World - system theory also emphasizes the long - term forces that affect religion but stresses short -
term economic cycles and different structural positions as well.
Not exact matches
Low volatility shows that investors believe that long -
term global
economic trends of modest growth and tepid inflation will also define shorter -
term cycles.
Lastly, Bladex's focus on Latin America augurs well for its long -
term prospects, and a likely return to growth in the near future, especially when paired with an emphasis on credit quality that should pay off with reduced downside risk and fewer losses, especially during
economic down
cycles.
But the multiplier varies over the
economic cycle — higher during recessions or when short -
term rates are near zero, and lower when an economy runs near fully capacity.
Estimates of prospective long -
term returns for the S&P 500 reflect our standard valuation methodology, focusing on the relationship between current market prices and earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, adjusted for variability over the
economic cycle (see for example Investment, Speculation, Valuation, and Tinker Bell, The Likely Range of Market Returns in the Coming Decade and Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earnings).
As the review of liquidity
cycles suggests, wider «markets» in expected
economic outcomes (which would mean greater short -
term volatility) could promote long -
term financial stability.
It's worth noting we are getting into the later stages of this particular
economic cycle in the United States, but we don't necessarily see any end to the growth in the near
term.
With or without a central bank, fractional reserve banking will tend to bring about a boom / bust
cycle and thus reduce the long -
term rate of
economic progress.
However, this is usually a longer -
term warning and, given that we are experiencing a particularly extended
economic cycle, would not make a compelling case for rushing to the sidelines of financial markets today, in our view.
This led PIMCO to tweak its secular outlook on the economy earlier this month to represent the sentiment that the Fed would keep its peak funds rate low during this
economic cycle — what it
termed the «new neutral.»
Or as Seth Klarman, in one of my favorite investing quotes, said: «To achieve long -
term success over many financial market and
economic cycles, observing a few rules is not enough.
Estimates of prospective long -
term returns for the S&P 500 reflect our standard valuation methodology, focusing on the relationship between current market prices and earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, adjusted for variability over the
economic cycle.
Our investment approach seeks to deliver superior long -
term risk - adjusted returns through differing
economic and market
cycles, while always retaining a sharp focus on the preservation of our clients» capital.
Death rates among middle aged and older people are higher when the economy is growing than when it's heading for recession, reveals a long
term analysis of the
economic cycles of developed countries, published online in the Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health.
This book is especially useful for people who are interested in predicting
economic cycles (e.g. medium - long
term stock market investors / traders such as myself).
This may not be the best course of action at certain times of the
economic cycle when intermediate -
term bonds and medium - risk investments tend to outperform.
But the multiplier varies over the
economic cycle — higher during recessions or when short -
term rates are near zero, and lower when an economy runs near fully capacity.
Although stocks can return well over the long run, in short or immediate
term, they may well be outperformed by bonds, especially at certain times in the
economic cycle.
Unlike traditional financial advisors and other robo - advisors, the internal algorithms build and manage global, customized portfolios of highly diversified, low - cost ETFs across asset - classes, while putting an emphasis on risk management by incorporating deep analysis of
economic cycles in order to navigate its ups and downs and maximize long -
term returns.
25 % in long -
term U.S. Treasury bonds, which do well during prosperity and during deflation (but which do poorly during other
economic cycles).
Learn how to identify key
economic conditions and market
cycles so you are prepared to stay in long
term regardless of changing market conditions.
«Long -
term» means over a full market
cycle spanning 5 - 10 years that includes a recession, a recovery and a peak in both general
economic and market conditions.
Relative yields — which may be discussed in
terms of «spread» or difference in yield between a given bond and a «riskless» U.S. Treasury security with comparable maturity — vary with the type of bond, maturity date, the issuer and the
economic cycle.
Still, I think there's long
term strength in the sector as well as a lot of insulation and protection against
economic downturns, which is usually what killed the domestic automakers in past
economic cycles.
Because we want to invest in these companies for the long -
term, three
economic cycles, we want to make sure that our companies have long
term, proven track record with time tested business model.
Take a time to review your holdings, and ensure that they can go through any
economic cycles and continue make revenue for long -
term.
And I still prefer European equities: In my opinion, lower corporate margins, cheaper valuations, Europe's position (vs. the US) in the
economic cycle, and the ECB's huge & still untapped firepower (vs. that of the Fed), all present a superior risk - reward proposition — in
terms of market upside, and in
terms of potential restructuring and M&A.
Part of our research is to identify those great long
term stocks that have paid a dividend and survived through many
economic cycles.
For the
economic model, you need to understand the three main forces that drive most
economic activity: 1) trend line productivity growth, 2) the long -
term debt
cycle and 3) the 5 - 8 business
cycle that is driven by the credit
cycle.
Our investment approach seeks to deliver superior long -
term risk - adjusted returns through differing
economic and market
cycles, while always retaining a sharp focus on the preservation of our clients» capital.
Capital gains for bond funds are shown to be zero under the assumption that over the long -
term, the impact of interest rate charges and
economic cycles will net out capital gains and losses to zero.
In Britain, in the short to medium
term, that would mean building modern «dual
cycle» gas power stations, which produce very clean energy and, unlike inefficient wind turbines, do not require subsidies to be
economic.
They focus on companies with the potential to create sustainable, long -
term value through changing
economic cycles and work closely with management to achieve that.
The
economic challenges faced by these families threaten the long -
term success of their children and contribute to an intergenerational
cycle of poverty.
Several reports have highlighted the inadequacies of the UK's care system and the high costs associated with implementing new services6 as well as the increasing costs that are associated with
cycling placements or returns to care.7 Additionally, existing analyses have emphasised the challenges in conducting
economic evaluations of interventions aimed at improving outcomes for maltreated children, which include the need for a long -
term perspective, accounting for the context - specific nature of interventions, 8 and overcoming obstacles of cross-comparison due to variations in methods, samples etc..9
You are at the mercy of the
economic cycles, interest rates, getting finance, raising deposits, however there are many ways to overcome that and the medium to long -
term benefits outweigh the short -
term ones.
Any investor looking for long -
term real estate investments should consider how the asset will perform during each stage of the
economic cycle to mitigate risk.
I'm a big fan and definitely keeping my eyes on that area however we're talking 15 - 20 year build out and there will probably be at least one downturn in the
economic cycle before it's finished - that's when I'll be looking to pull the trigger on a long
term hold over there.
The long -
term leases it signs with landlords can last 10 — 15 years and require WeWork to pay hundreds of millions of dollars in future rent, even during
economic downturns and down
cycles in the real estate market when the company may struggle to fill its buildings.