Dessler (2011) used observational data (such as surface
temperature measurements and ARGO ocean
temperature) to estimate and corroborate these values, and found that the heating of the climate system through ocean heat transport was 20 times larger than TOA energy flux changes due to cloud cover
over the
period in question.
It's not very good for saying «
in 2050, the
temperature will be X», but it is useful for determining what range the average
temperature is likely to be within
over, say, a 30 - year
period centered on the date
in question (with much uncertainty) given certain starting conditions and certain inputs and changes
in forcing
over time, and.
In recent decades, much research on these topics has raised the questions of «tipping points» and «system flips,» where feedbacks in the system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization of global climate over very short periods of time — a truncation or reorganization of the thermohaline circulation or of food web structures, for instance, caused by the loss of sea ice or warming ocean temperature
In recent decades, much research on these topics has raised the
questions of «tipping points» and «system flips,» where feedbacks
in the system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization of global climate over very short periods of time — a truncation or reorganization of the thermohaline circulation or of food web structures, for instance, caused by the loss of sea ice or warming ocean temperature
in the system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization of global climate
over very short
periods of time — a truncation or reorganization of the thermohaline circulation or of food web structures, for instance, caused by the loss of sea ice or warming ocean
temperatures.