Averaging the daily high
temperatures over any period results in a mean maximum temperature for that period.
Not exact matches
«Looking at weather and dengue incidents
over longer
periods, we found a similar strong link between how increased rainfall and warmer
temperatures resulting from the reoccurring el Niño phenomenon are associated with elevated risks of dengue epidemics.
«If water
temperatures increase as a
result of climate change, this could have far - reaching consequences not only for the individual species, but also for the balance of the ecosystem, which has developed
over a long
period of time,» says Luckenbach.
Results from a multiregression analysis of the global and sea surface
temperature anomalies for the
period 1950 — 2011 are presented where among the independent variables multidecade oscillation signals
over various oceanic areas are included.
My understanding is that an Anomaly is the average
temperature variation
over a
period relative to a baseline, if the
temperature is greater it
results in a positive anomaly, if it is equal to the baseline then there is zero anomaly and if it is less than the base line it is a negative anomaly.
The
resulting relationship is consistent and indicates that on - site
temperature provides a good estimate of ablation
over a multi-week
period regardless of location at a Snotel site or on a glacier.
Most global warming skeptics believe that humans have some measurable impact on global
temperatures and the climate, but that natural climate forces,
over longer
periods, will overwhelm the human influence... in addition, skeptics believe that the human influence will not
result in the hysterical catastrophic climate disasters presented by doomsday pundits...
If one's hypothesis is correct about man - made global warming, then X amount of CO2
over time
period Y should
result in
temperature Z.
This
result is based on short term observations of
temperature changes while CO2 concentrations were approximately constant, so they only hold true
over periods when CO2 does not change much.
Over this
period the mean CR intensity appears to have fallen by less than 0.6 % using the data of Bazilevskaya et al. (2008)... the increase in
temperature predicted [as a
result] is 0.002 C, a value that is quite negligible to the Global Warming in this
period...
The short - term change in surface
temperature over the 2000 - 2010
period is a
result of ocean heat being exchanged with the atmosphere (via ENSO).
The point they make may be summarized by the following quote: «While in the observations such breaks in
temperature trend are clearly superimposed upon a century time - scale warming presumably due to anthropogenic forcing, those breaks
result in significant departures from that warming
over time
periods spanning multiple decades.»
I attempted to create a simple model for calculation purposes on the skepticalscience site and even with overly conservative numbers (that favored AGW) i couldn't account for the 0.73 C increase in
temperatures over the 36 year
period by the reduction in OLR even using the authors» modeled
results (which was between 1 - 2K reduction in OLR Brightness
Temperature).
As a
result, only 1 out of 7 Global or Land / Ocean (ie, global less polar regions)
temperature indices shows a negative trend
over that
period (HadCRUT4 -0.002 + / - 0.059 C / decade).
You may wonder why the government finds the need to pursue such action since 1) U.S. carbon dioxide emissions have already topped out and have generally been on the decline for the past 7 - 8 years or so (from technological advances in natural gas extraction and a slow economy more so than from already - enacted government regulations and subsidies); 2) greenhouse gases from the rest of the world (primarily driven by China) have been sky - rocketing
over the same
period, which lessens any impacts that our emissions reduction have); and 3) even in their totality, U.S. carbon dioxide emissions have a negligible influence on local / regional / global climate change (even a immediate and permanent cessation of all our carbon dioxide emissions would likely
result in a mitigation of global
temperature rise of less than one - quarter of a degree C by the end of the century).
In Jones et al 1990 it is reported that data for the US showed an urban influence of 0.15 C
over the
period 1901 - 1984 and that «The
results for the United States clearly represent an upper limit to the urban influence on hemispheric
temperature trends.»
The
results are qualitatively consistent with trends in NCEP atmospheric
temperatures (which must also be treated with great caution) that show an increase in the stability of the convective boundary layer as the global
temperature has risen
over the
period.
The updated data shows a statistically significant global warming trend
over the 1998 - 2012
period and the authors note that their
results «do not support the notion of a «slowdown» in the increase of global surface
temperature.»
To summarize, there is a severe annual cycle in the UAH LT data set that
results in a noticeable divergence in both the global and tropical monthly
temperature trends
over the 1979 - 2008
period.
These range from simple averaging of regional data and scaling of the
resulting series so that its mean and standard deviation match those of the observed record
over some
period of overlap (Jones et al., 1998; Crowley and Lowery, 2000), to complex climate field reconstruction, where large - scale modes of spatial climate variability are linked to patterns of variability in the proxy network via a multivariate transfer function that explicitly provides estimates of the spatio - temporal changes in past
temperatures, and from which large - scale average
temperature changes are derived by averaging the climate estimates across the required region (Mann et al., 1998; Rutherford et al., 2003, 2005).
I find Shindell's
results difficult to reconcile with the observed evolution of hemispherical and tropical
temperatures relative to GMST
over the historical
period.
«Or expressing that in weather terms, you can't predict the exact route a storm will take but the average
temperature and precipitation will
result the same for the region
over a
period of time.»