Sentences with phrase «term economic forecasting»

Short - term economic forecasting is difficult enough but uncertainty about economic prospects usually increases, not decreases, over the medium term.

In addition, only a few forecasts provide projections of medium term economic forecasts, resulting a break and potential bias between the short and medium - term projections.

They maintain one of the country's most comprehensive econometric models of the Canadian economy capable of providing medium - term economic forecasts.

Of the fifteen private sector forecast institutions consulted by the Minister of Finance, only three prepare medium - term economic forecasts.

He is responsible for managing a team of economists in producing the Conference Board's national and provincial medium and long - term economic forecasts along with other economic indicators and reports.

What we aim to do is create a low - cost, balanced and globally diversified portfolio and then gradually shift asset mix and geographic weightings based on our longer - term economic forecasts and changes in broad fundamentals such as corporate profitability.

Economists are peripherally involved (mostly in broad market theory and long term economic forecasts along with interpretation of what any given government report means to the economy at large).

Not exact matches

Looser fiscal policy in the near - term while demand is weak with the major cuts pushed to the back of the forecast when economic growth is likely to improve.»

Based on Gordon's interpretation of the Kondratieff theory, the current global forecast calls for a long, cold economic winter with a 100 % probability of short - term total chaos.

The short - term prospects for the deficit also look good; probably better than you forecast last October in your Economic and Fiscal Update.

Table 3 shows the changes in the average private sector economic forecasts for nominal GDP (the most applicable tax base for budgetary revenues), and for short - and long - term interest rates, from the first estimate of the deficit to the final outcome.

They include upwards revisions in economic forecasts, expectation of monetary tightening, rising real and nominal long - term interest rates, fiscal stimulus on a huge scale in a full employment economy, rising protectionism that should choke off import flows, and tax reform directed at reducing capital outflows and increasing capital inflows.

These include publishing: • Historical estimates and medium - term projections of the economy's potential GDP, as well as the methodology and assumptions used; • Medium - term projections of the Government's structural, or cyclically - adjusted budget balance as well as the methodology and assumptions used; • The assumptions, projections and methods to translate the private sector economic forecasts into its fiscal forecasts; and • The fiscal sustainability analyses of the provincial - territorial government sector that it prepared.

Our long - term forecasts are based on our assessment of current valuation measures, economic growth and inflation prospects, as well as historical risk premiums.

It has the most comprehensive econometric model to forecast economic developments, over both the short and long term, among any of the private sector economists surveyed.

Furthermore... It Is Their Only Legitimate Medium Term Option... As Global Sovereign Debt Stacks Have Already Grown Above The Levels That Can Be Sustained By Even The Most Optimistic Economic Growth Forecasts.

Shorter - term yields in Canada are also forecast to increase in 2014 as a strengthening in economic growth, tightening labour market conditions and accelerating wage growth fuel a steady, albeit slow, increase in inflation.

So ironically, the attempt to expand lending and support the markets with easy monetary policy and cheerful economic forecasts is the last thing that will produce long - term economic stability.

Nonetheless, forecasting a significant rise in long - term interest rates has become a controversial call — mainly because it hasn't happened, despite years of economic recovery.

Officials repeatedly downgraded forecasts for economic growth last year to 1.4 %, a far cry from the average annual pace of about 7 % during the early 2000s and well below the medium - term target of 5 % set by President Vladimir Putin.

So it's crucial to be able to forecast credit growth if you want to be able to understand what's going to happen in terms of economic growth.

The fall Update would continue to present five - year economic and fiscal forecasts in order to provide a longer - term perspective of the challenges facing the government.

Powell has in the past expressed a view that Fed communication «should do more to emphasize the uncertainty that surrounds all economic forecasts, should downplay short - term tactical questions such as the timing of the next rate increase, and should focus the public's attention instead on the considerations that go into making policy across the range of plausible paths for the economy.»

This page provides the latest reported value for - Canada Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short - term forecast and long - term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

«For the avoidance of doubt, I think it is important to point out that every forecast published by the OBR since the June 2010 Budget has incorporated the widely held assumption that tax increases and spending cuts reduce economic growth in the short term,» the OBR chairman wrote in his tersely - worded letter.

The Lazard Equity Franchise Portfolio by Lazard Asset Management (LAM) seeks long - term returns by investing in companies that are considered to have an «economic franchise» — meaning they share a history of stable financial returns, strong earnings forecasts and sustainable competitive advantages.

This is for no better reason than people making market timing forecasts about where that currency may be headed short - term, based on random daily news and economic statistics.

Kudos to Vanguard for sticking to the core asset classes in these funds, for using traditional cap - weighted indexes, and for setting a long - term asset mix that won't change based on economic forecasts.

Additionally, DEC has no plan for the enormous quantity of wastewater and no plan to forecast health impacts or cumulative impacts of this massive industrialization on the long term economic prosperity of the region.

HEM is based on well - established economic theory as well as historical data, and contains a variety of modules that interact with each other for long - term forecasting.

Carbon Tracker conducted a wholesale review of energy scenario assumptions in Lost in Transition and found that the low - carbon transition could be faster - than - expected due to economic shifts in key growth regions such as China and India, and even lower overall energy demand due to lower economic growth, as per the OECD's latest long - term forecast.

You, I am assuming, correctly pointed out that the products of the short term climate forecasts are not of good enough quality to make them useful for economic interests.

The current forecast is markedly lower than the forecast in the 2007 Integrated Energy Policy Report, primarily because of lower expected economic growth in both the near and long term as well as increased expectations of savings from energy efficiency.

The recent bleak economic forecasts are clearly not depressing firms too much with expansion into new offices and locations a principal priority in the long - term for some 15 % of respondents.

«grew too fast and could not merge processes from the acquired entities quickly enough to meet our economic forecasts, which resulted in short - term cash crunches and our ability to attract new capital... (Butler & Hosch) can not continue to function -LSB-.]»

Looking back at long term general economic forecasts and long forecasts for the demand for doctors, nurses and teachers shows that these sorts of forecasts are rarely right.

Our term life insurance calculator includes economic forecasting which models income growth and growth of money you put in savings.

Evaluating revenue & expense trends while considering economic conditions to develop long term forecast & plan.