The favourable near -
term outlook for inflation is being underpinned by continued help from the exchange rate in holding down import prices.
Business surveys continue to suggest that the near -
term outlook for inflation is subdued.
Not exact matches
«Following the United Kingdom's vote to leave the European Union, the exchange rate has fallen and the
outlook for growth in the short to medium
term has weakened markedly,» the central bank said in its quarterly
Inflation Report.
Looking ahead, the task
for the Board is to assess what bearing recent information, and recent international and local events, will have on the medium -
term outlook for demand and
inflation.
«A number of participants indicated that the stronger
outlook for economic activity, along with their increased confidence that
inflation would return to 2 per cent over the medium
term, implied that the appropriate path
for the federal funds rate over the next few years would likely be slightly steeper than they had previously expected,» the Federal Open Market Committee said in the records of its March 20 - 21 meeting.
The Federal Reserve signalled it is getting more confident in the
inflation outlook as it prepares
for further increases in short -
term interest rates...
After the four increases in official interest rates between November 1999 and May 2000, short -
term market interest rates fell
for a time as markets became more comfortable with the
outlook for inflation.
In response to the evolving
outlook, the Reserve Bank Board has reduced the cash rate to low levels to improve the prospects
for sustainable growth in the economy, with
inflation rising to be consistent with the medium -
term target.
A variety of factors — such as the
outlook for economic growth and
inflation, supply and demand
for credit, market sentiment, and other factors beyond the Fed's control — impact long -
term rates.
The yield curve has also steepened and may steepen even more, as the driver
for short -
term rates are influenced by Fed fund moves, while economic growth and the
inflation outlook are influencing longer -
term rates.
«A number of participants indicated that the stronger
outlook for economic activity, along with their increased confidence that
inflation would return to 2 percent over the medium
term, implied that the appropriate path
for the federal funds rate over the next few years would likely be slightly steeper than they had previously expected,» the Federal Open Market Committee said in the records of its March 20 - 21 meeting.
The current situation, in summary, suggests an
outlook that is consistent with the medium -
term inflation target but subject to two broad sources of risk — the potential
for further weakness arising from external factors, and the destabilising influence of a growing imbalance in the domestic credit market.
At its February meeting the Board weighed up all of this information and its implications
for the balance of risks
for the economy and the medium -
term inflation outlook.
The Bank raised policy rates by a further 25 basis points in March to 6 3/4 per cent, citing a stronger
outlook for activity in the near
term and associated pressures on
inflation.
However, other developments in labour costs are of more concern
for the longer -
term inflation outlook.
When the yield curve looks like this, with short -
term rates about the same as long -
term rates, it's generally a signal that there's a lot of uncertainty about the
outlook for the economy, interest rates, and
inflation.