The mid-Pliocene (∼ 3 to 3.3 Ma ago), is a period of sustained global warmth in comparison to the late Quaternary (0 to ∼ 1 Ma ago), and has potential to inform predictions of long -
term future climate change.
«None of the above» might be the best description of near -
term future climate.
The method is not predictive in the deterministic sense, but rather attempts to characterize uncertainty in near -
term future climate, taking into account both forced trends and unforced, natural climate fluctuations.
From these data, we obtained four near - term and four long -
term future climate scenarios by adding the differential between future time periods and the baseline time period for each model and emission scenario to each current monthly baseline climate map.
Cochelin et al used a model of intermediate complexity to show that the orbital variations over the next 100,000 years are weak enough that even a little human CO2 remaining in the atmosphere is enough to keep the earth out of an ice age («Simulation of long -
term future climate changes with the green McGill paleoclimate model: The next glacial inception»).
Armed with these tools, Zeebe was able to make new predictions about long -
term future climate change.
Our record is also of interest to climate policy developments, because it opens the door to detailed comparisons between past atmospheric CO2 concentrations, global temperatures, and sea levels, which has enormous value to long -
term future climate projections.»
Not exact matches
Again, shifts in the Market
Climate are not forecasts about
future returns, except in the broadest
terms of average return to market risk.
Although global warming may now be a serious concern, it is likely that long -
term climate cycles will cause large ice sheets to return at some time in the distant
future, and cataclysmic outburst floods will probably recur in this region.»
Mayor Bloomberg created a taskforce to develop a long -
term plan for the city based on expected
future climate change, severe weather occurrences, and how to rebuild better.
At present, the long -
term recovery of the Ozone Layer from the effects of CFCs is still on track, but the presence of increasing dichloromethane will add some uncertainty to our
future predictions of ozone and
climate.»
When modelers want to predict the
future movement of a particular species, they first establish a set of conditions — in
terms of
climate, soil quality and other variables — under which that species is likely to thrive.
While many previous studies predicted a
future increase in humus levels as a result of
climate change, based on their current findings, the TUM scientists are critical of this assumption: If the input of organic matter stagnates, soil will lose some of its humus in the long
term.
About half of this near -
term warming represents a «commitment» to
future climate change arising from the inertia of the
climate system response to current atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.
Future field experiments that can manipulate all three conditions at once will lead to better models of how long -
term climate changes will affect ecosystems worldwide.
Short - and long -
term impacts The American economy is already beginning to feel the effects of
climate change, the report says, and «these impacts will likely grow materially over the next 5 to 25 years and affect the
future performance of today's business and investment decisions.»
At present, the long -
term recovery of the Ozone Layer from the effects of CFCs is still on track, but the presence of increasing dichloromethane will lead to uncertainty in our
future predictions of ozone and
climate.»
Funding mechanisms that rely on annual budget approval or short -
term grants may result in discontinuity of ocean -
climate measurements, reducing the value of the observations made to date and in the
future.
The State of the World Population 2009 report says that population levels will affect countries» abilities to adapt to the immediate effects of
climate change, although the longer -
term influence of population growth on
climate change will depend on
future economic, technological and consumption trends.
Scientists like Zeebe also study the PETM to better understand long -
term changes in Earth's
future climate.
The payoff will be a clearer sense of the
future: whether the methane rise is a long -
term trend, driven by
climate change, or a blip that could reverse next year.
The results are extremely important in
terms of discerning how changes in the North Atlantic Ocean may impact the
climate and the weather across the Northern Hemisphere in the
future.
Of course, our study looks back in time and the
future will be a very different place in
terms of ice sheets and CO2 but it remains to be seen whether or not Earth's
climate becomes more or less stable as we move forward from here.»
«Such long -
term insights are crucial in helping with current conservation efforts, laying a foundation for
future research on impacts of island formation,
climate change and human occupation on animals and their habitats.»
Even if
climate negotiations in Paris are successful, the planet is locked into long -
term warming and an uncertain
future.
The researchers suggest that modeling the effects of
future climate variations should focus on human response to transient short -
term changes in addition to the traditional focus on long -
term mean changes in
climate.
However, if changes in
climate and / or
future development result in higher demand and higher capacity withdrawals, we may begin to see long -
term declines, regardless of precipitation patterns.
If small domestic withdrawals continue to characterize use in the Madison Limestone aquifer, we can expect the Madison Limestone aquifer to follow short - and long -
term patterns in mountain precipitation that result from
future climate change.
-- 4) Improved fire models and projections directly related to Montana's forests; 5) Long -
term monitoring of forest insect and pathogen response to recent
climate changes and improved projections of likely
future impacts; 6) Better understanding of disturbance effects on microclimates and refugia and implications for forest productivity, mortality, and adaptation.
«The gap between the scale of global ambitions and the scale of national offerings has been clear to the research community for a long time, but the Kyoto Protocol's focus on near -
term emissions reductions... coupled with the scientific focus on long -
term stabilization of
climate at some unspecified point in the
future has long given negotiators an out: they have been able to compare near -
term actions without having to square them with long -
term goals, rather like guys in a pub arguing about whose round it is while never actually having to settle up the bill,» Frame said in an email.
New statistical innovations use cross-country variability in short -
term responses to different levels of exposure to estimate how vulnerability will evolve under
future socio - economic and
climate scenarios.
It faces the problems of the
future of the planet in
terms of
climate change.»
Mitigation — reducing emissions fast enough to achieve the temperature goal A transparency system and global stock - take — accounting for
climate action Adaptation — strengthening ability of countries to deal with
climate impacts Loss and damage — strengthening ability to recover from
climate impacts Support — including finance, for nations to build clean, resilient
futures As well as setting a long -
term direction, countries will peak their emissions as soon as possible and continue to submit national
climate action plans that detail their
future objectives to address
climate change.
This document provides basic information on projected
future climate change effects (changes in temperature, precipitation, storm activity and sea level rise) over the near
term, mid-century and end - of - century.
The online Facebook campaign will focus on attracting working holiday makers to Australia, highlighting the benefits of working abroad in
terms of
future employability in the current economic
climate.
The evening of conversation will include a panel organized around the concept of «Imaging
Futures», which will consider macro-scale observations on Earth landscapes, the long -
term effects of anthropocentric
climate change, and the possibility of inter-planetary migration.
WEST Summit (CA), National Call for Art: The
Future of Silicon Valley Deadline: March 19th, 2014 The WEST (Water, Energy, Smart Technology) Summit presents actions to create long -
term regional sustainability and resilience to
climate change.
re: # 34 John Philips As it happens, in the near
future, you may want to revisit the Wegman Report... — For example, Wegman & co were so expert at Social Network Analysis that pp.17 - 22 of the WR bear «striking similarity» (that's the legal
term, most people say plagiarism) from Wikipedia, Wasserman & Faust (1994) and deNooy, Mrvar, and Bateglj (2005), as shown by Deep
Climate in April.
The present and the
future climate are therefore presented in
terms of median and quantiles.
Ice - sheet responses to decadal - scale ocean forcing appear to be less important, possibly indicating that the
future response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet will be governed more by long -
term anthropogenic warming combined with multi-centennial natural variability than by annual or decadal
climate oscillations.»
The long
term effects of dams can be difficult to visualize, especially when the
future includes a changing
climate.
He said, quote, «The forcings that drive long -
term climate change are not known with an accuracy sufficient to define
future climate change», end quote.
Hi, when I am discussing with
climate skeptics, they often refer to the third report of the IPCC (page 774): «In
climate research and modelling, we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long -
term prediction of
future climate states is not possible.»
Organized by the new
climate justice initiative Commit2Respond, participants will make commitments to new long -
term actions that will help us collectively shift to a low carbon
future, advance human rights, and grow the
climate justice movement.
Being an engineer, and at least having a slight appreciation for the complexity of the global
climate and associated feedback systems, and the challenges of long
term future projections, I couldn't help but wonder if there might be some other
climate systems in play that have not yet been discovered.
The whole problem of how much warming will occur convolves lots of questions involving how the
climate reacts to greenhouse gases, the carbon cycle, and our
future path as societies in
terms of our energy use (and other emissions).
In
climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long -
term prediction of
future climate states is not possible.
``... estimates of
future rises remain hazy, mostly because there are many uncertainties, from the lack of data on what ice sheets did in the past to predict how they will react to warming, insufficient long -
term satellite data to unpick the effects of natural
climate change from that caused by man and a spottiness in the degree to which places such as Antarctica have warmed....
Those adverse
climate consequences are always framed in
terms of the distant
future.
Moreover, even if methane leakage were to remain modest in some areas, long -
term climate models suggest that warming trends have less to do with the rate of methane leakage and more to do with other variables, such as the thermal efficiency of
future coal plants and whether the switch to gas is permanent or a bridge to zero - carbon energy.