Sentences with phrase «term gdp growth»

Reduced payments in a simplified system could even boost long - term GDP growth.

We foresee average long - term GDP growth of 8 % per annum over the next 15 years and expect market capitalisation to grow to 110 % of an expanding GDP: Joris Dierckx

«We found that the agnostic model predicts roughly $ 1.30 in near - term GDP growth for each $ 1 in spending,» Traum says.

Together, we'll discuss what investors should expect from China in terms of long - term GDP growth, fixed asset investment, exports and the housing market.

Not exact matches

In other words, would pushing the short - term interest rate down to 0 percent, from the current rate of 0.16 percent, propel the GDP growth and inflation to such permanently higher levels?

Should world GDP grow anywhere close to the IMF's medium term forecast in the high 3 percent range, oil demand growth will rise by closer to 2 million b / d than 1 million b / d by our reckoning.

He adds that even if technology is having a long - term negative impact on GDP growth, the change from quarter to quarter or even year to year is probably negligible.

Newly imposed tariffs or a downright elimination of NAFTA could curtail Canadian GDP growth in terms of exports and delay the BoC's rate hike process.

One, you've got lower nominal GDP growth, and long - term rates correlate with nominal GDP.

By secular reflation, we mean at least a decade in which short - and long - term interest rates stay habitually below nominal GDP growth and high grade bonds are not really bonds any more: delivering trend returns that are close to zero or even negative.

Still others see economic performance, in macro terms like GDP growth, and conclude that there is no problem at all.

I have ignored reasons that might justify lower discount rates or higher GDP adjustments for China mainly because the purpose of this essay is to explain why the U.S. multiple is so much higher than China's, and of course these reasons exist, but I think whatever the correct ratio should be, there is no question that advanced economies always justify higher multiples than developing economies because they tend to be economically more diversified and politically more stable, and they usually have institutions, including clearer legal and regulatory frameworks, more sophisticated capital allocation processes, less rigid financial systems, and smaller state sectors (which make smooth adjustment, one of the most valuable and undervalued components of long - term growth, more likely).

[2] Each quarter in the Statement on Monetary Policy, we publish forecasts for Australia's major trading partners» GDP growth, as well as Australia's terms of trade, GDP growth, unemployment rate and inflation over the next two - and - a-half years.

The growth in asset purchases, whether measured in absolute terms or relative to GDP, is truly enormous, and is no doubt responsible for much of the shock and awe that UMP has attracted.

I am simply working out logically what any GDP growth rate must imply in terms of consumption and investment growth rates in order for China to rebalance.

Comparing our opportunity to Japan's, isn't our sovereign credit risk much higher than Japan's in terms of per capita GDP growth, structural balance - of - payments deficit, history of default and history of inflation?

In terms of debt management, the committee was satisfied that the increased spending is being reasonably matched with economic growth, such that the important debt - to - GDP ratio remains stable through the projected years.

The job market is particularly solid, and real US GDP growth continues to wiggle about its long - term 2 % trend.

While there are some signs of recognition such as the Fed's reduction in its estimated neutral rate from 4.5 percent to 3.0 percent during the last 2 years, the IMF's explicit use of the term secular stagnation in its World Economic Outlook, ECB president Mario Draghi's call for global coordination and greater use of fiscal policy, and Japan's indicated interest in fiscal - monetary cooperation, policymakers still have not made sufficiently radical adjustments in their world view to reflect this new reality of a world where generating adequate nominal GDP growth is likely to be the primary macroeconomic policy challenge for the next decade.

We need a growth strategy that will sustain GDP growth in the short term and strengthen potential GDP growth in the medium term.

Granted, if even a 0.7 % boost to annual GDP growth was sustained, it would have a major impact on long - term living standards over a 20 - 30 year period.

More importantly, the government would still have a low and stable debt to GDP ratio and be in an excellent position to implement a longer - term sustainable economic growth strategy.

It can be maddening to read an article that quotes Chinese GDP numbers as if they were a real measure of long term economic growth.

As I have argued before, except under implausible scenarios (at least 2 - 4 % of GDP transferred every year from the state to households) I can not work out arithmetically any meaningful rebalancing process that is consistent with average GDP growth much above 3 - 4 % during President Xi's 2013 - 23 term in office.

I hoped that this wouldn't happen, because the longer reported GDP growth remained high, the worse for China's economy over the medium to long term, but in the end the pace of adjustment was always going to be driven by political variables, not economic variables, and this made it very hard to project with much confidence.

This model generates the price of gold as a function of the global investment yield required to produce a constant real after - tax return equal to long - term real growth in global GDP per capita.

The ultimate result is that it dramatically affects the ability to do long term transformation, dramatically effects GDP growth and economic competitiveness for society.»

But the IMF forecasts better growth in 2016, and even its forecast for global GDP growth of over 3 % this year is still not far off long - term trends, with annual real GDP growth hovering around 3.5 % throughout the mid-1980s and again in the mid-1990s, according to the IMF Data Mapper.

The tsunami disaster is unlikely to have a major impact on aggregate GDP in the Asian region but will reduce growth in the short term in Indonesia and Thailand, as well as in some smaller economies on the Indian Ocean rim.

Real GDP grew by 0.1 per cent in the September quarter, having contracted by 0.1 per cent in the June quarter, though in year - ended terms growth was a healthier 2.5 per cent (Graph 5).

One of the investment criteria I like to use is to find those metals / minerals that demonstrate near and long term growth potential at growth rates above global GDP.

«One of the reasons why economic growth has been weaker in this expansion than others is a lack of government spending now I think that in the short - term negative in the long run I think a move in resources from the government sector to the private sector is positive but it takes a while for that to manifest itself in stronger overall GDP growth».

 Mr. Poloz himself bent over backwards in his last Monetary Policy Report to not use that term — even though the Bank's own numbers (projecting negative GDP growth for both the first and second quarters of 2015) suggested a recession was indeed already underway. Instead, public officials are normally sanguine and rose - coloured in their public pronouncements, hoping to incrementally shift consumer confidence with their cheeriness, and thus spark more spending. [A ridiculous extreme of this approach was provided when George Bush blithely encouraged Americans to go shopping in the days after the 9 - 11 terrorist attacks.]

Our model indicates that going forward, long - term yields will likely be subject to three upward pressures: (1) Our forecasted increase in inflation will boost nominal GDP growth; (2) As forward guidance is replaced by a data - dependent monetary tightening, volatility in short rates will increase; and (3) As the impact of QE on the Treasury market fades, long - term yields will trend back to their historical link with nominal GDP growth.

Remember that in terms of «debt productivity» each additional dollar of debt has less and less impact on GDP growth as a larger percentage of the new debt has to be used to service the existing debt.

Yet, at a macro level, our economists view this as a medium - term positive, with 0.2 - 0.3 percentage point of upside risk to their 2018 GDP forecast of 1.1 % growth.

GDP growth was 0.2 per cent in the December quarter and 1.6 per cent in year - ended terms (Table 2).

While growth in import volumes continued to outpace that of exports in the December quarter, the effect on the trade balance was again cushioned by a rise in the terms of trade, leaving the trade deficit broadly unchanged at 3.2 per cent of GDP (Graph 36).

In addition, a growing number of commentators, including senior representatives of some institutional investors, have expressed concern about the impact of hedge fund activism, and associated increased debt and cuts in capital spending, on long - term corporate health, innovation, job creation and GDP growth.»

I should note that in each of these models, we're assuming a long - term growth rate for cyclically - adjusted earnings, revenues, dividends, nominal GDP and so forth of about 6.3 % annually.

Oil - rich Kuwait, with an estimated 89 years of petroleum reserves, could lag behind its GCC neighbors in terms of real GDP growth this year.

Initially, the bank's program for alleviating global poverty was dominated by a strategy of economic growth, measured primarily in terms of GDP and channeled largely through big projects aimed at infrastructure development that benefited the rich more than the poor.

China also has the goal of being a great power, and it has not abandoned the goal of growth in conventional GDP terms.

Without getting into a great deal of song and dance about a side topic, I'll just say that I believe our GDP growth would explode as companies rushed to establish operational headquarters in the US, and the changes in the individual income tax codes would have a chilling effect on both the Wall Street money churners (people would be rewarded for going long with their investments instead of shuffling money around to chase pennies) and the out - of - control executive compensation at the expense of the long - term health of the company.

Despite delivering forty four consecutive quarters of nominal GDP growth, Labour's embrace of 1980s neo-liberalism guaranteed neither economic stability nor the sound productive base necessary to sustain long - term social investment.

Over the past decade, many African countries have posted high growth rates, improved governance and business environments, and boast a growing middle class: the decade between 1999 and 2008 has been Africa's best in terms of expansion of GDP since the 1960s.

A second question is what's the best way for countries to work down their debt - to - GDP ratios, and the argument is that focusing too much on cutting the numerator is self - defeating and countries should instead prioritize growing the denominator, i.e. implementing long - term structural reforms to spur growth, thereby growing their way out of their debts.

The government failed to meet previous real growth targets but is not shameful and hence confidently projects a GDP growth of 5.4 percent for 2016 and 8.2 percent in the medium term.

These spending plans imply that spending will fall as a percentage of GDP over the next three years, with a real terms growth rate for public spending of 2.1 %, well below the 2.75 % trend growth rate of the economy.

While the first part of the 2003 - 2013 decade was truly exceptional for Latin America in economic terms — GDP growth reached a rate of 5.4 percent a year between 2003 and 2007 — 2015 has been a year of weakening performance, said Ocampo, chair of the United Nations Economic and Social Council's Committee for Development Policy.