne), and the third is working on a web - facing common - era
temperature reconstruction system (mentored by Julien Emile - Geay, Jason Smerdon, and Kevin Anchukaitis).
Two independent multidisciplinary studies of climatic change during the glacial - Holocene transition (ca, 14,000 - 9,000 calendar yr B.P.)
from Norway and Switzerland have assessed organism responses to the rapid climatic changes and made quantitative
temperature reconstructions with modern calibration data sets (transfer functions).
Oerlemans's
reconstruction of global
temperatures (largely
from mid latitude glaciers) is entirely independent of the much talked about
temperature records
from other paleoclimate proxy data (e.g. Moberg and others, Mann and others, Crowley and others).
I still haven't heard a comment about this «hockey» stick
from your part, I believe the
reconstruction graph is robust by current all time high
temperatures extending back in time since about 1998.
Our primary conclusions are based on a comparison of the longer term paleotemperature changes
from our
reconstruction with the well - documented
temperature changes that have occurred over the last century, as documented by the instrumental record.
The data assembled for this synthesis, and the
temperature reconstructions derived
from them will no doubt be analyzed using alternative approaches to reveal other patterns and address further research questions.
The
temperature reconstruction is then formed by combining the high - frequency (< 80 y) signal
from tree rings with the low - frequency (> 80 y) signal
from lake sediments and other such non-annually resolved proxies.