While there may be long
term changes in rainfall, blaming it on global warming is premature, especially since long term drought happened in the west well before the industrial age.
Pilot study focusing on a region vulnerable to climate change Although the study highlights that long
term changes in rainfall intensity are not always» man - made,» it does not necessarily mean that today's weather anomalies across the Indian Ocean rim countries and, in particular, their frequency, are not subject to human influence.
Not exact matches
So if you think of going
in [a] warming direction of 2 degrees C compared to a cooling direction of 5 degrees C, one can say that we might be
changing the Earth, you know, like 40 percent of the kind of
change that went on between the Ice Age; and now are going back
in time and so a 2 - degree
change, which is about 4 degrees F on a global average, is going to be very significant
in terms of
change in the distribution of vegetation,
change in the kind of climate zones
in certain areas, wind patterns can
change, so where
rainfall happens is going to shift.
One of the most striking signals of
change emerged over Australia, where a long -
term decline
in fall and winter
rainfall has been observed over parts of southern Australia.
However, shifts
in the average climate of the tropical oceans could
change the relative amounts of expansion
in these two adjoining oceans, and ultimately modulate the long -
term change in the IPWP impact on regional
rainfall amounts.
Scientists at the University of Sydney have analysed up to 22 years of long -
term monitoring data on plants and animals
in central Australia to project how
changing rainfall and wildfire patterns, because of climate
change, will influence desert wildlife.
For significant periods of time, the reconstructed large - scale
changes in the North Pacific SLP field described here and by construction the long -
term decline
in Hawaiian winter
rainfall are broadly consistent with long -
term changes in tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) based on ENSO reconstructions documented
in several other studies, particularly over the last two centuries.
In the long term, changes in sea level were of minor importance to rainfall patterns in north western Sumatra With the end of the last Ice Age came rising temperatures and melting polar ice sheets, which were accompanied by an increase in rainfall around Indonesia and many other regions of the world
In the long
term,
changes in sea level were of minor importance to rainfall patterns in north western Sumatra With the end of the last Ice Age came rising temperatures and melting polar ice sheets, which were accompanied by an increase in rainfall around Indonesia and many other regions of the world
in sea level were of minor importance to
rainfall patterns
in north western Sumatra With the end of the last Ice Age came rising temperatures and melting polar ice sheets, which were accompanied by an increase in rainfall around Indonesia and many other regions of the world
in north western Sumatra With the end of the last Ice Age came rising temperatures and melting polar ice sheets, which were accompanied by an increase
in rainfall around Indonesia and many other regions of the world
in rainfall around Indonesia and many other regions of the world..
The climate
change effect is probably only a 5 to 10 % effect
in terms of the instability and subsequent
rainfall, but it translates into up to a 33 % effect
in terms of damage.
Of course, as they point out «because
rainfall is such a variable element, trend values are highly dependent on the start and end dates of the analysis» and the fact they are simply using linear interpolation it is very difficult to derive anything meaningful
in terms of climate
change from just one map.
Given a reduction of 10 years
in rainfall what is the posterior probability of it being a short -
term departure, long -
term but temporary departure and / or
change.
Could they produce sets of weather - maps that if somehow integrated over 30 years could produce a «supermap» showing actual climate
change in terms of e.g average windspeeds,
rainfall, cloud - cover, pressure and so on?
Once this La Nina faded, sea levels rebounded sharply, and that rise might have been incorrectly interpreted as some rapid acceleration
in the long -
term sea level rise, when
in fact, mass was shifting back from land to ocean as
rainfall patterns
changed once more, but also much of the excess water on the land was draining back to the oceans.
Jeff Knight said: «Our analysis shows that climate
change likely did make a contribution to the record
rainfall in 2013 - 14 through a long -
term increase
in UK winter
rainfall that is not associated with
changing weather patterns.
While the correlation displays decadal - scale variability similar to
changes in the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO), the LDSSS record suggests
rainfall in the modern instrumental era (1910 — 2009 ad) is below the long -
term average.»
For example, responses to recent historical climate variability and
change in four locations
in southern Africa demonstrated that people were highly aware of
changes in the climate, including longer dry seasons and more uncertain
rainfall, and were adjusting to
change through collective and individual actions that included both short -
term coping through switching crops and long -
term adaptations such as planting trees, and commercialising and diversifying livelihoods (Thomas and Twyman, 2005; Thomas et al., 2005).
Overall, our results suggest that
changes in the SAM may be partly responsible for the current decline
in winter
rainfall in southern South Australia, Victoria, and Tasmania, but not the long -
term decline
in southwest Western Australian winter
rainfall».
The expected response to a step increase
in CO2 is to move from the relatively stable Holocene climate through a period of rapid (
in geological
terms)
change to a new, relatively stable climate with a higher overall temperature and somewhat different circulation and
rainfall patterns.
Even without the new factor of a
changing climate, it is time to acknowledge that California is
in permanent long -
term shortage: even
in a «normal»
rainfall year more water is now demanded and used than nature provides, leading to growing political conflict, unsustainable groundwater overdraft, and ecological destruction of the state's rivers, streams, and wetlands.
This comes
in terms of the lack of water from glacial melt, or
changes in disease vectors, or
rainfall patterns, or the lodge pole pine being killed off by beetles
in million - acre swaths.
Some analyses of long -
term historical weather data for the region show a drying trend, and others no
change in rainfall at all (Hulme et al. 2001; Christensen et al. 2007; Funk et al. 2008; Williams and Funk 2011).