Sentences with phrase «term cyclical»

CREA is forecasting a record - setting year for residential real estate in Canada, but a new report from Scotia Economics says short - term cyclical factors are...

We try to avoid being distracted by short - term cyclical changes in the market and understand the underlying asset, the specific short - term challenges and the long - term potential.

For short - term cyclical changes, see the essay on Changing Sun, Changing Climate.

Short - term cyclical factors (ENSO, solar variability, etc.), noisy annual variation, and unpredictable factors like the precise amount of sulfates we're going to emit or whether we're going to have any large volcanic eruptions make predictions over very short time periods (like a decade) next to worthless.

You wrote, «The fact is that there appears to be an ocean driven cycle from MWP to LIA to the Modern Warm Period and we need to bridge the gap from your ENSO work to that longer term cyclical phenomenon.»

The fact is that there appears to be an ocean driven cycle from MWP to LIA to the Modern Warm Period and we need to bridge the gap from your ENSO work to that longer term cyclical phenomenon.

When observable phenomena seem to contradict a hypothesis, we must leave room for the possibility that a phenomenon such as «warming», may be a long - term cyclical effect.

So there are data out there suggesting that the current warming / melting cycle since 1979 is not unprecedented, but just part of a longer - term cyclical trend.

As Earth descends into an 80 - year, sun - spotless Dalton or Maunder Minimum reinforced by a confluence of deep - ocean magmatism with long - term cyclical reversals, climate - change alarmists will have much to answer for.

If that is the case, then how do you make that determination — as it would require that you distinguish that warming from the long - term cyclical patterns you describe?

However, there were shorter term cyclical bull and bear markets that could be traded.

During secular bear markets, there are shorter - term cyclical bull (upside) moves, but the general trend is sideways and down.

Once the land becomes inadequate for crop production, it is left to be reclaimed by natural vegetation, or sometimes converted to a different long term cyclical farming practice.

Are we in a short - term cyclical bull market, one that is already long in the tooth and coming to an end?

Ideally, policies at this time should address both the short - term cyclical problem of excess capacity and enhance the longer - term growth potential of the economy.

However, recessions are short - term cyclical issues and the U.S. economy will grow again.

I would like to say a little more about it today and will divide the subject into two aspects: the shorter - term cyclical fluctuations in household credit growth, and the fact that various debt ratios have trended upwards over time.

Not exact matches

The apartment sector may be going through its own cyclical high, but developers are banking on a long - term growth story.

Many experts caution investors against playing the sector short - term, as those often unpredictable cyclical highs and lows can increase volatility in a portfolio.

The cyclical tide is turning once again, so trade in the 1.06 - 1.07 region looks very cheap against a long - term average of 1.22.

Cyclical unemployment left untreated, as Yellen and Bernanke very well know, can turn into so - called structural unemployment, as the long - term jobless see their skills deteriorate and become obsolete or lose touch with the professional networks of colleagues that could help them re-enter the labour market.

In other words, abstracting from cyclical downturns, the structural deficit, although initially small, should increase steadily over the longer term.

The Small Business Administration's CAPLines Program allows small businesses to acquire lines of credit, fixed or revolving, for meeting cyclical and short - term working capital needs.

For investors, if the anticipated pickup in growth materializes as expected, this would be a good time to consider taking positions in cyclical stocks with the potential to produce healthy long - term total returns.

We define the reflation trade as favoring assets likely to benefit from rising growth and inflation, such as cyclical equities and emerging markets (EM), while limiting exposure to long - term government bonds.

Long - term issues remain, and the country's reforms have slowed due to cyclical pressures.

But with long - term bonds and non-cyclical equity sectors trading at historically extreme valuations while cyclical sectors trade at valuations below their long - term average, we think that risk aversion is creating numerous investment opportunities for investors willing to build a portfolio of more economically sensitive companies.

The long - term investment horizons of these investors allowed them to ride out the cyclical and seasonal fluctuations that have made agriculture such a volatile and risky proposition.

Such decisions may include under - investing in attractive cyclical or long - term opportunities, ignoring needed write - downs, or even manipulating the books.

Higher oil prices would reinforce current market trends based on reflation: rising long - term bond yields and a shift out of perceived safer assets — bond proxies and low - volatility stocks — and into cyclical assets such as EM.

There are specialized 7 (a) program options for exporting companies, those in underserved communities, those with military ties (such as a veteran business owner or businesses owned by the spouse of an active service member), and those with cyclical or seasonal businesses that need help with short - term financial needs.

It is the central premise behind inflation targeting, and central bankers — essentially without exception — assert that they have the capacity to affect or even determine inflation in the long term, but that they do not have the capacity to affect the average level of output, much less its growth rate over time, even though they may have the capacity to affect the amplitude of cyclical fluctuations.

In fact, Mr. Ritholtz is one of several commentators who believe this rally has merely been a temporary cyclical swing in the midst of a longer - term bear market — one that began roughly a decade ago and is far from over.

While the US economy already stands poised for a cyclical recovery in investment, a successful corporate tax reform would go a long way in promoting the incentives for real investment over the long term.

What drives the major cyclical swings in stocks isn't variation in the long - term stream of cash flows investors are likely to receive.

While evidence points to the success of factor - based investing over the long - term, we do caution that there is cyclical behavior associated with smart beta.

With any industrial name that you plan to hold long term you have to expect both boom and bust cycles as that's the nature of cyclical stocks.

We happily trade «near term visibility» for a deeply discounted entry price if we believe it reflects all (or better yet more than all) of a sector's cyclical woes.

While the current cyclical upswing will help to alleviate deflationary pressures in the short term, there remain ongoing structural concerns for the Japanese economy.

If we believe that most markets are cyclical, and if we are planning to invest for the long - term, then at the end, everything should even out in a time period of 20 years or so.

First, the «returns on equities» here are typically taken to be earnings yields, which as we've frequently noted, are affected by cyclical variations in profit margins that make them notoriously poor indicators of long - term prospective returns (see Two Point Three Sigmas Above the Norm and Margins, Multiples and the Iron Law of Valuation).

Suppose we measure valuation by comparing price P to some measure of earnings E that isn't distorted by cyclical economic fluctuations, and can be used as a reliable, representative, «sufficient statistic» for long - term cash flows.

Mr Ferrier advised investors to be explicit about whether they were taking a short - term trading view on a stock because they were anticipating a cyclical upswing in earnings or whether they were making a long - term commitment.

For moms trying to breastfeeding in a cyclical pattern or routine (see my page on routine) that means that your ability to breastfeed long - term may be influenced by how carefully you maintain a flexible routine.

Already three years into an economic recovery, Osborne's priority will now be to fend off the cyclical downturn which traditionally hits the UK after five — the experience of every postwar two - term prime minister except Tony Blair.

In the long - term, switching from a diet high in processed foods and carbs to a cyclical keto diet, or a lower carb diet rich in complex carbs and healthy fats, can help you feel satiated and balance your blood sugar.

In its short time, it does manage to cover the bases in terms of going out of cell - phone range and the suggestion of a cyclical ending, but it fails mostly in terms of generating much in the way of horror or comedy.

Strong retail demand would support a long - term recovery for auto sales, whereas recent higher commercial and government purchases are more cyclical trends.

Such markets aren't steady declines; rather, it's an ongoing decline that's punctuated by furious short - term market rallies — called «cyclical bulls» — that fizzle out.

It also stated that it would stay away from cyclical stocks or mid cap stocks to reduce the risk of the portfolio and increase chances of positive returns over the long term.