Not exact matches
Several factors can have a large impact on short -
term temperatures, such as
oceanic cycles like the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) or the 11 - year solar
cycle.
In short, Swanson and Tsonis hypothesized that when various natural
oceanic cycles (PDO, AMO, etc.) synchronize (i.e. in their positive or negative phases), they can cause a short -
term warming or cooling which could be described as a «climate regime shift.»
There are also a number of effects which can have a large impact on short -
term temperatures, such as
oceanic cycles like the El Niño Southern Oscillation or the 11 - year solar
cycle.
It takes decades (even centuries) for (deep)
oceanic heat transport to manifest at the surface so we see a combination of short -
term heat manifestation as a result of the 11 yr solar
cycle and longer -
term variation.
In particular that could provide a plausible connection to the longer
term climate and
oceanic cycling that I have referred to.
M. carey,
oceanic / atmospheric
cycles do have long -
term trends.
However, ENSO is an
oceanic cycle which merely moves heat around between oceans and the surface, and thus can not cause a long -
term warming trend.
For example, there are
oceanic cycles like the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO, comprised of El Niño and La Niña events), an 11 - year solar
cycle, and particulates released during volcanic eruptions which cause short -
term cooling by blocking sunlight.
But as for long -
term (decadal)
oceanic events such as the AMO — do they actually exist as some sort of real physical
cycle, or are they only a collection of random natural variations that we interpret in our minds as some sort of «real» thing?
Several factors can have a large impact on short -
term temperatures, such as
oceanic cycles like the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) or the 11 - year solar
cycle.