Sentences with phrase «term average climate»

Not exact matches

Yet volatility is still below its long - term average, and the low - volatility climate of the past few years is incompatible with a world marked by slow growth, unstable inflation expectations and a likely Federal Reserve rate hike before year's end.

Again, shifts in the Market Climate are not forecasts about future returns, except in the broadest terms of average return to market risk.

He has not really addressed the fact that the notion of climate, as distinct from the notion of weather, is not concerned with particular features of a single trajectory or history, but with the fact that there are some general features about certain kinds of time and system averages over many trajectories - and that these average features tend to show certain kinds of regularity or slow secular variation that are not apparent in a single trajectory (the term secular here has a technical meaning, not the common one of «not religious»).

WHEREAS, in furtherance of the united effort to address the effects of climate change, in 2015 the 21st Session of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCC met in Paris, France and entered into a historic agreement in which 195 nations, including the United States, were signatories and agreed to determine their own target contribution to mitigate climate change by holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, among other terms (the «Paris Agreement»);

So if you think of going in [a] warming direction of 2 degrees C compared to a cooling direction of 5 degrees C, one can say that we might be changing the Earth, you know, like 40 percent of the kind of change that went on between the Ice Age; and now are going back in time and so a 2 - degree change, which is about 4 degrees F on a global average, is going to be very significant in terms of change in the distribution of vegetation, change in the kind of climate zones in certain areas, wind patterns can change, so where rainfall happens is going to shift.

The charity's income is down on average 14 %, and it has had to cut back on long - term projects owing to the uncertain climate.

«These profound and clearly projected changes make physical and statistical sense, but they are invisible when looking at long - term trends in average climate projections,» Gershunov said.

Traditionally, scientists have been studying recovery in terms of decades — but climate projections suggest that, on average, severe coral bleaching will become a yearly occurrence by mid-century under «business as usual» and for some reefs this will be far sooner.

However, shifts in the average climate of the tropical oceans could change the relative amounts of expansion in these two adjoining oceans, and ultimately modulate the long - term change in the IPWP impact on regional rainfall amounts.

The idea that climate behaves like a dynamical system addresses some of the key shortcomings of the conventional view of climate change — the view that looks at the planet as a whole, in terms of averages.

Then argue for immediate overwhelming action since when of course the higher temperatures will naturally happen that will then naturally average out the entire relevant temperature record to the long - term middle - range amounts predicted by the consensus of the world's best climate science, well, it'll be pretty bad.

The metric they have developed, the Vegetation Sensitivity Index (VSI), allows a more quantifiable response to climate change challenges and how sensitive different ecosystems are to short - term climate anomalies; e.g. a warmer June than on average, a cold December, a cloudy September, etc..

When considering long term climate trends, you need to filter out short term weather anomalies like El Nino or volcanic eruptions - an easy way is to plot a 5 year average.

In a long - term trend that demonstrates the effects of a warming climate, daily record - high temperatures have recently been outpacing daily record lows by an average of 2 - to - 1, and this imbalance is expected to grow as the climate continues to warm.

In a long - term trend that demonstrates the effects of a warming climate, daily record - high temperatures have recently been outpacing daily record - lows by an average of 2 - to - 1, and this imbalance is expected to grow as the climate continues to warm.

The city also scores above average in terms of its kid population, access to healthcare, employment, climate and culture.

Using long - term data from the U.S Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) and preliminary data from the Climate Division Database, the U.S. nationally averaged temperature during October was 56.9 °F (13.8 °C) which was 2.1 °F (1.2 °C) above the 1901 - 2000 long - term mean, tied for 9th warmest on record.

Now, clouds do not make heat exchange imponderable, especially in long term trends of climate analysis, the averages due to what we already know about dynamic equilibrium outcomes and what we observe in the feedbacks going back even greater then 30 years.

Better still, get rid of the (weather and El Nino influenced) short - term five year averaging and show long term climate changes by putting ten and twenty year moving averages on the data.

Your contention on noise doesn't make sense, it is only by averaging over short - term variations that the long - term trend (climate) emerges.

But let's accept this longer averaging period as a legitimate choice, since the forecast applies to the medium - term climate evolution and not short - term fluctuations, so that the latter can be filtered out by smoothing.

The addition says many climate models typically look at short term, rapid factors when calculating the Earth's climate sensitivity, which is defined as the average global temperature increase brought about by a doubling of CO2 in the atmosphere.

Many paleoclimate archives document climate changes that happened at rates considerably exceeding the average rate of change for longer - term averaging periods prior and after this change... A variety of mechanisms have been suggested to explain the emergence of such abrupt climate changes (see Section 12.5.5).

We can not afford to delay further action to tackle climate change if the long - term target of limiting the global average temperature increase to 2 °C, as analysed in the 450 Scenario, is to be achieved at reasonable cost.

In terms of how we are altering the climate, it is these sudden transitions that we need to understand, rather than focus so much of our resources on assessments of the global averaged temperature trend.

«We show that the climate over the 21st century can and likely will produce periods of a decade or two where the globally averaged surface air temperature shows no trend or even slight cooling in the presence of longer - term warming,» the paper says, adding that, «It is easy to «cherry pick» a period to reinforce a point of view.»

Averaging smoothes out day - to - day and year - to - year natural weather variability and extremes, removing much of the chaotic behavior, revealing any underlying long term trends in climate, such as a long term increase or decrease in temperature, or long term shifts in precipitation patterns.

For example, we could describe climate change primarily in terms of the physical processes: carbon emissions, the radiative balance of the atmosphere, average temperatures, and impacts on human life and ecosystems.

- What makes this period of time statistically significant in terms of climate (which is simply average of weather over time)?

Climate is an average of weather over «long» term.

In the case of climate models, this is complicated by the fact that the time scales involved need to be long enough to average out the short - term noise, i.e. the chaotic sequences of «weather» events.

The efficacy of a forcing is the climate sensitivity (in terms of global average surface temperature change per unit global average RF) of that forcing relative to a standard type of forcing.

(PS we are considering the climate sensitivity to be in terms of changes in global - time average surface temperature per unit global - time average radiative forcing, though one could also define other sensitivities for other measures of climate).

These small alterations are taken into account in climate models, with the average of all models (i.e. an ensemble forecast, a term you should know well as a former meteorologist), scientists (like those at the IPCC) can arrive at a sensible estimate of what we are likely to experience in the future.

[Response: Climate is the statistics of weather (the average, if you want to think of it in simple terms).

The definition of climate is long - term weather patterns or long - term weather AVERAGES.

The scientific community has also known for some time that the predicted future global warming in most climate models (more than 2 degrees C.) would probably be well above the long - term average temperature present at any time during the Holocene.

Taking account of their historic responsibility, as well as the need to secure climate justice for the world's poorest and most vulnerable communities, developed countries must commit to legally binding and ambitious emission reduction targets consistent with limiting global average surface warming to well below 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels and long - term stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations at well below below 350 p.p.m., and that to achieve this the agreement at COP15 U.N.F.C.C.C. should include a goal of peaking global emissions by 2015 with a sharp decline thereafter towards a global reduction of 85 percent by 2050,

It's important to note that a substantial short - term influence on the globe's average temperature, the cycle of El Niño warmth and La Niña cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean, was in the warm phase until May but a La Niña cooling is forecast later this year, according to the Climate Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

The dominant driving force of «climate change» as the term is being used in public policy is «global warming», an average increase in global temperature.

Here we show that, worldwide, the number of local record - breaking monthly temperature extremes is now on average five times larger than expected in a climate with no long - term warming.

Could they produce sets of weather - maps that if somehow integrated over 30 years could produce a «supermap» showing actual climate change in terms of e.g average windspeeds, rainfall, cloud - cover, pressure and so on?

Unfortunately, the figure also confirms that the spatial resolution of theoutput from the GCMs used in the Mediterranean study is too coarse for constructing detailed regional scenarios.To develop more detailed regional scenarios, modelers can combine the GCM results with output from statistical models.3 This is done by constructing a statistical model to explain the observed temperature or precipitation at a meteorological station in terms of a range of regionally - averaged climate variables.

«So at a time when the climate system is losing heat, reported temps aare shown to increase, raising the long term temp averages.»

So at a time when the climate system is losing heat, reported temps are shown to increase, raising the long term temp averages.

Then in 1987, Congress, recognizing that «man - made pollution — the release of carbon dioxide, chlorofluorocarbons, methane and other trace gases into the atmosphere — may be producing a long - term and substantial increase in the average temperature on Earth,» passed the Global Climate Protection Act.

Although short term trends can be misleading, like the 22 year run up from 1976 to 1998, the dramatic drop of global average temperature in 2008 may be indicative of a change in character of the climate.

Global average surface air temperature is one of the most well - recognized metrics of contemporary climate change — hence the term «global warming».

Large and Yeager (2012) examined global ocean average net heat flux variability using the CORE data set over 1984 — 2006 and concluded that natural variability, rather than long - term climate change, dominates heat flux changes over this relatively short, recent period.

In a long - term trend that demonstrates the effects of a warming climate, daily record - high temperatures have recently been outpacing daily record lows by an average of 2 - to - 1, and this imbalance is expected to grow as the climate continues to warm.