That will combine with core inflation readings that are no longer anchored by past low year - over-year base effects, setting the stage for a series of looming inflation prints that are above the Fed's stated 2 % long -
term inflation target.
The BoG has a medium -
term inflation target of no more than eight per cent, plus or minus two percentage points.
That would be consistent with a medium -
term inflation target.
The current situation, in summary, suggests an outlook that is consistent with the medium -
term inflation target but subject to two broad sources of risk — the potential for further weakness arising from external factors, and the destabilising influence of a growing imbalance in the domestic credit market.
The Fed's legal mandate is to minimize unemployment and keep prices stable; the Fed has set a long -
term inflation target of 2 percent per year.
We have preferred a prudent approach, which is most likely to promote both macroeconomic and financial stability consistent with the medium -
term inflation target.
It restates the Bank's approach to making monetary policy decisions within the framework of a medium -
term inflation target, in way that supports sustainable economic growth and serves the public interest.
To achieve price stability, the Reserve Bank uses a flexible medium -
term inflation target, with the goal of keeping inflation between 2 and 3 per cent, on average, over time.
an independent central bank focusing on the medium -
term inflation target, taking account of the state of the real economy and the shocks affecting it;
The 2 % intermediate -
term inflation target's very important.
This is not unthinkable today as central bankers acknowledge the long - term negative consequences that their short -
term inflation targeting policies may inflict.
Third, I am inclined to agree with recent work in the Bank of England that suggests that it is possible, at least in principle, to embed this discussion within a medium -
term inflation targeting framework.
Not exact matches
However, it noted that it expects
inflation to «run near» its 2 %
target «over the medium
term,» suggesting that interest rates might see a hike in June.
The deterioration in the outlook has made it more likely that
inflation will undershoot the 2 %
target in the medium
term.»
Subdued
inflation forced the BOJ to revamp its policy framework in 2016 to one better suited for a long -
term battle against deflation, which
targets interest rates instead of the pace of money printing.
«It clarifies that there's continuity in
terms of
targeting inflation and sticking to that mandate.»
«It could be that long -
term inflation expectations are yet to be anchored in Japan» at the bank's 2 percent
target.
Its rate - setting committee said
inflation had «moved close» to its
target and that «on a 12 - month basis is expected to run near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium
term.»
Back in December, the Fed said it would hold the
target short -
term rate steady at least until unemployment had dropped to 6.5 %, assuming
inflation didn't rise past 2.5 %.
The longtime investor added that since 1970, the very long -
term average of
inflation is 1.9 percent, but that the average is biased upward by war - time
inflation spikes, implying that a better
target maybe be significantly lower.
The Fed statement said: «The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the
target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen some further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that
inflation will move back to its 2 percent objective over the medium
term.»
The spread on the nominal less
inflation - indexed rates for both the five - and 10 - year maturities remains above 2.0 % — a sign that the crowd expects that hard data on
inflation will hold at or above the Fed's
target in the near
term.
If they want room for short
term rates above 0 they will have to get long
term rates up and I don't see any control input other than the
inflation target to move them.
The Fed intends to keep short -
term rates near zero as long as unemployment remains above 6.5 % and
inflation remains below 2.5 % (but these could be moving
targets).
We can also expect to see a gradual increase in
inflation back towards the middle of the 2 to 3 per cent medium -
term target range.
In the current context, getting the economy back to full capacity with
inflation on
target is central to supporting financial stability over the longer
term.
You can see this sense of priorities — with medium -
term price stability being the sine qua non, and our acceptance that
inflation may vary a little over the course of the cycle — in the specification of the
inflation target as being an average «over the course of the cycle».
Australia's
inflation performance over the past decade or so has been consistent with the Bank's medium -
term target.
It is asking too much of the single monetary policy instrument, namely, the
targeted short -
term interest rate to
target both financial excesses and
inflation.
what they should do is actually quite simple, they should just say our balance sheet will continue to grow until we reach a price level
target drawn from 2014 until now (just choose a date where
inflation index was already below but not well below long
term trend)
Well the way we do that is we have a medium
term target for
inflation and we talk about holding CPI
inflation to 2 to 3 per cent on average over time.
Again, the assessment was made that the
inflation target was not in jeopardy in the medium
term with year - ended
inflation forecast to be within the
targeted range once the effect of the GST had passed.
There may be some difference at the margin in
terms of the speed with which
inflation is returned to the
target range.
The Reserve Bank uses the cash rate to stimulate or dampen economic activity such that
inflation is in the
target range over the medium
term.
This Statement on the Conduct of Monetary Policy reiterated the Reserve Bank's broad goals stipulated in the Reserve Bank Act, and endorsed the
inflation target as the practical interpretation of the medium -
term goal of price stability.
The implementation of monetary policy in Australia is market - based, with a high degree of transparency in both the operational objective (expressed in
terms of the cash rate
target) and the ultimate objective (expressed as an
inflation target).
The
target is a medium
term one, so there's a little bit of flexibility over the short
term, and I think experience shows that in trying to do economic policy and trying to control
inflation there really isn't an ability to fine tune these things over very short periods of time, you have to take a more medium
term perspective.
While
inflation -
targeting regimes share a number of similarities, most importantly the focus on an
inflation rate as the objective of monetary policy, there are a number of differences in
terms of their practical implementation.
This episode also demonstrates the flexibility offered by the medium -
term nature of Australia's
inflation target.
The central scenario for the Australian economy is a positive one, with growth over the next couple of years at, or above, average, a relatively strong labour market, and
inflation consistent with the medium -
term target.
That framework's been in place since the early 1990s, we have hit the
target over that 20 year period, the average
inflation rate's pretty close to 2.5 per cent, so we regard that as successful by the
terms of the definition that we set ourselves and I think that's made a big contribution to economic stability more generally and I don't think it's an accident that that period of fairly low predictable
inflation has coincided with pretty good sustained growth in the economy.
For those of us who use explicit
inflation targets, for example, there would be a need to focus on a longer time horizon and perhaps somewhat greater toleration of short run deviations from the medium -
term target.
First it implies that if the Fed is serious — as it should be — about having a symmetric 2 percent
inflation target then its near
term target should be in excess of 2 percent.
The centrepiece of the framework for monetary policy is a medium -
term target for
inflation.
To sum up, once interest rates reach very low levels, the central bank still has meaningful tools that it can deploy in its pursuit of its
inflation target: offering forward guidance to financial markets to enhance policy effectiveness, large - scale asset purchases, funding for credit, and pushing short -
term interest rates below zero.
Our
inflation target is focused on medium -
term outcomes.
If the Bank believes that another cut is required to achieve the
inflation target over the medium
term it is preferential to move sooner rather than later.
The BEA's Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Chain - type Price Index for March, released this morning, shows that core
inflation remains below the Federal Reserve's 2 % long -
term target at 1.88 %.
stocks on Wednesday close lower, after initially edging slightly higher, as the Federal Reserve acknowledged rising prices and said it now expects
inflation to «run near» its 2 %
target «over the medium
term,» in its most recent policy statement.
Our forecast a few months ago for 2010 was that
inflation, measured either in headline or underlying
terms, would be in line with our 2 — 3 per cent
target.