Sentences with phrase «term averaged estimates»

There are many diagrams and theories that try to balance the inputs and outputs but they are all setting out long term averaged estimates that do not accommodate the changes that occur over time.

I guess you could use some kind of long - term average estimate of the diurnal temperature range and its shape (as you did) and work out the uncertainty based on the likely range of deviations from that mean shape and magnitude.

Not exact matches

«Latest estimates show that average weekly earnings for employees in Great Britain in real terms (that is, adjusted for price inflation) fell by 0.7 % including bonuses, and fell by 0.5 % excluding bonuses, compared with a year earlier,» the ONS said.

«Our illustrative estimate of the long term impact of reduced net migration from the EU27 on UK GDP per capita after Brexit is negative, but relatively small compared to many other uncertainties about average UK income levels in 2030,» said Hawksworth.

Table 3 shows the changes in the average private sector economic forecasts for nominal GDP (the most applicable tax base for budgetary revenues), and for short - and long - term interest rates, from the first estimate of the deficit to the final outcome.

All told, global gross domestic product (GDP) is on track to increase an estimated 3.8 % next year, the strongest showing since 2011, and a few ticks higher than the long - term average of 3.5 %.

In VFC's case, that basic estimate is based on reference point price - to - earnings ratio (P / E) of 15, which is the long - term average P / E of the stock market as a whole.

Looking forward, there appears to be little prospect of near - term growth in cereals exports, given the estimated 19 per cent fall in the 2004/05 winter crop to around average levels.

As of last week, when 267 constituents of the S&P 500 had reported earnings, 79.4 percent had beaten analyst estimates — far beyond the 64 - percent long - term average and the 75 - percent...

In terms of own price elasticity values, a recent meta - analysis estimated an average own price effect for carbonated sugar sweetened drinks (a near equivalent of the category non-concentrated sugar sweetened drinks, which predominantly includes carbonated drinks) of − 0.93, larger than our value of − 0.81.51 Our estimated value is also at the lower end of the range of own price elasticities frequently cited for sugar sweetened drinks of − 0.8 to − 1.0, based on one large review.52 Our own price estimate is comparable to experimental data (a 25 % reduction for a 35 % price rise) in a canteen study.53 However, all these estimates may be influenced by US studies in which higher estimates may reflect higher levels of consumption.

Averages also estimate that baby is about 4.5 inches long, which is about the size of an avocado or in more fun terms, a Magic 8 ball.

Last year ConservativeHome estimated that the cost of becoming a Conservative MP was an average # 41,500 in terms of expenses and lost income opportunities.

By simulating changes in tax rates (including for ordinary income and long - term capital gains and dividend income), exemptions and deductions, changes in after - tax income and average changes in the state - level, Gini coefficient for all 50 U.S. states were estimated.

While a GCM portrayal of temperature would not be accurate to a given day, these models give fairly good estimates for long - term average temperatures, such as 30 - year periods, which closely match observed data.

For instance, the median finding across 10 studies of teacher effectiveness estimates that a teacher who is one standard deviation above the average in terms of quality produces additional learning gains for students of 0.12 standard deviations in reading and 0.14 standard deviations in math.

This estimate is conservative in terms of considering today's labor market, as average unemployment duration today is much higher than its historical average.

Over the five years our average expense hasn't come close to my estimate but I may need to look at this closer in terms of future expectations.

However, the estimates are clearly better than those offered by long - term averages, and many of the other poorly founded analyses found elsewhere (especially TTM).

Looking forward, the average long - term growth estimate is 17.9 %, but the range of estimates varies from a low of 5.0 % to high of 45.6 %.

Since 30 - year mortgages currently average around 4 %, it's likely that you'll find 15 - year terms getting estimates of 3.2 % or 3.3 % based on the same loan amounts and borrower details.

The average long - term care costs in one's geographical region provide a reasonable estimate for determining appropriate levels of coverage.

Keep in mind that we think this estimate is very (almost unjustifiably) conservative given that on average Visteon's peers tend to be considerably more levered, and typically possess both lower EBITDA margins as well as less attractive long - term growth prospects.

There's no perfect way to estimate what term life insurance will cost you, though looking at averages can help.

Nevertheless, this post is not focused on the absolute valuation and we'll discuss more in another post where you will require to understand a lot of complex terms like future free cash flow projections, discount rate (weighted average cost of capital - WACC) etc to find the estimated present value.

Said differently, traditional wealth advice is rooted in the assumption that the best estimate of future returns is the average long - term return to stocks.

presents the estimates of two probit regressions: in the first column, the macro-dependent variable is the OECD Composite Leading Indicator; in the second column, the market - dependent variable is a dummy variable that takes the value of 1 if the next 12 months» real - dividend - per - share growth is above its long - term average, and zero otherwise.

• 484,594 serviced apartments in 6,426 locations across The Americas and Canada, together with 70,300 corporate housing units • US accounts for 25 per cent of the $ 100 billion global vacation rental sector, which is expected to be worth $ 170 billion by 2019 • Region accounts for region accounts for 58.61 per cent of the global serviced apartment inventory • US corporate housing Average Daily Rate was $ 150 in 2016 • 800 extended stay hotels in Hilton portfolio, with more than 500 in the pipeline, representing 15 per cent of the Hilton portfolio • 1 serviced apartment, branded residence, aparthotel, corporate accommodation and short - term rental conference and exhibition for the Americas • US corporate housing inventory is estimated at 66,863 units • Around 7,700 serviced apartments in 95 locations across LATAM region • US corporate housing revenues increased 10.2 %, to $ 3.2 billion in 2016 • Canadian corporate housing revenue is an estimated $ 278 million.

The actual prevailing view of the paleoclimate research community that emerged during the early 1990s, when long - term proxy data became more widely available and it was possible to synthesize them into estimates of large - scale temperature changes in past centuries, was that the average temperature over the Northern Hemisphere varied by significantly less than 1 degree C in previous centuries (i.e., the variations in past centuries were small compared to the observed 20th century warming).

These small alterations are taken into account in climate models, with the average of all models (i.e. an ensemble forecast, a term you should know well as a former meteorologist), scientists (like those at the IPCC) can arrive at a sensible estimate of what we are likely to experience in the future.

In terms of the global average, temperatures were probably colder than present day (depending on estimates of latitude dependence and seasonality in response patterns).

For this reason, a number of researchers have suggested that it should be possible to estimate the long term Sea Surface Temperature trends for a given area by averaging together all the available measurements from different voyages that went through that area in a given month.

«The global mean temperature for 2015 is expected to be between 0.52 C and 0.76 C above the long - term (1961 - 1990) average of 14.0 C, with a central estimate of 0.64 C.»

The global average temperature for 2017 is expected to be between 0.63 °C and 0.87 °C above the long - term (1961 - 1990) average of 14.0 °C, with a central estimate of 0.75 °C....

The global mean temperature for 2015 is expected to be between 0.52 °C and 0.76 °C * above the long - term (1961 - 1990) average of 14.0 °C, with a central estimate of 0.64 °C, according to the Met Office annual global temperature forecast.

The warmest year ever recorded was 2010, with a temperature estimated at 0.54 °C above the 14.0 °C long term average of the 1961 - 1990 base period, followed closely by 2005.

«Since 1990, surface ocean pH has directly been measured or calculated at several locations, with the average recent decrease estimated as 0.0019 pH units per year at the Hawaii Ocean Time - series (HOT; close to the site of long - term atmospheric CO2 measurements at Mauna Loa)[12]; 0.0017 per year based on transects in the North Pacific [13]; 0.0012 per year at the Bermuda Atlantic Time - Series (BATS)[14] and 0.0017 per year at the European Station for Time - Series in the Ocean at the Canary Islands (ESTOC)[15].

The algorithms used to estimate missing temperatures, create yearly averages, combine multiple records, etc., may have unintended consequences in terms of magnifying a trend, but I doubt that they create a trend or reverse a trend.

's 5 W / m2 is even close to accurate, in looking at some calculations I've seen, which show that the difference between the peak solar cycle and the minimum is about.322 W / m2 across the entire planet in terms of irradiance, and this translates into about.2 C in global temp difference on average, then my rough estimate of.1 C in TSI effect in 1998's El Nino versus 2009 - 2010 is an undershoot, but either way it looks like the TSI effect in 1998 is far more than the.01 C that some have suggested would be the level to be even significant.

In the three years since the 2005 modelling study, the average water supply level was less than half the long - term average and well below the estimated outcome for the «severe» scenario considered in the study.

However, the variances of the terms being averaged arenot the same because of the adjustment step and this means that any confidence intervals for the estimate may vary from year to year depending on the ages of the trees contributing to the that year's average.

A comparable example is the difference between being able to predict the exact value of the GDP on a given day (something determined largely by unpredictable day - to - day news) and projecting the average increase in the GDP over three decades (plausible estimates of which can be made using scenarios of long - term economic growth and ongoing innovation).

Tom Segalstad has compiled several independent estimates of the short - term residence time of CO2 in the atmosphere, arriving at an average lifetime of around 5 to 7 years.

In terms of the average surface temperature of Earth, these indirect estimates show that 1983 to 2012 was probably the warmest 30 - year period in more than 800 years.

Estimated long - term variations in average global temperature of the atmosphere near the earth's surface are graphed along with average troposphere CO2 levels over the past 160,000 years.

Only 50 % Reduction in Upstream Emissions Possible According to the report Carbon Capture and Storage in the Alberta Tar Sands, CCS «has limited potential to reduce upstream emissions to levels comparable with the average for conventional oil,» with «even the most optimistic estimates from industry experts» showing reductions in the 10 - 30 % range in the medium term and up to 50 % in the long term.

«A correct estimate of that cost... for the average household just in 2015 is about $ 80 per family, or $ 65 if more appropriately stated in present value terms discounted at an annual 4 % rate,» he said.

So how do we average the Earth's temperature such that the application of a single temperature term (or a small number of distinct temperature elements if we partition the system into latitudes and sea vs terrestrial) works correctly to estimate the aggregate emission?

What if you could review a dictionary of legal terms, research statutes of limitations, look up information about visa types, investigate crime rates and history for specific crimes, as well as state and national average comparisons, get closing cost estimates, and information on square footage, home sales price, and utility prices from one iPhone app?

There's no perfect way to estimate what term life insurance will cost you, though looking at averages can help.

Univariate multilevel SDE models, estimated in a Bayesian framework, were fit to 21 days of ecological momentary assessments of affect valence and arousal (average 6.93 / day, SD = 1.89) obtained from 150 adults (age 18 — 89 years)-- specifically capturing temporal dynamics of individuals» core affect in terms of attractor point, reactivity to biopsychosocial (BPS) inputs, and attractor strength.