The way i use this is to work out whether i believe the news currently moving the market is a headline that will have a short
term effect on the market.
Not exact matches
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses
on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the
effect on aircraft demand and build rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the
effect of global economic conditions
on the business aircraft
market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the
effect of economic conditions in the industries and
markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact
on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact
on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns
on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes
on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco
on favorable
terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the
effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the
effect of changes in tax law, such as the
effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted
on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and estimate the
effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence
on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments
on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest
on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
Abramowicz foresees another sort of ripple
effect in the event of a
market correction: As homeowners with those short -
term private subprime mortgages struggle to figure out how to refinance in a much more constrained
market, they may opt to default and cut back
on consumer spending.
Such risks, uncertainties and other factors include, without limitation: (1) the
effect of economic conditions in the industries and
markets in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including financial
market conditions, fluctuations in commodity prices, interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates, levels of end
market demand in construction and in both the commercial and defense segments of the aerospace industry, levels of air travel, financial condition of commercial airlines, the impact of weather conditions and natural disasters and the financial condition of our customers and suppliers; (2) challenges in the development, production, delivery, support, performance and realization of the anticipated benefits of advanced technologies and new products and services; (3) the scope, nature, impact or timing of acquisition and divestiture or restructuring activity, including the pending acquisition of Rockwell Collins, including among other things integration of acquired businesses into United Technologies» existing businesses and realization of synergies and opportunities for growth and innovation; (4) future timing and levels of indebtedness, including indebtedness expected to be incurred by United Technologies in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition, and capital spending and research and development spending, including in connection with the pending Rockwell Collins acquisition; (5) future availability of credit and factors that may affect such availability, including credit
market conditions and our capital structure; (6) the timing and scope of future repurchases of United Technologies» common stock, which may be suspended at any time due to various factors, including
market conditions and the level of other investing activities and uses of cash, including in connection with the proposed acquisition of Rockwell; (7) delays and disruption in delivery of materials and services from suppliers; (8) company and customer - directed cost reduction efforts and restructuring costs and savings and other consequences thereof; (9) new business and investment opportunities; (10) our ability to realize the intended benefits of organizational changes; (11) the anticipated benefits of diversification and balance of operations across product lines, regions and industries; (12) the outcome of legal proceedings, investigations and other contingencies; (13) pension plan assumptions and future contributions; (14) the impact of the negotiation of collective bargaining agreements and labor disputes; (15) the
effect of changes in political conditions in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate, including the
effect of changes in U.S. trade policies or the U.K.'s pending withdrawal from the EU,
on general
market conditions, global trade policies and currency exchange rates in the near
term and beyond; (16) the
effect of changes in tax (including U.S. tax reform enacted
on December 22, 2017, which is commonly referred to as the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017), environmental, regulatory (including among other things import / export) and other laws and regulations in the U.S. and other countries in which United Technologies and Rockwell Collins operate; (17) the ability of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins to receive the required regulatory approvals (and the risk that such approvals may result in the imposition of conditions that could adversely affect the combined company or the expected benefits of the merger) and to satisfy the other conditions to the closing of the pending acquisition
on a timely basis or at all; (18) the occurrence of events that may give rise to a right of one or both of United Technologies or Rockwell Collins to terminate the merger agreement, including in circumstances that might require Rockwell Collins to pay a termination fee of $ 695 million to United Technologies or $ 50 million of expense reimbursement; (19) negative
effects of the announcement or the completion of the merger
on the
market price of United Technologies» and / or Rockwell Collins» common stock and / or
on their respective financial performance; (20) risks related to Rockwell Collins and United Technologies being restricted in their operation of their businesses while the merger agreement is in
effect; (21) risks relating to the value of the United Technologies» shares to be issued in connection with the pending Rockwell acquisition, significant merger costs and / or unknown liabilities; (22) risks associated with third party contracts containing consent and / or other provisions that may be triggered by the Rockwell merger agreement; (23) risks associated with merger - related litigation or appraisal proceedings; and (24) the ability of United Technologies and Rockwell Collins, or the combined company, to retain and hire key personnel.
Conservative politicians and hawkish economists have at times criticized the Fed's «full employment» mandate in large part because the main monetary policy tool, the short -
term interest rate, has only an indirect
effect on the labor
market.
These risks and uncertainties include competition and other economic conditions including fragmentation of the media landscape and competition from other media alternatives; changes in advertising demand, circulation levels and audience shares; the Company's ability to develop and grow its online businesses; the Company's reliance
on revenue from printing and distributing third - party publications; changes in newsprint prices; macroeconomic trends and conditions; the Company's ability to adapt to technological changes; the Company's ability to realize benefits or synergies from acquisitions or divestitures or to operate its businesses effectively following acquisitions or divestitures; the Company's success in implementing expense mitigation efforts; the Company's reliance
on third - party vendors for various services; adverse results from litigation, governmental investigations or tax - related proceedings or audits; the Company's ability to attract and retain employees; the Company's ability to satisfy pension and other postretirement employee benefit obligations; changes in accounting standards; the
effect of labor strikes, lockouts and labor negotiations; regulatory and judicial rulings; the Company's indebtedness and ability to comply with debt covenants applicable to its debt facilities; the Company's ability to satisfy future capital and liquidity requirements; the Company's ability to access the credit and capital
markets at the times and in the amounts needed and
on acceptable
terms; and other events beyond the Company's control that may result in unexpected adverse operating results.
For example, the expected timing and likelihood of completion of the proposed merger, including the timing, receipt and
terms and conditions of any required governmental and regulatory approvals of the proposed merger that could reduce anticipated benefits or cause the parties to abandon the transaction, the ability to successfully integrate the businesses, the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of the merger agreement, the possibility that Kraft shareholders may not approve the merger agreement, the risk that the parties may not be able to satisfy the conditions to the proposed transaction in a timely manner or at all, risks related to disruption of management time from ongoing business operations due to the proposed transaction, the risk that any announcements relating to the proposed transaction could have adverse
effects on the
market price of Kraft's common stock, and the risk that the proposed transaction and its announcement could have an adverse
effect on the ability of Kraft and Heinz to retain customers and retain and hire key personnel and maintain relationships with their suppliers and customers and
on their operating results and businesses generally, problems may arise in successfully integrating the businesses of the companies, which may result in the combined company not operating as effectively and efficiently as expected, the combined company may be unable to achieve cost - cutting synergies or it may take longer than expected to achieve those synergies, and other factors.
This two -
term presidential cycle can often have a measurable
effect on markets, as I wrote about in - depth in «Managing Expectations.»
This theoretical and empirical examination gave the Federal Reserve confidence that it could effectively raise rates when the time came while limiting undesirable
effects on financial market structure, and also ensured that additional term tool options were available if the combination of the overnight tools — IOR and ON RRP — was not sufficient to provide interest rate control.
on financial
market structure, and also ensured that additional
term tool options were available if the combination of the overnight tools — IOR and
ON RRP — was not sufficient to provide interest rate control.
ON RRP — was not sufficient to provide interest rate control.21
As a general rule, however, «politics have very little
effect on the stock
market other than short -
term knee - jerk reactions,» said Karyn Cavanaugh, Voya Investment Management senior vice president.
Meanwhile, extreme valuations imply the likelihood of steep
market losses over the complete cycle, and also for poor S&P 500 total returns
on a 10 - 12 year horizon, but valuations often have little
effect on near -
term market behavior.
I have some thoughts about the medium -
term market effects and potential moves by... Continue reading Private Blog: China's Serious Tariffs
on Serious Earth
He didn't know what the
effect on capital
markets might be, but took a moment to praise his people in characteristically Trump - like
terms.
These elements are turning China into a more sophisticated, more domestically focused economy and will have a far bigger
effect on China's prospects — and indeed
on world prospects — than the short -
term gyrations of the much - manipulated Chinese stock
market.
The rise in short -
term market interest rates ahead of the move in monetary policy had very limited
effect on the interest rates that intermediaries charge for variable - rate loans, notwithstanding the fact that the marginal cost of banks» funding of such loans is related to bill yields.
Our view is that elections tend to have a brief positive impact
on the
market, although their long
term effect tends to be fairly small.
While long -
term and full - cycle
market outcomes are tightly determined by
market valuations, the
effect of valuations
on outcomes over shorter segments of the
market cycle depends
on the psychological preference of investors toward speculation or risk aversion.
Nevertheless, with bodies including the International Monetary Fund warning that the negative
effects of the UK's decision to leave the European Union (EU) were starting to weigh
on the economy's long -
term growth prospects, reaction among
market participants to the BoE's signaling of further interest - rate rises was somewhat skeptical.
Two weeks into his
term and the president has been focused primarily
on immigration and trade, causing a reevaluation among analysts at some banks that harks back to pre-election concerns about Trump's uncertain
effect on markets and U.S. economic growth.
In
terms of
effects on the financial
markets and the economy, up until recently the US monetary inflation slowdown was largely offset by continuing rapid monetary inflation elsewhere, most notably in Europe.
With the addition of more and more services, including research of public wants, needs, fears and hopes as well as follow - up studies of advertising
effects on sales, votes, or simple acceptance, the more general
term marketing has grown in use to signify all the varied parts of an orchestrated campaign to «move» any entity, from soap to Senators, into a
market.
The success of corporations is judged by the valuation of their shares
on this stock
market, and many decisions by corporations are geared to
effecting this valuation rather than to improving the long -
term health of the corporation.
Changes to competition laws (milk wars discussion and recommendations relating to MMP (introduce
effects test), predatory pricing (recommend Minister direct ACCC to investigate Coles for breach of s 46 relating to predatory pricing), unconscionable conduct (suggest it be defined), statutory duty of good faith, unfair contract
terms (seeks «recognition of the competitive disadvantage faced by farmers» and extension of unfair contract
terms protection to small business), collective bargaining (seeks relaxation of public interest test for boycott approvals in agriculture
markets, increase «ability for peak bodies to commence and progress collective bargaining and boycott applications»
on behalf of members - and further dairy specific recommendations, ACCC divestiture power (wants ACCC to have similar divestiture powers to Comp Commission in UK - «simpler process of divestiture», ACCC monitoring powers (wants Minister to direct ACCC to use price monitoring powers to «monitor prices, costs and profits relating to the supply of drinking milk») and mandatory code of conduct (wants mandatory code and «Ombudsman with teeth to ensure compliance»)-RRB-.
While these returns vary, the dividend is calculated based
on a five - year average in order to smooth out the short -
term effects of
market fluctuations.
In comparison to some of the newer psoriasis drugs
on the
market, Kavlick says, «these systemics have been around a lot longer, so we know a lot more about their long -
term effects and what to watch for.»
MARKET WIRE - Dec 1 - The 8th Annual Internet Dating Conference
on January 19 - 21, 2011 at the Miami Beach Convention Center will cover the potential long
term fiscal
effects of the free online dating business model in the industry.
Individual factors are described in
terms of its priority and
effect on the
market.
The standard neo-classical model of wage setting predicts short -
term effects of temporary labor
market shocks
on careers and low costs of recessions for both more and less advantaged workers.
The report describes the long -
term effects of career academies
on outcomes associated with the transition from adolescence to adulthood, particularly
on labor
market participation, educational attainment, and family formation, over the eight years following scheduled graduation from high school.
There are two relevant research questions: Do exit exams have beneficial
effects on students in
terms of achievement or labor -
market outcomes?
A survey of parents conducted by the Center for a New American Dream showed that 63 percent believed that their children define their self - worth in
terms of what they own; 78 percent thought that
marketing puts too much pressure
on children to buy things that are too expensive, unhealthy, or unnecessary; and 70 percent expressed the belief that commercialism has a negative
effect on children's values and worldviews.
A surprising number of people (even industry pros) seem gleefully ignorant of the fact that the self -
marketing expectation is a recent trend and that — whatever the short -
term efficiencies and margin bumps it might bring to individual publishers — its long -
term effect on the health of the industry as a whole has not yet been properly analyzed.
If enough consumers choose deep - discounting over time, always prioritizing price over the intangible benefits of other retailers and / or ignoring the
effect on the local economy, those behaviors could lead to a single deep discounter getting too much of the
market share, leading to monopsony or near - monopson, which has every likelihood of biting book publishers (indie or trad) in the rear due to that monopsony's ability to dictate
terms.
Authors Unlimited's 3 - hour event at New America warned that Amazon's
market position will cause «long -
term effects on the global book trade.»
The most critical factor in intraday trading is the short -
term trade and the immediate
effects that are brought about by the
market on the price movement of securities.
Periodically adjusting the yearly withdrawal rate based
on the short -
term performance of the
market and the
effects of inflation
on fixed expenses.
In
terms of the
effect on dividends, I do not believe that we are facing anything unusual in the overall
market.
Although you can't control
market behavior, you can help manage its long -
term effect on your portfolio through investment choices and by modifying portfolios so they have an age - appropriate mix.
If you buy gradually during the course of your investing career, in both good and bad years for the stock
market,
market declines will have little
effect on your long -
term profits.
Long -
term interest rates are largely a function of the
effect the bond
market believes current short -
term interest rates will have
on future levels of inflation.
A similar pace of increases between 2003 and 2006 most certainly did cool the economy, and the rise in short -
term rates (and the
effects of Fed policy
on funding costs in global
markets) may have precipitated the early days of the subprime ARM crisis, when rates were being adjusted sharply upward, causing payment shock for borrowers.
Standard and Poor's research article «The Low Volatility
Effect: A Comprehensive Look» references empirical evidence illustrating that low volatility investing outperforms the broad
market on a risk - adjusted basis over the long
term.
We remain bearish biased
on this
market and will continue watching for price action sell signals from resistance to rejoin the downtrend as we can see the longer -
term downtrend is still clearly in
effect and key support isn't seen until down near 1.2040 area.
In fact, a resurging property boom in Australia, particularly in Melbourne, is likely to have a greater
effect on Reading's near
term market value than Avatar, Alice, Shrek or anything else
on the silver screen.
The major banks recently raised some of their fixed - rate mortgage rates to reflect their costs of borrowing
on bond
markets, which have more
effect on longer -
term mortgage rates than does the Bank of Canada's overnight rate.
Second, because the plan is a long
term strategy and doesn't rely
on the
market itself when making decisions, you aren't timing the
market at all and the volatility of the
market will have much less
effect on your portfolio's overall gains.
Earn dividend rates that are based
on market conditions and remain in
effect throughout the
term of the certificate.
These bonds are bought by investors
on the open
market for less than their face value, and the company uses the cash it raises for whatever purpose it wants, before paying off the bondholders at
term's end (usually by paying each bond at face value using money from a new package of bonds, in
effect «rolling over» the debt to the next cycle, similar to you carrying a balance
on your credit card).
Interest rate risk is important because fixed income securities react to changes in interest rates both over the short and long -
term that will
effect their face value
on the open
market as yields rise and fall.
It helps to dampen
effects market corrections can have
on your portfolio in the short
term!