Not exact matches
Under current policies, the IEA puts the chances of holding
global temperature increases to less than 2 degrees — the threshold at which
global warming tips us into the danger zone — at a scant 2 percent.
Even if those and other nations» promises
under the Paris agreement are kept,
global temperatures may yet soar well above 2 °C (3.6 °F) compared with pre-industrial times — roughly twice the amount of
warming recorded so far.
One of the sturdiest pillars of the argument against
global warming has crumbled
under the weight of some 10 million newly compiled measurements of ocean
temperature.
With an El Niño now
under way — meaning
warm surface waters in the Pacific are releasing heat into the atmosphere — and predicted to intensify, it looks as if the
global average surface
temperature could jump by around 0.1 °C in just one year.
Dr Li said the latest research findings give a better understanding of changes in human - perceived equivalent
temperature, and indicate
global warming has stronger long - term impacts on human beings
under both extreme and non-extreme weather conditions, suggesting that climate change adaptation can not just focus on heat wave events, but should be extended to the whole range of effects of
temperature increases.
I don't think anyone is suggesting that
global warming has any impact on the
temperature of the earth's interior — the earth's core has that well
under control.
Temperature extremes over these years is basically in line with what is expected
under global warming - an increase in extremely
warm episodes and a decline in extremely cold ones.
The study examines permafrost carbon emissions in various climate models and
under different scenarios, finding that the extra boost to
warming from thawing permafrost could be 0.2 - 12 % of the change in
global mean
temperature.
Once again
under the widening impact of this full hour of extra solar radiation,
global mean surface
temperatures began to
warm.
If one wants to make the connection to
global warming for this glacier, one will need to proof that ocean
temperatures under the ice have increased.
«We also present a set of
global vulnerability drivers that are known with high confidence: (1) droughts eventually occur everywhere; (2)
warming produces hotter droughts; (3) atmospheric moisture demand increases nonlinearly with
temperature during drought; (4) mortality can occur faster in hotter drought, consistent with fundamental physiology; (5) shorter droughts occur more frequently than longer droughts and can become lethal
under warming, increasing the frequency of lethal drought nonlinearly; and (6) mortality happens rapidly relative to growth intervals needed for forest recovery.
global warming is still
under way despite the recent pause / plateau / hiatus / slowdown / standstill (choose one) in the planet's mean
temperature.
In March 2009, Michaels,
under the auspices of the Cato Institute, circulated a draft advertisement that stated: «Surface
temperature changes over the past century have been episodic and modest and there has been no net
global warming for over a decade now... The computer models forecasting rapid
temperature change abjectly fail to explain recent climate behavior.»
This CO2 - driven acidification of the oceans is already
under way in our own epoch of
global warming - and that same oceanic response in the past coincides with massive rises in
temperature - the hyperthermal.
These methods have been significantly improved by fully coupling the hydrologic cycle among land, lake, and atmosphere.94, 95 Without accounting for that cycle of interactions, a study96 concluded that increases in precipitation would be negated by increases in winter evaporation from less ice cover and by increases in summer evaporation and evapotranspiration from
warmer air
temperatures,
under a scenario of continued increases in
global emissions (SRES A2 scenario).
The economic constraint on environmental action can easily be seen by looking at what is widely regarded as the most far - reaching establishment attempt to date to deal with The Economics of Climate Change in the form of a massive study issued in 2007
under that title, commissioned by the UK Treasury Office.7 Subtitled the Stern Review after the report's principal author Nicholas Stern, a former chief economist of the World Bank, it is widely viewed as the most important, and most progressive mainstream treatment of the economics of
global warming.8 The Stern Review focuses on the target level of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) concentration in the atmosphere necessary to stabilize
global average
temperature at no more than 3 °C (5.4 °F) over pre-industrial levels.
Summer
temperature standard deviation, skewness and strong positive
temperature anomalies in the present day climate and
under global warming conditions
By the middle of the century, climate models indicate that
global mean
temperature would likely be about 0.5 - 1.6 degrees F
warmer than today
under the Paris Path, but 1.6 - 3.1 degrees F
warmer under the Trump Trajectory.
The Earth's
temperature could rise
under the impact of
global warming to levels far higher than previously predicted, according to the United Nations» team of climate experts.
The nonprofit Climate Interactive projected that if all countries» existing carbon reduction pledges are «fully implemented, with no further action,»
global temperatures will rise 3.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100, which is 1 degree less than the 4.5 degrees Celsius of projected
warming that would occur
under «business as usual.»
Ruff, T. W. and J. D. Neelin (2012), Long tails in regional surface
temperature probability distributions with implications for extremes
under global warming, Geophys.
In other words,
under solar or anthropogenic influence the changes in mean climate values, such as the
global temperature, are less important than increased duration of certain climate patterns associated say with cold conditions in some regions and
warm conditions in the other regions
Importantly, these trends can largely be explained by increases in mean ocean
temperatures, suggesting that we can expect further increases in marine heatwave days
under continued
global warming.»
Every time the evidentiary basis of AGW is knocked out from
under it, its proponents simply change the name (e.g.: «
Global Warming» becomes «Climate Change») or the predicted effects of AGW («the earth's
temperature will rise by X degrees» becomes «the earth's
temperature will maybe rise or fall by X degrees»).
A new report looks at flood risk and economic damages
under different
global warming scenarios with
temperature increases of 1.5, 2 and 4 °C.
Even
under optimistic assumptions about
global carbon abatement, the Earth is expected to
warm by 4oC or more by the end of the century, making it hotter than it has been for 15 million years, and crossing several tipping points along the way that will make it impossible to stabilise the
global temperature at any level.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will
warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of
temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of
temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5)
global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The
global average
temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
(11/15/07) «Ban the Bulb: Worldwide Shift from Incandescents to Compact Fluorescents Could Close 270 Coal - Fired Power Plants» (5/9/07) «Massive Diversion of U.S. Grain to Fuel Cars is Raising World Food Prices» (3/21/07) «Distillery Demand for Grain to Fuel Cars Vastly Understated: World May Be Facing Highest Grain Prices in History» (1/4/07) «Santa Claus is Chinese OR Why China is Rising and the United States is Declining» (12/14/06) «Exploding U.S. Grain Demand for Automotive Fuel Threatens World Food Security and Political Stability» (11/3/06) «The Earth is Shrinking: Advancing Deserts and Rising Seas Squeezing Civilization» (11/15/06) «U.S. Population Reaches 300 Million, Heading for 400 Million: No Cause for Celebration» (10/4/06) «Supermarkets and Service Stations Now Competing for Grain» (7/13/06) «Let's Raise Gas Taxes and Lower Income Taxes» (5/12/06) «Wind Energy Demand Booming: Cost Dropping Below Conventional Sources Marks Key Milestone in U.S. Shift to Renewable Energy» (3/22/06) «Learning From China: Why the Western Economic Model Will not Work for the World» (3/9/05) «China Replacing the United States and World's Leading Consumer» (2/16/05)» Foreign Policy Damaging U.S. Economy» (10/27/04) «A Short Path to Oil Independence» (10/13/04) «World Food Security Deteriorating: Food Crunch In 2005 Now Likely» (05/05/04) «World Food Prices Rising: Decades of Environmental Neglect Shrinking Harvests in Key Countries» (04/28/04) «Saudis Have U.S. Over a Barrel: Shifting Terms of Trade Between Grain and Oil» (4/14/04) «Europe Leading World Into Age of Wind Energy» (4/8/04) «China's Shrinking Grain Harvest: How Its Growing Grain Imports Will Affect World Food Prices» (3/10/04) «U.S. Leading World Away From Cigarettes» (2/18/04) «Troubling New Flows of Environmental Refugees» (1/28/04) «Wakeup Call on the Food Front» (12/16/03) «Coal: U.S. Promotes While Canada and Europe Move Beyond» (12/3/03) «World Facing Fourth Consecutive Grain Harvest Shortfall» (9/17/03) «Record
Temperatures Shrinking World Grain Harvest» (8/27/03) «China Losing War with Advancing Deserts» (8/4/03) «Wind Power Set to Become World's Leading Energy Source» (6/25/03) «World Creating Food Bubble Economy Based on Unsustainable Use of Water» (3/13/03) «
Global Temperature Near Record for 2002: Takes Toll in Deadly Heat Waves, Withered Harvests, & Melting Ice» (12/11/02) «Rising
Temperatures & Falling Water Tables Raising Food Prices» (8/21/02) «Water Deficits Growing in Many Countries» (8/6/02) «World Turning to Bicycle for Mobility and Exercise» (7/17/02) «New York: Garbage Capital of the World» (4/17/02) «Earth's Ice Melting Faster Than Projected» (3/12/02) «World's Rangelands Deteriorating
Under Mounting Pressure» (2/5/02) «World Wind Generating Capacity Jumps 31 Percent in 2001» (1/8/02) «This Year May be Second
Warmest on Record» (12/18/01) «World Grain Harvest Falling Short by 54 Million Tons: Water Shortages Contributing to Shortfall» (11/21/01) «Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation of Island Country» (11/15/01) «Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China's Food Security» (10/4/01) «Wind Power: The Missing Link in the Bush Energy Plan» (5/31/01) «Dust Bowl Threatening China's Future» (5/23/01) «Paving the Planet: Cars and Crops Competing for Land» (2/14/01) «Obesity Epidemic Threatens Health in Exercise - Deprived Societies» (12/19/00) «HIV Epidemic Restructuring Africa's Population» (10/31/00) «Fish Farming May Overtake Cattle Ranching As a Food Source» (10/3/00) «OPEC Has World Over a Barrel Again» (9/8/00) «Climate Change Has World Skating on Thin Ice» (8/29/00) «The Rise and Fall of the
Global Climate Coalition» (7/25/00) «HIV Epidemic Undermining sub-Saharan Africa» (7/18/00) «Population Growth and Hydrological Poverty» (6/21/00) «U.S. Farmers Double Cropping Corn And Wind Energy» (6/7/00) «World Kicking the Cigarette Habit» (5/10/00) «Falling Water Tables in China» (5/2/00) Top of page
The consistent covariance of TLC reflection with surface
temperature on timescales from seasonal to interannual and
under global warming in climate simulations indicates that
temperature is a key factor controlling TLC cover, and that similar processes likely govern the TLC response to
warming across the timescales.
That is, as also seen in previous studies (Qu et al. 2014; Zhou et al. 2015), how TLC reflection covaries with
temperature in simulations of the present climate is a strong indicator of a model's TLC feedback
under global warming.
A number of studies have highlighted relationships between low - cloud amount changes
under global warming and modeled variations of low clouds with changes in specific meteorological conditions (such as surface
temperature, inversion strength, subsidence)(Qu et.
Adding heat to the ocean, in contrast, slows down the overturning circulation because ocean currents depend on
temperature gradients — moving from
warmer locations to cooler locations — that weaken
under global warming as cooler waters heat up.
Over that time, the globally averaged
temperature difference between the depth of an ice age and a
warm interglacial period was 4 to 6 °C — comparable to that predicted for the coming century due to anthropogenic
global warming under the fossil - fuel - intensive, business - as - usual scenario.
Somewhat related, Snyder estimates the
global average
temperature during the previous interglacial (Eemian) to be
warmer than now, whereas e.g. Hansen et al (2016,
under review) argue that they are similarly
warm.
The Arctic is
under - represented in surface
temperature datasets and this could affect estimates of
global warming.
34
Temperatures Rising due to
Global Warming Effects Glaciers melting Greenland — If all of the ice melts, oceans will rise 23 feet Antarctic — major reduction in ice coverage Permafrost in Tundra is releasing CO2 that is stored
under the ice
Under Watson's tenure, the IPCC last year produced its third comprehensive assessment of the state of climate science, concluding that» [t] here is new and stronger evidence that most of the
warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities,» and predicting that average
global temperatures will rise between 3 and 10 degrees Fahrenheit by the endof the century — conclusions reaffirmed last spring at White House request by the National Academy of Sciences.
Current results continue to be fairly consistent with my personal theory, that man - made CO2 may add 0.5 - 1C to
global temperatures over the next century (below alarmist estimates), but that this
warming may be swamped at times by natural climactic fluctuations that alarmists tend to
under - estimate.
If we exceed the world carbon budget of one trillion tons burned (RCP 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5), the models project the planet will keep
warming and it will be virtually impossible to bring
global average
temperature back
under the two degrees Celsius threshold.
Last year was the hottest since records began and with an El Nino now
under way the
warm surface waters of the Pacific are releasing heat into the atmosphere with the result 2015 is likely to break last year's record and the
global average surface
temperature could jump by as much as 0.1 degree this year alone bring
global surface
temperatures increases to 1 degrees or half way to the UN
global limit.
If heat flow into the deeper ocean (
under 300m) is driven independently of
Global Average Surface temperature or the «greenhouse» effect, then we have no reason to suppose that the latter produces any «global warming» a
Global Average Surface
temperature or the «greenhouse» effect, then we have no reason to suppose that the latter produces any «
global warming» a
global warming» at all.
All the result says is that of about 11,000 papers that mentioned
global warming, a little
under 4,000 mention that anthropogenic CO2 contributes to
temperature, but only 143 specify how much.
The institute has produced one of the four most important records of
global temperature trends and,
under Hansen's successor as director, the TED - talking, Twitter - savvy climatologist Gavin A. Schmidt, has continued to refine climate simulations and communicate warnings about unabated
warming.
«
Under these simplifying assumptions the amplification [f] of the
global warming from a feedback parameter [b](in W m — 2 °C — 1) with no other feedbacks operating is 1 / (1 --[bκ — 1]-RRB-, where -LSB--- κ — 1] is the «uniform
temperature» radiative cooling response (of value approximately — 3.2 W m — 2 °C — 1; Bony et al., 2006).
For DJF (figure 4a), the spatial extent of the maximum and minimum areas projected to experience the highest climate changes
under a
global warming of 4 °C is very different, highlighting the uncertainty that mostly originates from the different
temperature changes projected by the models.
Here we use a set of integrative approaches that combine metatranscriptomes, biochemical data, cellular physiology and emergent phytoplankton growth strategies in a
global ecosystems model, to show that
temperature significantly affects eukaryotic phytoplankton metabolism with consequences for biogeochemical cycling
under global warming.
In order to separate the simulations into those that
warm faster and those that
warm slower
under a given forcing, we used an increase in
global mean
temperature of 4 °C relative to preindustrial as an indicator.
Prior to the 2010s, it seems that it was expected the polar vortex would strengthen
under global warming, factoring GHGs,
temperature, ozone and sea ice.
«Our results imply that because dust plays a role in modulating tropical North Atlantic
temperature, projections of these
temperatures under various
global warming scenarios by general circulation models should account for long - term changes in dust loadings.